Marine Weather Net

Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out 20 NM Marine Forecast


TODAY

E
WINDS
15
KNOTS

SUN

E
WINDS
15
KNOTS

SUN NIGHT

E
WINDS
15
KNOTS

MON

E
WINDS
15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
AMZ254 Forecast Issued: 525 AM EDT Sun Oct 05 2025

Today...E Winds 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 5 Ft At 7 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 12 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers Early This Morning.
Sun...E Winds 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 5 Ft At 7 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 12 Seconds.
Sun Night...E Winds 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 5 Ft At 8 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 12 Seconds.
Mon...E Winds 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 5 Ft At 8 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 12 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Afternoon.
Mon Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 5 Ft At 8 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 12 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening.
Tue...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 8 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 13 Seconds.
Tue Night...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 8 Seconds.
Wed...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft.
Wed Night...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Ne 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. A Chance Of Showers.
Thu...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning.
Thu Night...Ne Winds 20 To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Tstms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
628am EDT Sunday Oct 5 2025

Synopsis
High pressure to our northeast will weaken by Tuesday as a cold front approaches. Mild weather will return to normal behind the front beginning Thursday, while the front itself only offers minimal rain chances.

As of 6:15 AM...Given radar trends across portions of northeast SC, made a quick update to expand Probability of Precipitation in area and time. Quantitative Precipitation Forecast will remain minimal through the morning.

Near Term - Through Tonight
High pressure, surface and aloft, is situated across the Mid- Atlantic region this morning, then the surface high will shift offshore through tonight. A weak coastal trough will persist and weak low-level speed convergence associated with this feature will likely bring a few showers onshore. Expect most of any showers to occur this morning, and initially south of Cape Fear. Not much in the way of any significant Quantitative Precipitation Forecast given the moisture limitations noted with dry air in place above H85. The air-mass will continue to moderate and high temperatures today will be above normal, and with NEly flow tonight the lows tonight will be above normal as well.

Short Term - Monday Through Tuesday Night
Surface high pressure centered off to the NE shifts farther offshore early this week as flow aloft becomes somewhat more zonal. A primarily dry forecast is still anticipated due to an abundance of dry air aloft and lack of a large-scale forcing mechanism, but there's still a slight chance of a shower near the coast sneaking onshore both days in the moist low-level onshore flow, as depicted by some hiRES models. Temps near to slightly above normal for early October...highs in the low/mid 80s with lows ranging through the 60s.

Long Term - Wednesday Through Saturday
Generally benign weather this period with surface high pressure shifting even farther offshore and no major weather systems anticipated. A cold front crosses the area Wednesday or Wednesday night, but it still appears to be rather moisture- starved especially with the lack of mid-level moisture, so PoPs remain capped at 20-30%. Drier then for the remainder of the week as surface low pressure develops along the front but well offshore in response to a digging upr-level trough. With the weak Cold Air Advection following the frontal passage. expect cooler temps...highs Thursday through Saturday only in the mid 70s with lows in the 50s away from the immediate coast.

Marine
Through tonight...High pressure to the north will gradually shift offshore allowing an Ely fetch to focus on the adjacent coastal waters. A weak coastal trough will also continue helping to keep NEly winds in place closer to the coast. The strongest winds associated with this large fetch on the south-side of the high will remain south of the ILM waters. Still dealing with residual 11-13 second swells though the power has diminished compared to yesterday. The 5-7 sec waves from the NEly fetch continue to dominant the wave spectrum. Marginal Small Craft conditions are expected across the outer coastal waters off Cape Fear, and the southeast portion of the southern marine zone given exposure to the NE-Ely fetch. Conditions off Horry (and nearshore Brunswick are a little more sheltered) thus no is advisory needed for the Horry waters at this time. Widely scattered showers are expected across the waters, especially this morning as the low-level steering has veered to an Elly direction.

Monday through Thursday...Sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions Monday through Wednesday as seas will be a bit lower than those of today, with both wind waves and the 11-13 second ENE swell weakening slightly. Following a cold frontal passage Wednesday or Wednesday night, SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions are expected starting Thursday with NE gusts up to 25-30 kt.

Tides / Coastal Flooding
Onshore flow and rising astronomical tides due to the full moon on Monday will bring a risk for minor tidal flooding with each high tide cycle across the beaches and along the Cape Fear River near downtown Wilmington at least through the first half of the upcoming week.

There is a high risk of rip currents for Georgetown and New Hanover County beaches today and likely again for Monday, as E wind waves of 7 seconds and ENE swell of 12-13 seconds make it to shore and create 2-5 ft surf heights.

NOAA Wilmington NC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8am EDT this morning for NCZ106- 108-110. Coastal Flood Advisory until 11am EDT this morning for NCZ107. High Risk for Rip Currents through this evening for NCZ108. SC...High Risk for Rip Currents through this evening for SCZ056. Coastal Flood Advisory until 9am EDT this morning for SCZ054- 056.

Marine
Small Craft Advisory until 2am EDT Monday for AMZ250-252-256.