Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach, FL out 20nm Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Today...E Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft Along The Coast And 5 To 7 Ft, Occasionally To 9 Ft In The Gulf Stream. Period 8 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop.|
|Tonight...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt Along The Coast To E 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To Around 20 Kt In The Gulf Stream. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft. Period 8 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop.|
|Fri...E Se Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Period 6 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas.|
|Fri Night...E Se Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Period 5 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas. A Slight Chance Of Showers Through The Night.|
|Sat...E Se Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas.|
|Sat Night...E Se Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas.|
|Sun...S Se Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Tstms.|
|Sun Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt Becoming Nw After Midnight. Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. Showers Likely Late In The Evening. A Chance Of Tstms Through The Night. A Chance Of Showers After Midnight.|
|Mon...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft Along The Coast And 4 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft In The Gulf Stream. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Morning. A Slight Chance Of Showers.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Miami FL
1232pm EST Thu Dec 7 2023
(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 223am EST Thu Dec 7 2023
As the high-pressure system advances into the western Atlantic, a gradual shift in wind direction to a southeasterly orientation is anticipated in the early weekend. This shift will facilitate a progressive increase in moisture advection, accompanied by a moderation of temperatures during this period. While the majority of the region is expected to remain dry on Friday and Saturday, sufficient lower-level moisture will be present to support a marginal chance of showers, primarily over the east coast areas each day. Saturdays highs are forecast to reach the lower 80s in most areas.
The meteorological pattern is set to undergo a transition on Sunday, as an intensifying mid-level trough emerges from the Plains and extends into the southeastern United States. Concurrently, a cold front will advance through the Southeast, extending into Northern and Central Florida as well as the Gulf of Mexico. Recent ensemble guidance is converging on a scenario where the mid-level trough digs further south, coupled with the development of a secondary surface low over the Ohio River Valley, subsequently tracking towards the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states. While specifics remain uncertain, the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms for South Florida appears to be increasing ahead of the frontal boundary, particularly into Sunday afternoon and evening. Although the most potent dynamics and instability are currently forecast to stay north of the region, the potential for a few strong thunderstorms cannot be entirely dismissed, given the latest model trends indicating a more pronounced mid-level trough and further southward development of the surface low. However, considerable uncertainty persists regarding the exact trajectory of the surface low, which could significantly influence the potential for strong thunderstorm development. This aspect of the forecast will continue to be closely monitored.
Post frontal passage, the front is expected to move through South Florida Sunday night into early Monday, stalling just south of the region over the Florida Straits. Current guidance suggests the front will remain sufficiently proximate to maintain increased cloud cover and a chance of showers, along with a breezy northeasterly flow. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated for this segment, given its position at the edge of the forecasting period. Mondays high temperatures are anticipated to range from the lower 70s in the Lake region to the upper 70s in the east coast metropolitan areas. With a northeasterly wind shift, Tuesdays temperatures are expected to moderate, with mid-70s west of the Lake and around 80 degrees in the southern regions.
Issued at 1208pm EST Thu Dec 7 2023
Hazardous marine conditions today will gradually subside as winds reduce and turn out of the northeast with time. Despite this decrease in wind intensity, hazardous marine conditions may linger over the Atlantic waters this morning, with wave heigheights ranging from 5 to 8 feet. Winds will continue to shift from the east by Friday and southeast by the weekend. Thunderstorms cannot be ruled out later in the weekend ahead of an approaching cold front.
Issued at 1208pm EST Thu Dec 7 2023
A high risk for rip currents will be maintained through at least the end of the week. This elevated threat may persist into the weekend as winds retain their onshore component.
NOAA Miami FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7pm EST this evening for AMZ650-651- 670-671.