Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef, FL Out 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Today...South Southwest Winds 5 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Period 3 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop.|
|Tonight...West Winds 5 To 15 Knots Along The Coast To West Southwest 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts To Around 20 Knots In The Gulf Stream. Seas Around 2 Feet. Period 3 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop.|
|Thursday...Southwest Winds 5 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Period 3 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop.|
|Thursday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Period 3 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop.|
|Friday...West Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming West Northwest In The Evening. Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers.|
|Friday Night...East Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots With Gusts To Around 25 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop.|
|Saturday...East Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet Along The Coast And 2 To 4 Feet With Occasional To 5 Feet In The Gulf Stream. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop.|
|Saturday Night And Sunday...South Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts To Around 25 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet With Occasional Seas To 5 Feet. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop.|
AMZ600: Synopsis for Jupiter Inlet to Ocean Reef FL out to 60 nm and for East Cape Sable to Bonita Beach FL out to 60 nm|
925 AM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020
Generally favorable marine conditions are expected for the next several days. A cold front could bring an increased chance for showers and thunderstorms to the area early next week.
Gulf Stream Hazards: none at this time.
The approximate location of the west wall of the Gulf Stream as of Apr 07, 2020 at 1200 UTC...
- 14 nautical miles east northeast of Fowey Rocks. 19 nautical miles east northeast of Port Everglades.
- 12 nautical miles east of Lake Worth.
- 12 nautical miles east of Jupiter Inlet.
Area Forecast Discussion|
...UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL
737am EDT Wednesday April 8 2020
.Aviation... VFR conditions through this TAF cycle. We'll need to watch APF late tonight as there could be some slight VIS reductions, but confidence is too low to mention at this time. Otherwise, expect a light to moderate southwesterly surface flow.
With a weak southwesterly flow at the surface, some patchy fog was observed across the interior this morning. Forecast and NOWcast are out to cover this for theam commute. Expect another round of fog early Thursday morning as well. SREF probs (which are under performing this morning) are signaling more of a potential tonight and early Thursday. Otherwise, outside of the fog, it appears the forecast is in good shape.
.Prev /issued 343am EDT Wednesday April 8 2020/
Short Term (Through Thursday)... Warm and dry weather is expected for the next couple of days with surface high pressure to the south bringing westerly flow to the area. An East Coast seabreeze could develop this afternoon, but it will likely remain pinned against the coast given the deep westerly flow across the area. Above-normal temperatures are expected both today and Thursday with high temperatures ranging from the mid 80s along the Gulf Coast to the low 90s across the interior both days. Precipitable water increases some heading into Thursday with the ridging breaking down a bit as a cold front pushes across the SE CONUS and into North Florida.
Long Term... Thursday Night and Friday... Mid to upper tropospheric ridging will prevail from the Gulf of Mexico through the northwest Caribbean Sea. This will support weak surface ridging on Thursday evening before the ridge axis displaces to our south on Friday. The deep layer ridging should suppress shower development on Thursday night, with slightly better chances by Friday with a weak trough along the Atlantic coast. That said, the better rain chances appear to be towards northern portions of our area from the Lake Region towards Palm Beach County. Given southwesterly low-level winds and deep ridging very warm temperatures should prevail, with values averaging 5-10 degrees above seasonal averages. Highs inland will generally be in the lower 90s with upper 80s along the coasts. Lows over the interior should be in the low to mid 60s, with low to mid 70s for the east coast metro areas and beaches.
Saturday through Wednesday
The mid-level ridge will weaken in response to a series of low amplitude perturbations crossing the northern Gulf of Mexico and Gulf Coast states. The aforementioned frontal zone should remain stalled in the central/southern Florida vicinity allowing for slightly cooler temperatures on Saturday and an easterly wind regime. Thereafter, a stronger shortwave trough should cross the Southeast CONUS early next week while escorting a broad surface low. Return flow will allow our winds to swing around to a southwesterly direction by early next week with a push of warm/moist advection associated with a 30-35 kt low-level jet. Warm temperatures prevail through early next week with 90s for most inland areas (80s along the coasts) and 70s overnight. Shower chances should increase somewhat into early next week, albeit the most recent global model runs appear slower and a little more dubious with when (if?) an actual frontal passage occurs. There may be a window for thunderstorm chances early next week given the uptick in instability and a possible front in the vicinity.
Marine... Generally benign marine conditions are expected for the next several days. A cold front could bring an increased chance for showers and thunderstorms to the waters early next week.
Aviation... VFR conditions are expected through the period.
Beach Forecast... A high risk of rip currents continues for the Palm Beaches today due to northeasterly long-period swell. A moderate risk of rip currents is forecast for the Broward and Miami-Dade county beaches today. The rip current risk will decrease for the Atlantic beaches Thursday as the swell continues to subside.
NOAA Miami FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.