Marine Weather Net

Vermilion Bay Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

NE
WINDS
10
KNOTS

TUESDAY

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TUESDAY NIGHT

NE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ435 Forecast Issued: 309 PM CDT Mon Oct 05 2026

Tonight...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Early This Evening.
Tuesday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay Waters Choppy.
Tuesday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop.
Wednesday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay Waters Choppy.
Wednesday Night...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay Waters Choppy.
Thursday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Bay Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Thursday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Bay Waters Rough. A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight.
Friday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Bay Waters Rough. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Friday Night...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Bay Waters Very Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Saturday...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Bay Waters Very Rough. A Chance Of Showers. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Saturday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Bay Waters Rough. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening. A Chance Of Showers. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
111pm CDT Monday Oct 5 2026

...NewARINE,Fire Weather
.KEY MESSAGES... - Lower rain chances are expected for most of the work week as drier air continues to advect into the region.

- The next shot at rain will be near the end of the forecast period as another surge of tropical moisture emerges.

(This evening through next Sunday) Issued at 108pm CDT Monday Oct 5 2026

Monday afternoon surface analysis shows a cold front draped along the Gulf Coast, from south of New Orleans to east of Brownsville at this time. Excessive moisture associated with this boundary has largely been shunted offshore, where showers are ongoing and expected to persist off and on through the next few days as the boundary lingers. Inland, a mixed bag of conditions are expected today into tonight, as half of the region starts to benefit from dry air advection while the other half remains in a somewhat moisture rich environment for a while longer. Across interior SE TX and CENLA, dry air will gradually work its way into the region this afternoon/tonight, allowing cloud cover to slowly clear and dewpoints to fall into the upper 50s to low 60s as we approach sunrise tomorrow. Elsewhere, especially along and south of the I-10 corridor, moisture remains elevated for a while longer with cloud cover lingering and dewpoints in the mid 60s to low 70s near sunrise tomorrow.

Tuesday through Thursday, slow dry air advection continues as weak troughing lingers over the Gulf Coast/southeastern CONUS aloft and surface winds maintain a NE to E component behind the boundary in the Gulf. While this will maintain dewpoints in the 60s across most of the region for a few days, it will also bring back unseasonably warm temperatures with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s expected.

Friday into the weekend the forecast becomes more uncertain as we turn our attention to the system in the southern Gulf which is currently outlined with a 60% chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours and a 80% chance over the next 7 days by NHC. Guidance has been fairly consistent with pulling this system north towards the central Gulf Coast by the weekend however, strength and impacts are highly uncertain. For now, we can expect an uptick in moisture and rain chances as we head into the weekend. Impacts look greatest to our east at this time however, things could definitely change through the week as we start to get a better handle on the eventual development of this system.

Marine
Issued at 108pm CDT Monday Oct 5 2026

Modest northeast to east-northeast winds and moderate seas are expected through Wednesday, along with continued light to moderate rainfall along a meandering frontal boundary. Wednesday night into Thursday, winds and seas begin to increase to beyond SCA (Small Craft Advisory) criteria ahead of a developing low pressure system in the southern Gulf. By Friday, strong winds and seas potentially to Gale force will become possible and will be highly conditional based on the eventual evolution of this low pressure system.

Fire Weather
Issued at 108pm CDT Monday Oct 5 2026

Dry air will slowly advect into the region today through the next few days, allowing minRH values to slowly fall from the upper 40s- low 60s tomorrow into the mid 30s-mid 50s by Thursday. The increase in dry air will keep rain chances near zero through Thursday, with moisture and rain chances slowly returning thereafter.

NOAA Lake Charles LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
LA...None. TX...None. GM...None.