Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Tonight...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Tue...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt...Becoming Sw In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Tue Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Wed...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Wed Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
| Thu...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms Through The Night. |
| Fri...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. Showers Likely. A Chance Of Tstms Through The Night. Winds And Waves Higher And Visibilities Lower In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1016am EDT Monday Jun 15 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No major changes were made to the forecast package. .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Dry and seasonable today and Tuesday. Slight chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, mainly east of the Blue Ridge Mountains. - 2) Warm and humid conditions return this week with the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms Thursday. KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry and seasonable today and Tuesday. Slight chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, mainly east of the Blue Ridge Mountains. Behind the earlier cold front which has now settled off the Massachusetts coast down toward the Outer Banks, a cooler and drier air mass has settled in from the northwest. There is quite the contrast in soundings (00Z last evening vs. 12Z this morning) as precipitable water values dropped from 1.86 inches down to 0.64 inches. The resultant northwesterly flow has favored the development of stratocumulus clouds which continue to move in from the west. With dew points currently in the low/mid 50s, it certainly feels much less humid than yesterday. For today's forecast, all zones will have temperatures a couple of degrees below average for mid-June with dry conditions expected. A weak disturbance will move across the region Tuesday night into Wednesday. Limited instability will provide a chance for a couple of showers mainly east of the Blue Ridge. Temperatures on Wednesday will climb a couple of degrees above average. KEY MESSAGE 2...Warm and humid conditions return this week with the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms Thursday. After trending somewhat drier at the start of the week, upper level moisture starts to move into the region on Wednesday, along with a trend upwards in temperature as hotter & more humid conditions begin to take over. A stray shower or thunderstorm could develop later in the day Tuesday through early Wednesday, mainly east of the Blue Ridge, as a weak warm front slides northward from the Carolinas into Virginia. Beginning Thursday, a strong surface low will push east past the Great Lakes with a stemming cold front that will push across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. This cold front could result in multiple showers and thunderstorms throughout the region, with some becoming severe. There is already a 30%-45% severe probability noted in NCAR's AI model, and a 15%-30% severe probability noted in CSU's ML model. Timing and exact hazards are still the primary uncertainties being 5 days out, but early markers are definitely showing an early widespread severe risk with this system. This front will track towards the south by Friday, which could result in a few lingering showers across the southern portions of the region and along the central Chesapeake Bay. High pressure moves into the region on Saturday. Marine A cold front will bring northwest winds. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) remains in effect through today. Sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level southerly winds are forecast for Tuesday. Some isolated convection is possible over the waters on Wednesday. Beginning late Wednesday and Thursday, SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) will be needed as a strong cold front moves through the region. Showers and thunderstorms are possible over the waters Thursday as this front moves through. Winds diminish to marginal conditions Friday, before diminishing to sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels by Friday evening. Southeast winds shift westerly by Friday. Tides / Coastal Flooding Coastal Flood Advisories are in effect for Annapolis through mid-morning as tides are a foot to a foot and a half above. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EDT this evening for MDZ008. VA...None. WV...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EDT this evening for ANZ530>543. |
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