Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD Marine Forecast
| Rest Of This Afternoon...W Winds 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Tonight...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Mon...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Mon Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Tue...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Tue Night...Sw Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Wed...W Winds Around 5 Kt...Becoming S 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less...Building To 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Thu...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. Showers Likely. A Chance Of Tstms Through The Night. Winds And Waves Higher And Visibilities Lower In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 312pm EDT Sunday August 23 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No major changes were made to the forecast this afternoon. .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Slight chance for a shower or storm this afternoon, then dry conditions anticipated through early portions of the week. - 2) Warmer and more humid conditions return mid-week, with thunderstorm chances returning by Thursday. KEY MESSAGE 1...Slight chance for a shower or storm this afternoon, then dry conditions anticipated through early portions of the week. A closed upper low continues to circulate over the Great Lakes this afternoon, with broader troughing extending outward across most of the eastern CONUS. An associated surface low is located just downstream of the upper low near the Ontario/Quebec border. A cold front attendant to this low has progressed off the Mid-Atlantic coastline, with drier air starting to filter in from the west. Dewpoints have dropped into the 50s and lower 60s behind the front, with temperatures climbing into the upper 70s to mid 80s beneath mostly sunny skies. A few fair weather cumulus have developed in response to daytime heating and resultant mixing. Some CAM solutions show a few showers or storms forming over the next few hours, especially to the east of the Blue Ridge, but most locations should remain dry. Any storms that do form will likely be very short- lived. If a deeper storm were to develop, there could be a conditional threat for some small hail, given cooler, drier thermal profiles, minimal CAPE below the freezing level, and straight line hodographs with very little low- level shear, but respectable shear (around 35-40 kts 0-6 km) through the mid- upper levels. Any showers or storms should quickly dissipate with loss of daytime heating this evening. High pressure will continue to slowly build toward the area on Monday and Tuesday, resulting in dry conditions and lower humidity levels. High temperatures will generally be in the upper 70s to mid 80s, with overnight lows in the 50s to lower 60s. KEY MESSAGE 2...Warmer and more humid conditions return mid- week, with thunderstorm chances returning by Thursday. Heading into Wednesday, dry, pleasant conditions continue into much of the day and afternoon. As an upper level ridge over the midwest begins to flatten in amplitude, southwesterly mid-level winds advect tropical moisture northward into our region. As this tropical air mass moves through our region, humid conditions return through the end of the week. Temperatures rise back into late-August normals with highs in the 80s and 90s Thursday with models depicting a cold front draping north to south across the Mid-Atlantic. As an upper- level low near Hudson Bay pushes this front across our region, chances for showers and thunderstorms return and could linger into the weekend. Best chances for stronger storms are Thursday and Friday depending on the timing of a short wave deepening an upper- level low over Ontario Canada. Marine West to northwesterly winds are forecast over the waters today through Tuesday as high pressure gradually approaches from the Ohio Valley. A few sporadic gusts could near low-end SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels this afternoon. Winds shift southerly by Wednesday, with winds gusting above SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds later that evening in a classic southerly channeling event ahead of an approaching cold front. Tides / Coastal Flooding Tidal anomalies are expected to decrease over the course of the day today in westerly flow. Annapolis may reach Action Stage around high tide, but no tidal flooding is anticipated. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...None. VA...None. WV...None. Marine None. |
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