Cape Fear to Little River Inlet, SC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 8 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 8 Seconds. Patchy Fog. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 7 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 8 Seconds. Patchy Fog In The Morning With Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Wed Night...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Nw 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 7 Seconds And Nw 2 Ft At 3 Seconds. |
| Thu...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Gusts Up To 20 Kt In The Morning. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: N 2 Ft At 4 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 5 Seconds. |
| Thu Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And Ne 1 Ft At 4 Seconds. |
| Fri...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: N 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 7 Seconds. |
| Fri Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sat...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sat Night...Ne Winds 10 Kt. Seas 2 Ft. |
| Sun...E Winds 10 Kt, Becoming S In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sun Night...S Winds 10 Kt, Becoming W After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 633pm EST Wednesday Nov 26 2025 Synopsis An arctic front, moving through tonight, will bring well below normal temperatures and much drier air Thanksgiving Day through Saturday. High pressure will move off the coast by Sunday as a cold front approaches. Rain chances increase into next week as a wave of low pressure moves up the Southeast coast. A wind shift this evening will usher in cooler air after midnight. Current forecast on track. Winds will remain relatively light, and the marginal SCA (Small Craft Advisory) north of Little River Inlet will be allowed to expire at 7 PM. Near Term - Through Thursday A two-staged cold front will push through this evening. The lead boundary will have some baroclinicity but is mostly a wind shift, especially compared to the second. And although the second front will start to usher in lower temperatures and dewpoints, the mega- cold advection is a bit delayed into Thursday when 850mb flow finally goes north of west. The Cold Air Advection partially offset by the return of sunshine will flatten the daytime temperature curve, which is expected to peak in the mid to upper 50s. Such highs represent out minimum averages that occur in early January. .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Deep low over the Great Lakes and high strung out from the Upper Plains to the lower Mississippi Valley will continue to produce a deep flow of very cold and dry air into the Carolinas Thurs night into Fri. As the trough axis aloft clears the coast, a reinforcing shot of cold and dry air will reach the area Thurs night into Fri. Overnight lows will be below freezing most places inland of the direct coast Thurs night. High temps on Fri will not even reach 50 degrees across most of the area in continued CAA. Looks like 850 temps bottom out Fri afternoon below -7c before rebounding Fri night into Sat as the mid to upper low lifts off to the northeast with height rises. A more zonal flow aloft will set up Fri night into the weekend, but the position of the high over the western Carolinas should provide better radiational cooling. Therefore expect the coldest night, with temps in the low to mid 20s and possibly lower across traditionally colder spots. Overall, a very cold and dry period. As the driest air reaches the area on Fri in gusty NW winds and dewpoints bottom out in the teens Fri afternoon. could see some Fire weather concerns. Long Term - Saturday Night Through Wednesday Although the air mass will begin to modify over the latter half of the weekend, overnight lows will continue below normal, with most places in the low to mid 30s Sat night. High pressure will shift eastward making it off the coast to the north of our area Sat night into Sunday as next system approaches from the west. A wedge pattern may set up with high pressure continuing to extend back into the inland Carolinas and coastal trough developing. This should lead to weak isentropic lift producing possible pcp inland, mainly west of local area. This pattern will break quickly as cold front approaches by Sunday afternoon. Therefore expect warming on Sunday in southerly return flow by afternoon but shallow cool air should make it south by Monday as front drops south. The shallow cool air will be overrun by warm moister air aloft as deepening mid to upper trough to the west provides increasing SW flow aloft. A wave of low pressure should help provide decent Quantitative Precipitation Forecast into Tues, before lifting north and out of the area by midweek. Temps will be relatively warmer, but mainly near or below normal after a slightly warmer Sunday. Marine Through Thursday...SCA (Small Craft Advisory) having a bit of difficulty verifying but with the impending frontal wind shift there could be some better alignment in the vertical for an increase in gustiness this afternoon. Otherwise the remainder of the period will feature breezy but sub-advisory NW winds in an increasingly strong Cold Air Advection regime. A minor SE swell is noted in wave bulletins but the 3-4 second wind chop will be the dominant wave. Thursday night through Monday...A reinforcing shot of cold and dry air will come Thurs night into Fri with some gusts up to SCA thresholds, but overall, should remain sub-SCA. High pressure over the Appalachians early Sat will shift off the NC/VA border by Sat night into Sunday with winds shifting around from more offshore Thurs night into Fri to onshore Sat into Sun. Seas should remain 2 to 3 ft most of the period. A southerly return flow should set up briefly on Sunday ahead of a cold front, before coming back around to the north as front moves south by Mon. Then a wave of low pressure could move up the Southeast Coast late Monday into Tues with increasing winds and seas. NOAA Wilmington NC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...None. SC...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 7pm EST this evening for AMZ250- 252. |
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