Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD Marine Forecast
| Rest Of This Afternoon...Nw Winds 20 Kt With Gusts To 30 Kt. Waves 3 Ft. Scattered Sprinkles. |
| Tonight...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Waves 3 Ft. Scattered Sprinkles. |
| Sun...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. Scattered Sprinkles. |
| Sun Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. Scattered Sprinkles. |
| Mon...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Tue...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed...W Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves Flat. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 115pm EST Sat Nov 14 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Added a mention of some sprinkles and flurries east of the Appalachians through Sunday evening as multiple shortwaves pass through in northwest flow aloft. .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Colder than normal through Monday with gradually diminishing winds and clouds. - 2) Dry conditions persist through next week with increasing temperatures starting Tuesday. KEY MESSAGE 1...Colder than normal through Monday with gradually diminishing winds and clouds. Northwest flow aloft between low pressure departing the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure approaching from the Great Lakes will maintain the status quo through Sunday evening. Waves of stratocumulus along with a few sprinkles or flurries are anticipated east of the Appalachians with a moisture fetch off the Great Lakes, with intermittent snow showers along and west of the Allegheny Front through Sunday. Little to no measurable precipitation is expected for the majority of the area, but a dusting of snow is possible for west-facing slopes above 1900 feet along and west of the Allegheny Front, with spotty 1 to 2 inch amounts possible above about 2700 feet. A few snow/sleet pellets or snizzle/very spotty light freezing drizzle/fog can't be ruled out over the highest peaks along and west of the Allegheny Front due to shallower moisture at times. Of note, the 14/12Z REFS had a few members with several hundredths of an inch of Quantitative Precipitation Forecast from a streamer over the eastern WV panhandle, north-central MD and into extreme northern VA tonight through Sunday. We do not currently have Probability of Precipitation for measurable precipitation in these areas (just the mention of scattered sprinkles and flurries), but can't totally discount the idea of a steadier shower (or perhaps a light dusting of snow above about 700-800 feet) through Sunday evening. After peaking this afternoon, wind gusts will gradually subside through the remainder of the weekend into early next week. Gusts will be slower to subside at higher elevations (especially at night compared to the lower elevations). Clouds will also gradually thin and scatter out during this period. KEY MESSAGE 2...Dry conditions persist through next week with increasing temperatures starting Tuesday. Winds continue to diminish on Tuesday and remain light through the end of the week as high pressure transitions overhead in the wake of the front. As upper-level ridging continues to build over several days, dry conditions are expected to persist through the end of the forecast period with mostly clear skies overhead and progressively warming temperatures as the week goes on. Afternoon highs could begin to approach the upper 60s between Thursday and Friday, well above seasonable normals, with overnight lows generally in the 40s. No precipitation is currently anticipated Tuesday through Friday. Looking ahead to the end of next week, an upper-level trough could develop over the Great Lakes and produce a stemming cold front in the days following; will continue to monitor this pattern for any precipitation potential over the coming days. Marine Northwest wind gusts of 25 to 30 knots will persist through this evening before gradually subsiding overnight through Sunday to around 20 to 25 knots. SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) may need to be extended into Sunday night or even Monday for portions of the open waters depending on how quickly high pressure builds. Winds stay below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds beginning Tuesday through Thursday, shifting from northwesterly to southwesterly by Wednesday. No precipitation is anticipated during this period as high pressure remains overhead. Fire Weather Much colder air will move in over the next few days in the wake of a departing low pressure to our northeast. This will result in intermittent upslope snow showers in the Allegheny Mountains through Sunday morning. Elsewhere, brisk winds will continue through Monday with waves of clouds. Temperatures will remain below normal through Tuesday while high pressure gradually builds overhead into the middle of next week. Over the next several days, breezy conditions will continue with afternoon RH values dipping into the 30s to low 40s in the valleys. Wouldn't be shocked to see some areas drop lower, perhaps closer to the upper 20s in the typical dry spots. Winds will begin to taper off Monday, but RHs will remain low, and potentially even be a bit drier, so would not be surprised if early next week has a day that needs closer attention. Little to no measurable precipitation is expected east of the Appalachians through at least the end of next week. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...None. VA...None. WV...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EST Sunday for ANZ530>543. |
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