Vermilion Bay Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South After Midnight. Bay Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Early This Evening. |
| Wednesday...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday Night...South Winds Around 5 Knots. Bay Waters Smooth. |
| Thursday...South Winds Around 5 Knots. Bay Waters Smooth. |
| Thursday Night...South Winds Around 5 Knots. Bay Waters Smooth. |
| Friday...South Winds Around 5 Knots, Increasing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay Waters Light Chop. |
| Friday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. |
| Saturday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. |
| Saturday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. |
| Sunday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Bay Waters Light Chop. |
| Sunday Night...West Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay Waters Light Chop. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1256pm CDT Tuesday July 14 2026 ...NewARINE,Fire Weather .KEY MESSAGES... - An upper level trough will continue to support elevated precipitation chances across SE TX tomorrow, where a Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall is in place - Little to no precipitation is expected Thursday through early next week as high pressure builds into the region. Afternoon highs will climb into the mid 90s with afternoon heat indices between 102-109. (This evening through next Monday) Issued at 1255pm CDT Tuesday July 14 2026 Midday surface analysis shows a weak front stalled across the Ark-La- Tex while high pressure extends across the northern Gulf from near Florida. Aloft, strong ridging dominates the northern CONUS while an inverted trough is overhead. The combination of the stalled front, the upper level trough, and a very moisture rich atmosphere overhead has again resulted in a wet start to the day, with many areas having seen 3-6" of rain earlier this morning. Fortunately, convection has finally begun to taper off over the last couple of hours, leaving behind mostly cloudy skies. We could see a bit more isolated activity through this afternoon, especially near the coast, but for the majority of us this drying trend should continue. Mostly cloudy skies through the afternoon will hold highs in the low to mid 80s for one more day, before we begin to warm up through the second half of the week. Tomorrow, the aforementioned upper level trough will retrograde to the west, becoming situated over TX, while the stalled front slowly meanders northward. With the loss of additional support for convection, POPs will begin to trend downward tomorrow. The exception to this may be over SE TX, where the influence of the upper trough may still be enough to initiate widespread convection by the mid-morning. Some of this will likely spread across LA through the afternoon, but coverage should be much more reminiscent of our typical afternoon summertime convection vs. the last few days. With this in mind, WPC has outlined a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall across our SE TX counties tomorrow. Thursday through the end of the forecast period, high pressure builds overhead at both the surface and aloft, bringing an end to the wet pattern and shifting us towards a period of hot and dry weather. Thursday will likely be the last day we could see any measurable rainfall through at least early next week, and even then chances are fairly low (15-25% at best). Instead, it will be plenty of sunshine across the forecast area, and as you might imagine this will allow temperatures to climb. Thursday and Friday, highs range from the low to mid 90s, with max heat indices in the 100-106 degree range. Saturday and beyond, temps climb further, with highs in the mid to upper 90s and max heat indices in the 101-109 range. Marine Issued at 1255pm CDT Tuesday July 14 2026 Light southerly flow and low seas are expected to continue through the week as weak surface high pressure is centered over the northeast Gulf. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are ongoing and will continue through this afternoon, with another round of showers and storms expected Wednesday afternoon. Winds and seas will be higher near the thunderstorms. Dry conditions will prevail Thursday through the weekend as high pressure builds over the northern gulf. Fire Weather Issued at 1255pm CDT Tuesday July 14 2026 Light southerly winds will prevail through the week and weekend keeping dewpoints in the 70s and minimum relative humidity in the 60 to 70 percent range. Rain chances decrease Wednesday although afternoon thunderstorms will still be possible. Ridging will build across the northern gulf Thursday through early next week dropping precipitation chances to near zero. No significant fire weather concerns are expected. NOAA Lake Charles LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. |
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