Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Nw Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts To 30 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Tonight...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Tue...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Tue Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Wed...W Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Thu...Se Winds 10 To 15 Kt...Becoming N 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. A Chance Of Rain. |
| Fri...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Waves 3 Ft. A Chance Of Rain. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 950am EST Monday Nov 9 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No changes made this morning. .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Breezy today, otherwise seasonable through Wednesday. - 2) Much cooler conditions Thursday through Saturday, along with chances for precipitation. KEY MESSAGE 1...Breezy today, otherwise seasonable through Wednesday. A surface to mid-level trough will cross the area later today with the only sensible impacts being enhancement of NW winds, which are expected to gust to around 35 mph. The trough lacks any thermal or moisture gradients, so temperatures are expected to be similar to yesterday. A warm front will lift through the area late tonight or early Tuesday with temperatures expected to rise 5 to 10 degs from today, which should put some areas into the low 70s. Generally milder conditions with less wind are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. High temperatures each afternoon are expected to reach well into the 60s to perhaps lower 70s (with 50s at higher elevations). Very light winds and mainly clear skies Tuesday night could again result in some frost. Of note, the growing season for 2026 only remains active east of US-15 as of this morning, so no further frost/freeze headlines will be issued west of there until spring of 2027. KEY MESSAGE 2...Much cooler conditions Thursday through Saturday, along with chances for precipitation. Model guidance is in very good agreement that a very deep trough will dig southward across the Eastern half of the CONUS late in the week. There continues to be pretty good agreement that a longwave pattern with troughing in the East and ridging in the West will set up within the Polar Jet stream, while the subtropical jet looks to also become active across the southeastern CONUS. The big point of contention is how exactly all of these features are going to interact with one another when it comes to impacts in our area. In terms of sensible weather, clouds will be on the increase on Thursday as the upper trough digs to our west. Despite the increase in cloud cover, temperatures are still forecast to be seasonable as we'll be in the warm advection ahead of a developing low. Highs are generally expected to be in the in the upper 50s and lower 60s. An area of low pressure is expected to form downstream of the digging trough, but there's still some spread with respect to where exactly it will form and how it will track. There is also the biggest question of if cold air will be in place ahead of this system, or will it lag behind. In mid-November, that can be very hard to achieve outside of the mountains, so that will be something to really keep an eye on as we get closer to this system occurring. Further east, right now the pattern seems to favor a rainy solution Thursday into Friday, and that is reflected in most of the recent model guidance and their respective ensembles. At any rate, the upper low that will pivot over the region late Friday and into this weekend and bring in a substantially cooler air mass in to the region. It is not out of the question to get some rain/snow showers further east into Saturday morning under the upper low, but as of now, am not expecting any impactful accumulations. The Alleghenies will have the greatest chance for accumulating snow, but even there, there's still considerable spread, due to the uncertainty in the finer scale details within the trough and the ultimate track/strength of the low. On the back side of the system though, there seems to be a decent shot at some lingering upslope snow showers even into Saturday as well. Marine Strong SCA (Small Craft Advisory) event expected today with NW winds gusting to around 30 kt. Lighter winds expected Tuesday and Wed. Wind will become easterly on Thursday and then northerly Thursday night. Small Craft Advisory level winds appear possible in northerly flow Thursday night. Winds will become more northwesterly and gusty Friday as low pressure moves to the east and southeast. Small craft advisories are likely, and Gale-force winds look quite possible as well in strong cold advection in northwest flow. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for MDZ008. VA...None. WV...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for ANZ530>534- 537>543. Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EST this evening for ANZ535- 536. |
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