Chesapeake Bay from New Point Comfort to Little Creek VA Marine Forecast
| Through 7 Pm...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Tonight...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sat...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Sat Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Sun...Sw Winds 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Sun Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Mon...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Morning, Then 1 Foot Or Less. |
| Mon Night...S Winds 10 Kt. Waves 1 Foot, Then Around 2 Ft After Midnight. |
| Tue...Sw Winds 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Tue Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 245pm EDT Fri April 26 2024 Synopsis High pressure remains centered over New England today. High pressure slides off the New England coast tonight, moving south into early next week, with a ridge building over the area and temperatures well above normal through next week. An unsettled pattern sets up from Tuesday through late next week with daily chances for showers and storms. Near Term - Until 6am Saturday Morning As of 1010am EDT Friday... Late this morning, surface high pressure was centered over New England. The sky ranged from sunny in the ern/SE counties, to partly sunny to mostly cloudy in the Piedmont. Temps were ranging through the 50s. Expect a generally partly to mostly sunny sky across the region this afternoon. with highs in the mid 60s inland, upper 60s SW, and upper 50s to lower 60s along the coast. Otherwise, dry this afternoon with increasing clouds tonight and a slight chance of a brief, light shower across far NW portions of the FA late tonight. Lows tonight will range through the 40s. Short Term - 6am Saturday Morning Through Sunday Night As of 325am EDT Friday... A ridge builds over the area Sat, building into early next week with a warmup expected. However, the warm air will be delayed until Sunday due to high pressure lingering off the New England coast on Sat allowing for one more day of cool, onshore flow. A weak piece of shortwave energy moves towards the area Sat and may provide just enough forcing (combined with isentropic ascent over the cooler airmass in place) for isolated, light showers across N portions of the FA. Models continue to be in disagreement with global models showing more coverage than hi-res models. As such, have kept PoPs at slight chance. Any showers taper off Sat evening with dry weather Sunday as the high moves S and winds become SW. Highs in the lower 60s NE to around 70F SW Sat and upper 70s to lower 80s Sun. Lows in the lower 50s (upper 40s across the MD Eastern Shore) Sat night and upper 50s to around 60F Sunday night. Long Term - Monday Through Friday As of 340am EDT Friday... The ridge builds over the area early next week, becoming less amplified by midweek, but lingering through the week regardless with well above normal temps expected. Highs in the mid-upper 80s Mon-Thu for most. The warmest days look to be Monday and Tuesday with highs potentially approaching 90F for some. Next week will not only "feel" Summer-like due to warm temperatures but also in the sense that an unsettled pattern develops from Tue-Fri with daily chances for showers/storms. Several shortwaves move through the area during this time, however, global models disagree with timing for each of these subtle features. As such, have maintained a slight chance to chance Probability of Precipitation each afternoon/evening for showers/storms from mid-late week with the greatest chance on Fri (30-35% PoPs) as a cold front approaches from the W. Highs also look to be a touch cooler on Fri (upper 70s to lower 80s). Lows remain mild through the week in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Marine As of 245pm EDT Friday... Key Messages: - SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) continue for the southern coastal waters and the mouth of the bay until later this evening. SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) in for the coastal waters N of Cape Charles light have been cancelled. -Sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions expected through the middle of next week. A large area of high pressure is situated over Eastern Canada/the NE CONUS this afternoon and has been building toward local waters. Onshore winds continue with latest obs showing 10-15kt. Buoy obs are showing a downward trend in seas, but onshore flow is making this improvement slow. Seas N of Cape Charles Light have consistently been under 5ft for several hours, so have cancelled the SCA (Small Craft Advisory) for those zones. Will continue to monitor buoy observations and take down SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) as appropriate. Onshore winds of 10-15kt continue through Saturday as high pressure is slowly pushed offshore. Later in the weekend and into early next week, high pressure moves further offshore and gets pushed S. With this movement, winds become southerly (still at 10- 15kt) Sunday through Tues. During this period, seas will be 3-4ft and waves 1-2ft. Tides / Coastal Flooding As of 400am EDT Friday... A prolonged period of NE flow is expected to last into the weekend. Mainly nuisance flooding is possible across the lower bay, James River, VA Atlantic- facing beaches, eastern Currituck County, and Dorchester County early this morning. As such, Coastal Flood Statements remain in effect for these locations. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 1am EDT Saturday for ANZ634-656. Small Craft Advisory until 4am EDT Saturday for ANZ658. |
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