Surf City to Cape Fear, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt Late. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And E 2 Ft At 7 Seconds. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And E 2 Ft At 8 Seconds. |
| Thu...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Sw In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 3 Ft At 5 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Thu Night...Sw Winds 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Fri...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 3 Ft At 5 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 10 Seconds. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 5 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 10 Seconds. |
| Sat...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sat Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms. |
| Sun...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Showers Likely, Mainly In The Morning. |
| Sun Night...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. A Chance Of Showers. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 634am EDT Wednesday April 22 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Confidence increasing in some much-needed rainfall this weekend and early next week. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Elevated fire weather concerns continue for much of this week due to very dry conditions and severe to extreme drought. Fire Danger Statement in effect today for southeast NC. 2) Best rain chances/amounts in quite some time likely this weekend and early next week, although no significant impact on the drought expected. KEY MESSAGE 1...Elevated fire weather concerns continue for much of this week due to very dry conditions and severe to extreme drought. Fire Danger Statement in effect today for southeast NC. Low humidity and ongoing drought will contribute to continued elevated fire weather concerns across the area. Minimum relative humidities will fall below 30% each afternoon through Friday, away from the coast. Thursday will have the lowest RHs due to westerly downslope flow keeping sea breeze pinned, with min RH forecasted around 20%. Wind gusts near 20 mph this afternoon will add to fire weather concerns, and a Fire Danger Statement is in effect for southeast NC. A burn ban remains in effect for both North and South Carolina. KEY MESSAGE 2...Best rain chances/amounts in quite some time likely this weekend and early next week, although no significant impact on the drought expected. A cold front should move through Sat night with another cold front possible toward mid week which should bring the best rain chances we've seen in a while. Although rain amounts are still uncertain this far out, the NBM indicates ~30-40% chance of at least 0.5" for Sat night/Sunday with a 20-30% chance of similar amounts for Tue/Tuesday night. Unfortunately total rainfall through the period likely won't do much to improve the drought but certainly nice to see a wetter weather pattern than we've seen of late. Will also need to keep an eye on at least a low risk for severe storms Tuesday when instability/shear look to be enhanced. Marine Through Tonight Southwest winds 10-15 kts this morning across the local waters will increase this afternoon to 15-20 kts. May see gusts around 25 kts over the waters off southeast NC coast out to 60nm late this afternoon into this evening as a surface trough approaches from the west. Winds turn westerly tonight, remaining around 15 to 20 kts. Seas 2-3 ft this morning slowly increase through tonight to 2-4 ft with building of southwesterly wind wave. Thursday through Sunday Night...Offshore high pressure will prevail thru Sat with southerly flow, enhanced at times but gusts mainly staying below 25 kt. A cold front is still on track to move through Sat night into early Sunday bringing another wind surge but both winds and seas look to remain below Small Craft Advisory levels within 20 nm once again. NOAA Wilmington NC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...None. SC...None. Marine None. |
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