Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast
|This Afternoon...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots Late. Seas 6 To 7 Feet With A Dominant Period 12 Seconds. Showers Likely And Chance Of Thunderstorms.|
|Tonight...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Seas 5 To 6 Feet With A Dominant Period 12 Seconds. Chance Of Showers In The Evening. Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight.|
|Monday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period 11 Seconds. Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Monday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet. Slight Chance Of Showers.|
|Tuesday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 Feet. Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Tuesday Night...Southeast Winds 15 Knots. Seas 4 Feet. Slight Chance Of Showers.|
|Wednesday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 Feet. Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Wednesday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet.|
|Thursday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet. Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
| Synopsis for Atlantic coastal waters from Flagler Beach to Jupiter Inlet out 60 nm - AMZ500|
1009 AM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020
A high pressure ridge over the western Atlantic and Tropical Storm Zeta over the western Caribbean, will veer the local winds from the southeast to south. A gentle to moderate breeze will persist with brief increases in winds with any thunderstorm development. Conditions for small craft operators will remain poor this afternoon, as swells from distant Hurricane Epsilon slowly subside.
Gulf Stream Hazards: Seas up to 6 feet.
The approximate location of the west wall of the Gulf Stream based on the Real Time Ocean Forecast System as of Saturday, October 24th.
39 nautical miles east of Ponce Inlet.
27 nautical miles east of Port Canaveral.
22 nautical miles east of Sebastian Inlet.
16 nautical miles east of Fort Pierce Inlet.
11 nautical miles east of Saint Lucie Inlet.
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1001am EDT Sunday Oct 25 2020
Morning soundings show the significant difference in PW values across the state, with JAX at 1.7" and MFL at 2.4" where deep tropical moisture has lifted northward into the southern FL peninsula from an inverted trough stretching northeast from TS Zeta. With central Florida in the middle of drier conditions to the north and deeper moisture to the south, rain chances will follow suit, with higher rain chances across areas south of a line from Orlando to the Cape, increasing up to 60-70 percent. Highest PoPs and greatest potential for locally heavy rainfall will be across these south central FL areas, especially the Treasure Coast.
Sufficient low level steering will exist to keep showers moving north to northeast today, but weaker winds at 700mb will lead to slower storm motion this afternoon. Repeated rounds of showers or any storms will be capable of producing rainfall totals today into this evening up to around 1-2 inches with localized higher amounts to 3-4 inches possible across St. Lucie and Martin counties. Highs will reach the low to mid 80s south of Orlando, where greater cloud cover and higher rain chances exists. Toward and north of the I-4 corridor, highs will be in the upper 80s, where lower PoPs, around 20-30 percent, and less cloud cover is expected.
Even with swells from distant Hurricane Epsilon continuing to subside, they will still produce a High Risk for Rip Currents at area beaches today. Rough surf will also continue and entering the water is not advised.
Swells will continue to subside today, with seas falling to 4-6 feet. Will allow SCA (Small Craft Advisory) to expire offshore, but will maintain exercise caution headlines for much of the adjacent Atlantic. Winds will generally be out of the south through late morning up to 10-15 knots south of the Cape, then becoming east to southeast in the afternoon. Any storm activity will increase winds and seas locally.
The latest forecast has the Saint Johns River at Astor continuing a slow decrease within Minor Flood Stage through the upcoming week. Elsewhere, the Saint Johns River at Sanford and near Lake Harney is forecast to stay within Action Stage, while at DeLand the river is forecast to continue below Action Stage. Refer to daily Flood Statements and River Statements from NWS Melbourne for the latest river levels and forecasts.
NOAA Melbourne FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories