Surf City to Cape Fear, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt Late. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 5 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 8 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms Late. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Gusts Up To 20 Kt In The Evening. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 5 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 8 Seconds. Showers And Tstms Likely, Mainly In The Evening. |
| Sun...N Winds 10 Kt, Becoming Ne With Gusts Up To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 2 Ft At 5 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 8 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Sun Night...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: E 4 Ft At 9 Seconds And Se 3 Ft At 5 Seconds. A Chance Of Tstms. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Showers Likely After Midnight. |
| Mon...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Increasing To 20 To 25 Kt In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 5 Ft At 6 Seconds And S 1 Ft At 5 Seconds. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...E Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: E 6 Ft At 7 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers. A Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Tstms After Midnight. |
| Tue...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. |
| Tue Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. |
| Wed...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. |
| Wed Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 638am EDT Sat September 5 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... All sections updated with little change in forecast thinking. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) One last day of dangerous, potentially record-breaking, heat today (Saturday) along with a low risk for late day severe storms and excessive rainfall. KEY MESSAGE 1...One last day of dangerous, potentially record- breaking, heat today (Saturday) along with a low risk for late day severe storms and excessive rainfall. Should be the last day of excessive heat before a cold front moves through tonight into Sunday. The more westerly flow and minimal clouds should allow air temps to soar into the mid to upper 90s, possibly nearing record territory, especially at Wilmington where the record high is 95 degrees last set in 2023. The elevated dewpoints, generally in the mid to upper 70s, will yield rather oppressive heat indices generally peaking up near 110 degrees in many spots. Certainly could see brief heat indices over 110 but not enough confidence/coverage to warrant an Extreme Heat Warning so we maintained the ongoing Heat Advisory. Attention then turns to an increasing risk for showers/storms this afternoon into this evening as a cold front approaches from the northwest and a more organized line of convection tries to develop as deep layer shear increases in association with more troughing/energy aloft. The Storm Prediction Center is still highlighting much of the area, especially in NC, for a 2 out of 5 risk for severe storms with the main severe hazards being damaging winds and to a lesser extent quarter size or larger hail. Heavy rainfall is also likely with a low risk for flash flooding, especially near the NC coast where storms may be more persistent near the front. Marine Today through Wednesday... Pretty typical summertime conditions today ahead of an approaching cold front which will move through tonight into Sunday shifting winds more northerly, possibly reaching Small Craft Advisory levels Monday into Tue. Seas also look to build due to the long onshore fetch developing behind the front, possibly reaching 6 ft later Monday. Conditions look to improve toward mid week as high pressure builds more into the area from the north. NOAA Wilmington NC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC... Heat Advisory from 11am this morning to 8pm EDT this evening for NCZ087-096-099-105>110. SC... Heat Advisory from 11am this morning to 8pm EDT this evening for SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059. Marine None. |
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