Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. A Dominant Period 12 Seconds. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. A Dominant Period 12 Seconds. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Wednesday Night...Northeast Winds 5 Knots Becoming North After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. A Dominant Period 12 Seconds. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Thursday...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Thursday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Friday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming Northeast In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Friday Night...South Winds 5 Knots Becoming Southwest After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. |
| Saturday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming Southwest In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. |
| Saturday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming Northwest After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. |
| Sunday...North Winds 10 Knots Becoming Northeast In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest one third of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest ten percent of the waves. Synopsis for Atlantic coastal waters from Flagler Beach to Jupiter Inlet out 60 nm - AMZ500 257 PM EST Tue Nov 30 2021 High pressure across the Southeast U.S. and northern Florida tonight will shift to the western Atlantic on Wed through late week, with favorable winds and seas. A few showers are possible this evening and Wednesday as a weak surface trough briefly forms offshore. Gulf Stream Hazards: None. The approximate location of the west wall of the Gulf Stream based on the Real Time Ocean Forecast System as of Tuesday, November 30th. 48 nautical miles east of Ponce Inlet. 32 nautical miles east of Port Canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of Sebastian Inlet. 19 nautical miles east of Fort Pierce Inlet. 12 nautical miles east of Saint Lucie Inlet. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 325pm EST Tuesday Nov 30 2021 Tonight-Wed...A high pressure located over the northeast Gulf of Mexico this afternoon will be extending eastward tonight. With that, winds will veer from the north to the east tonight into Wednesday as the high pressure moves towards the western Atlantic. Dry conditions will remain over land although a few showers could be possible over the local Atlantic waters on Wednesday as patches of moderate moisture reach the area. Skies will remain mostly clear tonight with some low clouds moving toward the coast on Wednesday as the aforementioned moisture moves in. Temperatures will be a few degrees warmer tonight but still dropping to the upper 40s for rural locations across the interior and lower 50s elsewhere. And a few degrees warmer too for Wednesday with highs in the mid-upper 70s. Wednesday Night-Saturday... Zonal flow aloft will yield to a fast and weak moving shortwave that will sweep through region Wednesday night into Thursday. The longwave pattern will attempt to become meridional as the trough deepens southeastward across eastern CONUS. However, the southern branch of the upper-level jet will quickly outrun the trough causing it to quickly pivot northeast as ridging builds upstream of east-central Florida. With the lack of of upper-level support and sufficient moisture with precipitable water values remaining around or below 1, only isolated showers are expected over the local Atlantic waters. Weak high pressure will build over the Gulf and slowly move eastward through the beginning of the weekend. Persistent zonal flow will lead to a continued pattern of mostly dry conditions with weak fast moving disturbances lacking support and moisture to produce decent chances for rain. Highs will remain in the low 70s to low 80s with lows in the upper 40s to low 60s. Another weak trough will then move into the region by the end of the weekend as high pressure breaks down over Florida. Saturday-Monday (previous discussion)... Aforementioned mid level troughs moves slowly east across GA/NOFL this weekend, with its vort signature becoming strong out across the peninsula Mon, as a larger, broad trough deepens over the eastern CONUS. At the surface, the ridge over FL slowly weakens As a weak inverted trough develops along or near the FL east coast. thereafter, a cold front, is forecast to slow and become W-E oriented as it reaches NOFL late Monday or Monday night. Model guidance has backed off on shower chances, now showing just a small coastal shower chance Sun...but dry otherwise. Temps remain near to slightly above normal, with highs in the 70s and mins in the 50s. Marine Tonight...High pressure over the southeast U.S. will keep the local winds light and gentle tonight shifting from the NE. Seas 3-4 ft. Wednesday-Saturday... Winds will remain light but erratic at times through the period as multiple weak disturbances move through the region. A few isolated showers, especially over the Gulf Stream can't be ruled out Wednesday night into Thursday and again on saturday. Light northwest flow will gradually veer to the northeast. Expect seas around 1-3ft through the period. Fire Weather Dry weather conditions will continue.nue with no critical wind or relative humidity concerns, although min RH values will drop into the 40-45 percent range across the interior on Thu afternoon. NOAA Melbourne FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. AM...None. |
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