Chesapeake Bay From Sandy Point to North Beach MD Marine Forecast
| Rest Of This Afternoon...Sw Winds 15 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
| Tonight...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Thu...Ne Winds 5 Kt. Waves Less Than 1 Ft. A Chance Of Rain And Snow. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Thu Night...Ne Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves Flat. |
| Fri...E Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves Flat. |
| Fri Night...Se Winds 5 Kt. Waves Less Than 1 Ft. |
| Sat...S Winds Around 5 Kt...Becoming Ne After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sun...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt...Becoming Ne After Midnight. Waves 2 Ft. A Chance Of Snow After Midnight. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 226pm EST Wednesday Feb 25 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Lowered temperatures a few degrees for Thursday into Thursday night. Increased POPs for Thursday into Thursday night as model guidance has indicated this increase from south to north. These subtle changes and morning model guidance has led us to thinking mostly a rain event for eastern portions of the Virginia Piedmont and southern Maryland. There is a chance for some snow to mix in with the rain in the Shenandoah Valley and between I-70 and I-66. To the north and west of these areas, only a slight chance of light rain or snow but little hopes in accumulations except for higher elevations. .KEY MESSAGES... -1) Low pressure will bring some rain and possibly a mix of light snow to portions of the area Thursday into Thursday night. -2) A cold front is currently set to impact the region early next week, followed by several days of potential rain and winter weather impacts. KEY MESSAGE 1...Low pressure will bring some rain and possibly a mix of light snow to portions of the area Thursday into Thursday night. A low pressure system will move across the southern half of our region or a little further south on Thursday into Thursday night. Morning model guidance are revealing a trend further to the north in terms of POPs from southern Virginia. Adjustments have been made with temperatures being lowered a few degrees, as well as raising POPs 5 to 10 percent. The mix of rain and snow could be along and just north of US 33, while it will be mainly rain to the south and isolated light snow to the north and west. Little to no snow accumulation with exception to a few isolated spots in the Alleghenies where it may only amount to a few tenths of an inch. KEY MESSAGE 2...A cold front is currently set to impact the region early next week, followed by several days of potential rain and winter weather impacts. A zonal flow pattern corresponding with a cold front should start to move through the region on Sunday, causing colder temperatures throughout the area closely followed by some form of precipitation on Monday. Marginal temperatures currently ranging from the high 20s- mid 30s indicates a range of potential impacts, and model guidance is still showing significant spread in local impacts to the region. Should this expected trough deepen anymore than what is currently showing in models, a widespread snow/wintry mix event is not out of the question for the region. High pressure moving in after this trough indicates persistent cooler temperatures for some time after this trough moves through. Additionally, there are some indicators showing up in the GFS, ECMWF, and ICON of a second lower trough moving through the region after this system passes through, bringing additional chances for rain and winter precipitation. Will continue to monitor on how these two events evolve over the next several model runs and what the exact expected impacts will be to the region. Marine Small Craft Advisories continue for another two hours or so with gusts 20 to 25 knots. Winds will diminish below criteria tonight into Thursday with showers likely over the southern waters. Wind speeds should trend downward Friday as high pressure builds into the area. Wind direction will flip from northwest Friday to south Friday night. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions are still a potential on Sunday and Monday, associated with an incoming frontal passage. These conditions are still borderline (16-18 knots), so will have to continue to monitor before seeing if SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) are necessary during this period. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...Small Craft Advisory until 4pm EST this afternoon for MDZ008. VA...None. WV...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 4pm EST this afternoon for ANZ530>533-535-536-538>542. Small Craft Advisory until 5pm EST this afternoon for ANZ534- 537-543. |
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