Albemarle Sound Marine Forecast
| This Afternoon...E Winds Around 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Tonight...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming S After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Mon...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Tue...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft In The Afternoon. |
| Tue Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming S 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Wed Night...S Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Thu...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft In The Afternoon. |
| Thu Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Evening, Then 1 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 313pm EDT Sunday Mar 29 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Trending warmer with lower rain chances late this week into next weekend. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) High pressure gradually slides offshore while quiet conditions and moderating temperatures persist through mid-week. 2) The latest ensemble guidance has trended warmer with lower rain chances for the second half of the week. As of 315pm EDT Sunday... Key Message 1...High pressure gradually slides offshore while quiet conditions and moderating temperatures persist through mid-week. GOES water vapor channels depict WNW flow aloft over the Mid- Atlantic region. At the surface, high pressure has settled offshore. Sunny this afternoon with temperatures ranging from the lower/mid 50s at the coast, to the lower 60s inland. Breezy with a S to SSW wind of 10-15 mph gusting to 20-25 mph. An increased fire danger statement remains in effect through 7pm for inland locations. Not as cool tonight with high pressure offshore and a S wind of 5-10 mph. Forecast lows are generally in the mid 40s to around 50F. The low-level flow will be southwesterly Monday with mid/upper level westerly flow. A subtle warm front aloft lifts across northern VA Monday morning. NBM generated ~30% Probability of Precipitation for the NW portion of the area, but these have been capped at 20% and trimmed in coverage given downslope flow and only modest moisture return. Warmer Monday with highs in the lower 70s inland and mid/upper 60s across the Eastern Shore. Not quite as dry with min RH values around 40% inland to 45-50% at the coast. However, an IFD has been coordinated with NCFS and NC NWS offices, and this will locally include Northampton, Hertford, and Bertie counties where the drought status is worse. Breezy with a SW wind of 10-15 mph gusting to 20-25 mph. Deeper southwesterly develops Tuesday as upper ridging builds into the Southeast. Highs will be in the lower 80s (70s Eastern Shore), about 15+ degrees above normal for this time of year. Breezy during peak heating hours but RH will not be as low as Monday, which should preclude any fire weather concerns. Key Message 2...The latest ensemble guidance has trended warmer with lower rain chances for the second half of the week. Wednesday will start off dry as temperatures soar into the low to mid 80s (70s for the Eastern Shore). A cold front will approach from the northwest later in the day bringing a chance of showers with a few thunderstorms possible, especially across the NW half of the area. A shortwave moves into the Ohio River Valley/Eastern Great Lakes Thursday and Friday. However, 12z/29 numerical guidance has trended stronger with an upper ridge over the Northeast, which keeps the aforementioned cold front largely to our NW. Rain chances linger, but are not as high, and greatest across the western/northwestern tier of the local area. Temperatures have trended warmer Thursday/Friday. The latest ensemble guidance depicts the upper ridge remaining nearly stationary or even retrograding westward by Easter weekend. Therefore, this would indicate a trend toward warmer temperatures (80s inland/70s coast), lower rain chances, and somewhat humid conditions for early April. Marine As of 130pm EDT Sunday... Key Messages: - Southerly winds increase later this afternoon and especially by this evening, remaining elevated into tonight. Small Craft Advisories remain in effect for the Chesapeake Bay. - Additional rounds of S to SW surges are expected Monday night into Tuesday and Tuesday into Wednesday. Additional SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) will likely be needed, with the best chance on the bay. South to southwesterly winds have increased to ~15 kt with occasional gusts to 20 kt early this afternoon. Seas are still 2-3 ft, with waves on the bay likely also in the 2-3 ft range. Southerly winds increase later this afternoon and especially by this evening, with sustained winds ranging from 15 to 20 knots and gusts up to 25 knots expected (highest over the bay and coastal waters north of Cape Charles). As such, SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) remain in effect for the Chesapeake Bay late this afternoon into tonight. Will not issue any headlines on the ocean as the offshore flow should keep seas in the 3-4 ft range. Winds remain gusty, but fall below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) criteria Monday morning through much of the day (though occasional 20 kt gusts are possible on the rivers and near the land/water interface on the bay). By Monday night, another southerly surge is expected, potentially leading to another round of (marginal) SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions across the bay. A stronger southerly surge is expected Tuesday night into Wednesday with widespread SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) possible. Winds likely remain elevated and gusty throughout the mid to late week timeframe with a frontal boundary lingering over or near the local waters. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...None. NC...INCREASED FIRE DANGER until 7pm EDT this evening for NCZ012>014-030-031. VA...INCREASED FIRE DANGER until 7pm EDT this evening for VAZ048- 060>062-064>069-075-076-079>083-087>090-092-093-096- 509>524. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 7am EDT Monday for ANZ630-631. Small Craft Advisory until 1am EDT Monday for ANZ632-634. |
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