Albemarle Sound Marine Forecast
| Today...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw This Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sun...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming N 20 To 25 Kt In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Rain In The Morning, Then A Slight Chance Of Rain And Snow In The Afternoon. |
| Sun Night...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt, Diminishing To 20 To 25 Kt After Midnight. Gusts Up To 35 Kt. Waves 2 To 4 Ft. |
| Mon...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Mon Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Tue...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Diminishing To Around 5 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Morning, Then 1 Ft. |
| Tue Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed...Sw Winds Around 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 552am EST Sat Dec 13 2025 Synopsis Benign weather is expected tonight into Saturday. A strong cold front crosses the the Mid-Atlantic late Saturday night into Sunday, with some accumulating snow possible Sunday. Arctic air moves in behind the cold front Sunday night, and provides a cold start to next week. The very cold temperatures do quickly give way to relatively milder temperatures for the middle to end of next week. Near Term - Through Tonight As of 230am EST Saturday... Key Message: - Dry and relatively mild today with highs in the upper 40s and 50s. - A strong cold front brings low-end snow potential and blustery conditions late tonight and Sunday. Winter Weather Advisory issues for Dorchester and Wicomico Counties. Transient surface high pressure is located along the coast early this morning, which will slide offshore today as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Latest obs show temps in the mid to upper 20s, which will likely stabilize as high level cloud cover moves into the area. Dry and relatively mild today ahead of tonight/tomorrow's system. Highs will be in the upper 40s across the north and low to mid 50s from I-64 south. A strong Arctic cold front is then set to cross through the region late tonight into early tomorrow morning. Precip associated with this front will enter far northern portions of the area after midnight, slowly spreading S/SE toward the I-64 corridor and lower Eastern Shore heading toward sunrise. S/SE progression continues through the morning before exiting offshore by early afternoon. This looks to be a case where cold air is chasing the precip, so the mode likely starts out as rain before transitioning to snow on the back- end. The 00z CAMs are generally consistent with keeping the most wide-spread snow/rain across the MD Eastern Shore and perhaps into the Northern Neck. The accumulation forecast has not changed too much from the previous forecast cycle. Currently calling for 1-2" on the MD Eastern Shore, primarily in Dorchester and Wicomico. Less than an inch of accumulation is forecast along and N of the I-64 corridor, omitting the Hampton Roads portion, and the lower Eastern Shore. Cannot rule out a trace/dusting for Hampton Roads should the changeover happen in time. A "reasonable worst case" would be 2-3" in Dorchester/Wicomico and up to 2" for the rest of the Eastern Shore and Northern Neck. Went ahead and issues a Winter Weather Advisory for 1am-1pm Sunday for Dorchester and Wicomico with this in mind. Outside of precipitation chances, Sunday will be blustery as cold air rushes in behind the front. Winds will pick up by mid-morning Sunday and peak in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35mph will be possible. Highs range from the low 30s across the north to the low 40s in the SE, which will occur in the morning before temps drop in the afternoon. By mid-afternoon, wind chills could be as low as the mid teens. Short Term - Sunday Through Monday Night As of 230am EST Saturday... Key Messages: - Bitterly cold temps Sunday night/Monday morning with wind chills in the single digits. - Chilly and dry Monday and Monday night Strong cold air advection continues Sunday night ushering in bitterly cold temperatures. Much of the area will see temps in the upper teens by midnight with Monday morning lows in the mid-teens for most of the area and the upper teens to around 20F close to the coast. While winds will not be quite as strong as Sunday afternoon, there will be enough wind to knock wind chills down into the single digits for the entire area. Cold Weather Advisories are likely. The arctic surface high slides in overhead Monday, leading to a cold and mostly sunny day with much less wind. Highs will be in the low to mid 30s. Not quite as cold on Monday with lows in the low to mid 20s. Long Term - Tuesday Through Friday As of 230am EST Saturday... - Moderating temperatures expected through the middle of next week. - A potential front brings rain chances late-week Tuesday through Thursday will follow a warming trend once the strong high is suppressed to the SE and the UL trough lifts out. Highs on Tues look to be in the 40s, followed by the 50s on Wed, and around 60 on Thursday. Tuesday and Wednesday look dry, then a potential front returns rain chances to the forecast Thursday afternoon. Will say that there is not a lot of confidence in details on this front given the varying solutions from the global models. Behind the front temps cool again, but this time sticking closer to seasonal norms. Forecast highs for Friday are in the low to mid 50s. Marine As of 230am EST Saturday... Key Messages: - A strong, Arctic cold front crosses the waters early Sunday morning, with Gale conditions then expected later Sunday morning into Sunday night over all of the waters. - Light freezing spray is possible Sunday night. - Another round of SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) is possible Monday night into early Tuesday. Early this morning, high pressure (~1020 mb) is centered over the waters resulting in light and variable winds. Seas are averaging 1 to 2 feet and waves in the Chesapeake Bay 1 foot or less. High pressure will center further offshore later this morning and a warm front will lift north over the waters. As the warm front lifts north, winds become S to SW and increase to around 10 knots (10 to 15 knots northern coastal waters). Meanwhile, a strong, Arctic cold front will be approaching from the NW today and is expected to cross the waters tonight into early Sunday morning. This will be the main focus of the forecast period. In the wake of the strong cold front early Sunday morning, very cold and dry air advects into the region. Extremely cold temperatures aloft will mix down to the surface across (relatively) warmer waters helping create very windy conditions. Winds rapidly increase and become NW Sunday morning, with sustained winds of 25 to 30 knots and gusts of 35+ knots expected by late morning-early afternoon over a majority of the waters. Winds increase further during the afternoon- evening hours, peaking between roughly ~00z to 06z Monday, sustained winds of 30 to 35 knots and gusts up to 45 knots are expected during this timeframe. Winds then diminish, eventually falling below Gale thresholds everywhere by ~12z, and below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds by Monday afternoon, as high pressure builds back into the area. Gale Watches have been upgraded to Gale Warnings for all of the waters Sunday- Sunday night. SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) will likely be needed late Sunday night into Monday as Gale headlines begin to drop off. In addition to the wind, seas build to 5 to 9 feet by Sunday night, though the offshore component of the wind should help to keep seas from building further. Waves in the Bay will build to 4 to 6 feet. Finally, some freezing spray is possible Sunday night as the bitterly cold air filters into the area in combination with the strong winds. However, marginal water temperatures (low to mid 40s) should help to keep any freezing spray on the lighter side. Calmer conditions are anticipated later Monday, though a brief surge of S-SW wind may lead to additional SCA (Small Craft Advisory) headlines (mainly over the Chesapeake Bay) late Monday night into early Tuesday morning. Sub- SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions then return Tuesday into Wednesday. Another cold front may bring increasing winds Thursday into Friday. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...Winter Weather Advisory from 1am to 1pm EST Sunday for MDZ021-022. NC...None. VA...None. Marine Gale Warning from 7am Sunday to 7am EST Monday for ANZ630>632-634-650-652-654. Gale Warning from 10am Sunday to 7am EST Monday for ANZ633- 635>638-656-658. |
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