Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island Marine Forecast
| Rest Of This Afternoon...N Winds 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
| Tonight...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 30 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Tue...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 30 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Tue Night...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 30 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Wed...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 30 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Wed Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
| Thu...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
| Fri...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 304pm EDT Monday Oct 19 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... The Gale Warning for the middle Chesapeake was cancelled in favor for a Small Craft Advisory. Existing Small Craft Advisories were reoriented and extended into Tuesday night. .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Cool and dry weather continues through the weekend, although a slow-moving Nor'easter off the coast will bring gusty winds along the Chesapeake Bay and minor tidal flooding at times through Friday. KEY MESSAGE 1...Cool and dry weather continues through the weekend, although a slow-moving Nor'easter off the coast will bring gusty winds along the Chesapeake Bay and minor tidal flooding at times through Friday. The position of the Nor'easter hasn't changed much from yesterday at this time, a few hundred miles east-southeast of Cape Hatteras. Strong high pressure builds toward Quebec tonight into Tuesday, while the low starts to drift northward as the preceding northern stream shortwave causes a weakness in the block. This will lead to a greater pressure gradient and slightly breezier conditions Tuesday. For tonight, that also means fewer areas will become calm. In addition, dew points will be higher where the growing season continues, so frost appears unlikely tonight. The ridge will continue to expand north and west of the low, blocking it from substantial movement through mid week. Although some uncertainty remains in the exact track/timing of the Nor'easter, this pattern will keep the low far enough off the coast to eliminate rain potential (and clouds for that matter) across the forecast area. Overall, any impacts will be tied to coastal communities along the Chesapeake Bay where potential minor coastal flooding and gusty marine winds remain possible concerns this week. More information on those topics is included in sections below. Temperatures will climb slightly through mid week, ending up on either side of normal values. By Thursday, what remains of the upper reflection of the offshore closed low gradually becomes absorbed into a deep trough over eastern Canada. These adjoining features are slated to pull eastward into the Canadian Maritimes while upstream heigheights build across the Mississippi Valley. From Friday and into this weekend, this broad ridge axis advances eastward ahead of a trough inhabiting the western/central U.S. As this occurs, there are some hints of another upper low center getting pinched off near the Carolina coast. However, its far southward displacement should minimize any direct impacts from this system. Overall synoptic uncertainty does increase markedly toward the end of the weekend and into early next week. Most notably, it revolves around a split in the jet streams over the middle of the continent. Looking down at the surface, a fresh area of high pressure behind the departing trough/Canadian cold front dominates through late week while becoming more centered over the northeastern U.S. by Saturday. This ensures continued tranquil weather heading toward the last week of October. Expect dry conditions along with abundant sunshine each day. The air mass will remain quite dry owing to the prevailing northerly component to the local wind fields. Most days should yield highs in the 60s (50s for the mountains). The coldest overnight periods will likely be Friday and Saturday nigheights as lows fall into the 30s to low 40s. With the growing season having ended from the Blue Ridge westward, it remains to be seen if any frost/freeze threats emerge off to the east. Marine The Nor'easter off the Mid-Atlantic coast will remain the prominent weather feature through Friday. This will result in nearly continuous Small Craft Advisory conditions in northerly flow over the middle Chesapeake Bay, while northern and interior waters will occasionally see breaks. Stronger gusts have not materialized this afternoon, so northern and western sections of the advisory were cancelled. The Gale Warning for the middle Chesapeake was downgraded to a Small Craft Advisory, as the latest model guidance has been trending downward with winds. SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) were also extended as needed through Tuesday night. Expect a northerly wind to largely dominate Wednesday through Friday before turning more northeasterly by the night. Small Craft Advisories may be needed on Thursday, but particularly by late Thursday into Friday morning given a northerly surge in the winds. Tides / Coastal Flooding Tidal anomalies are actually declining in some areas this afternoon, but will rise again through midweek as a Nor'easter starts drifting northward offshore. Tidal locations including Dahlgren, Annapolis, Solomons Island, and Alexandria are forecast to reach minor flood stage by Tuesday night or Wednesday high tide cycles. Annapolis could approach moderate flood stage. However, some uncertainty remains on how exactly this Nor'easter will affect the tide levels. Elevated water levels likely won't decline until late in the week when the low will finally start pulling out to sea. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...Small Craft Advisory from 2am Tuesday to 6am EDT Wednesday for MDZ008. VA...None. WV...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory from 2am Tuesday to 6am EDT Wednesday for ANZ530-531-538-539. Small Craft Advisory until 6am EDT Wednesday for ANZ532>534- 537-540>543. Small Craft Advisory from 8am to 6pm EDT Tuesday for ANZ535- 536. |