Vermilion Bay Marine Forecast
| Today...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. |
| Tonight...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Wednesday Night...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Thursday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Thursday Night...Northeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Bay Waters Smooth. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Friday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Southwest After Midnight. Bay Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Showers Likely After Midnight. |
| Saturday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Saturday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming North 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Bay Waters Choppy. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 524am CST Tuesday Jan 14 2025 Long Term (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 330am CST Tuesday Jan 14 2025 Friday begins with surface high pressure situated near FL while low pressure will be deepening across the Plains, is association with a cold front. This will allow the pressure gradient overhead to tighten a bit, and in turn breezy onshore flow will begin to usher in a return of Gulf moisture. Aloft, zonal flow will initially be ongoing overhead Fri morning, with a deepening shortwave trough over the Four Corners region. This trough will slide east through the day Friday, eventually moving across the Ark-La-Tex Friday night. As it does so, it will pull another coastal low in the southern Gulf northward, through early Sat. Moisture will initially be somewhat limited throughout much of Friday, with PWATs (Precipitable Waters) forecasted to be near average through much of the daytime period. This will result in a cloudy and warm day with highs in the mid to upper 60s and minimal rain chances (generally less than 30%). Heading into Fri evening/night, PWATs (Precipitable Waters) are forecasted to surge above the 90th percentile as the upper trough/surface low approach. Rain chances will increase quickly from near sunset Friday and remain elevated through Saturday morning. Rainfall amounts generally less than 1" are expected through this period. Saturday morning, showers begin to taper off west to east as a large longwave trough amplifies over the central CONUS and pushes a strong cold front through the region. Most recent GFS/EURO are in good agreement with frontal passage occurring through the morning hours on Sat, with lingering moisture quickly getting scoured out by the midday. Cold air will likely be a bit slower to arrive, with temps gradually falling through the afternoon and evening hours. By Sunday a much cold airmass will be in place overhead, and the upper trough will be firmly in place over much of the CONUS where it will linger through the end of the forecast period. Sunday will consist of highs in the low to mid 50s, amid partly cloudy skies, while overnight lows will dip into the mid 20s to low 30s. Monday and beyond is where the forecast becomes a bit convoluted, with all global models differing from run to run. What is clear is it will be cold, we're talking highs in the upper 30s/low 40s and lows in the 20s areawide. What is unclear is if this cold air will be accompanied by moisture. At the end of the day it's too early to get into each possible scenario, with this being 7-8 days out anyone saying it's going to snow is simple wishing and nitpicking model runs. We will continue to monitor the possibility of winter precipitation early next week, as the forecast becomes clearer over the coming days. 17 Marine Issued at 330am CST Tuesday Jan 14 2025 Breezy ENE to NE winds and seas around 2-5 feet will continue into Thursday. Winds and seas will be higher in the 20-60 nm waters through this period vs the coastal zones.The combination of offshore flow and enhanced predicted low tide levels will bring about a brief period of low water conditions again today. A Low Water Advisory is in effect from 6am to 12 PM. Forecast guidance depicts low water conditions finally improving beyond today. NOAA Lake Charles LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories LA...None. TX...None. GM...Low Water Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ430-432. Small Craft Advisory until 6pm CST this evening for GMZ472-475. |
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