Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Tonight...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 2 Ft At 3 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 4 Seconds. |
| Sat...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 4 Seconds. |
| Sat Night...Sw Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 5 Ft At 6 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Sun...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 6 Ft At 6 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Sun Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming N 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 4 Ft At 6 Seconds And N 3 Ft At 3 Seconds. |
| Mon...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming Nw 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: N 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 6 Seconds. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 5 Kt. Seas 1 Ft. |
| Tue...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Se In The Afternoon. Seas 1 Ft, Then 2 Ft In The Afternoon. |
| Tue Night...Sw Winds 10 Kt. Seas 2 Ft. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 Ft. |
| Wed Night...Se Winds 10 Kt, Becoming Ne After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1206am EST Sat Nov 15 2025 Synopsis Warm and breezy conditions are expected over the weekend. A cold front will move through the region on Sunday night, bringing cooler temperatures on Monday. Return flow brings warmer temperatures and a small chance of a stray shower along the stalled front on Tuesday. Warm and dry conditions are expected for the remainder of the week. Near Term - Through Tonight Infrared satellite shows a broad ridge covering the southern Rockies and southern Plains states. Convergent northwesterly upper level flow between the ridge and a trough out over the Atlantic will support surface high pressure over Florida today. Here in the Carolinas we can expect increasing coverage of cirrus clouds this afternoon along with a few wind gusts exceeding 20 mph. Highs should reach 73-75 inland and a few degrees cooler near the coast. As the boundary layer decouples with the loss of sun this evening, an impressive low level jet should develop overhead. Both GFS (Global Forecast System) and NAM forecast soundings suggest 45 knot winds could descend as low as 1800-2000 feet AGL overnight. Even with mainly clear skies wind shear of this magnitude tends to keep the strength of the nocturnal inversion on the weaker side, so forecast lows are in the upper 50s to near 60 for most areas. Short Term - Sunday Through Monday Night Warm and breezy on Sunday with the area sandwiched between low pressure to our north and high pressure over southern FL. Afternoon highs should easily reach the upper 70s with a few 80s possible east of I-95. The cold front building into the region late Sunday may start to impact areas west of I-95 before sunset which would cut temperatures by a degree or two. Outside of a few clouds and the wind shift, the cold front will quietly push offshore on Sunday night. Weaker winds follow the cold front on Sunday night and Monday morning. Weak cold air advection follows on Monday under clear skies. This should bring temperatures down to a few degrees below normal; highs in the low to mid 60s. Light boundary layer winds and dry air over the Carolinas will allow temperatures to drop into the lower 40s or upper 30s on Monday night. Long Term - Tuesday Through Friday Surface high pressure to our east and low pressure developing over the Middle Mississippi River Valley will bring return flow across the southeastern US on Tuesday. The cooler air mass in place on Monday will be replaced be warm air advection and temperatures climbing back to a couple of degrees above normal on Tuesday. Increasing cloud cover on Tuesday afternoon will follow a weakly lifting warm front. Southerly flow in the low levels will be primarily responsible for any moisture advection with westerlies aloft maintaining generally neutral advection. The weak surface low to our northwest will gradually weaken as it crosses the Appalachians on Tuesday night before re- developing off of the Mid-Atlantic coast on Wednesday. With the lack of moisture and synoptic energy displaced to the north, expect the trialling cold front to move into the Carolinas with a few clouds and a lack of shower activity Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The front will remain stationary on Wednesday, likely positioned north of the forecast area. Continued warm advection in westerly flow will push temperatures into the mid or upper 70s on Wednesday afternoon. Ensembles begin to diverge on Wednesday night as uncertainties with high pressure over the northeastern US begin to emerge. High pressure will push a secondary cold front southward across some portion of the Mid-Atlantic or Carolinas Wednesday night into Thursday. However, low pressure developing over the central US may stall the progress of this cooler air and maintain southerly flow and warmer temperatures for the southeastern US. This primarily impacts temperatures on Thursday as ensembles begin to converge on this low pressure system overcoming any high pressure by Friday with southerly flow increasing and warmer temperatures achieving consensus. Despite any uncertainties with temperatures, dry weather is anticipated during the middle and late portions of next week. The best moisture advection will remain well west of the area near the sphere of influence of the developing low. Onshore flow may support some boundary layer moisture and mesoscale features later next week, but this potential lacks clarity outside of 48 hours or so. Marine Through Tonight High pressure near the Florida-Georgia state line should sink into central Florida this afternoon, then into South Florida and the Bahamas tonight. This should lead to a gradual increase in winds across the Carolina coastal waters. Southwest winds should increase to 15 knots this morning, then to 15-20 knots by mid to late afternoon. After sunset, wind speeds should increase further to 20- 25 knots with gusts near 30 knots possible overnight. Aside from a very small 9-second southeasterly swell, seas should consist almost entirely of local wind waves. Combined seas of 2-3 feet today should increase to 4-6 feet tonight, locally to 7 feet southeast of Cape Fear. The Small Craft Advisory will remain in effect. Sunday through Wednesday... Small Craft Advisory conditions will be ongoing on Sunday ahead of the next cold front. The front will push offshore on Sunday evening. Weak cold air advection is unlikely to prolong SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions too far beyond the frontal passage, but wind-driven seas may take a few hours to fall below the 6 foot threshold. No changes to the initial timing of the SCA (Small Craft Advisory) for now. High pressure builds into the region early next week. Light and variable winds are expected as the center of high pressure drifts west to east across the region on Monday and the first half of Tuesday. On Tuesday afternoon, high pressure will move offshore and a developing low over the central US will bring southerly return flow across the region through the end of the period. NOAA Wilmington NC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...None. SC...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory from 7pm this evening to 7pm EST Sunday for AMZ250-252-254-256. |
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