Surf City to Cape Fear, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 2 Ft At 5 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 8 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms. |
| Mon...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 Ft. Wave Detail: S 2 Ft At 4 Seconds And Se 2 Ft At 12 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 Ft. Wave Detail: S 2 Ft At 5 Seconds And Se 2 Ft At 11 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms, Mainly In The Evening. |
| Tue...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Se In The Afternoon. Seas 2 Ft. Wave Detail: S 2 Ft At 5 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 11 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms. |
| Tue Night...S Winds 5 Kt. Seas 2 Ft. Wave Detail: S 2 Ft At 5 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 11 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Tstms. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Wed...E Winds 5 Kt, Becoming Se In The Afternoon. Seas 2 Ft. Wave Detail: S 2 Ft At 5 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 10 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers. A Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Wed Night...S Winds 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Tstms. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Showers Likely After Midnight. |
| Thu...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Increasing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms. |
| Thu Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms. |
| Fri...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 759pm EDT Sunday August 23 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Aviation discussion updated for 00Z TAFS. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible especially eastern portions of the forecast area this afternoon, and again during Monday. 2) At or above normal temperatures are expected through the week with the chances for showers and thunderstorms increasing mid to late week. KEY MESSAGE 1...Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible especially eastern portions of the forecast area this afternoon, and again during Monday. Water vapor imagery shows a channeled plume of moisture offshore with the westward extent of this moisture along coastal areas. In addition, a weak front just west of the forecast area is projected to drift toward the coast through tonight and Monday. The higher moisture along the coast along with the sea breeze, slowly approaching front and decent instability will result in a Marginal Risk for severe storms this afternoon, and again tomorrow. The best chances will be near the coastal areas and adjacent inland areas given the PWAT (Precipitable Water) distribution. KEY MESSAGE 2...At or above normal temperatures are expected through the week with the chances for showers and thunderstorms increasing mid to late week. The core of mid/upper ridging will remain across TX/NM/AZ through the week allowing for more normal temperatures across the forecast area. The H5 trough currently in place across the eastern U.S. will gradually become more zonal by mid-week followed by additional weak troughing aloft toward the end of the week. The old front that will linger across the area through the first part of the week is expected to waffle back to the north by the end of week. A weak inland trough along with better support aloft should result in better rainfall chances as the week progresses. In addition, PWATs (Precipitable Waters) are expected to surge above 2 inches toward the end of the week. If current trends continue then all signs point to higher rainfall chances Friday into Saturday. Marine Through Friday... A weak front will move into the coastal plains later later today/tonight with S-SWly flow prevailing across the adjacent waters. This boundary may become nearly stationary along the coast the first part of the week with light/variable conditions near the front and generally light S-SWly to its east and south. Any convection has the potential to create locally higher wind/wave conditions. The old boundary will likely drift back to the north by mid-week with an increase in S-SWly flow that will persist through Friday. Overall, seas will be in the 2-4 ft range offshore, and 1-3 across the coastal waters. However, as mentioned above, locally enhanced winds/seas are expected at times as a result of convection. NOAA Wilmington NC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...None. SC...None. Marine None. |
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