Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line Marine Forecast
| Today...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Northeast 15 To 20 Knots Late. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 5 Feet At 8 Seconds. Choppy On The Intracoastal Waters. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Tonight...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 5 Feet At 7 Seconds. Choppy On The Intracoastal Waters. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Friday...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Wave Detail: East 6 Feet At 7 Seconds. Choppy On The Intracoastal Waters. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Friday Night...East Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 5 To 7 Feet, Occasionally To 9 Feet. Wave Detail: East 6 Feet At 8 Seconds And Southeast 3 Feet At 5 Seconds. Rough On The Intracoastal Waters. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers. |
| Saturday...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 5 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Wave Detail: East 5 Feet At 6 Seconds. Choppy On The Intracoastal Waters. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Saturday Night...South Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 5 Feet At 7 Seconds. Choppy On The Intracoastal Waters. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers Likely In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Sunday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. A Moderate Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers Likely In The Afternoon. |
| Sunday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southwest After Midnight. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening. |
| Monday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 Feet. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Monday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 Feet. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 301am EDT Thu Oct 8 2026 ...New KEY MESSAGES,ARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 233am EDT Thu Oct 8 2026 - A Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall exists across east central Florida each day, with high coverage of showers and embedded storms. Mostly minor flooding is possible in areas that see multiple rounds of heavy rainfall. - There is a High Risk of dangerous rip currents along the Volusia County coast today. Entering the water is strongly discouraged! - Periods of poor boating conditions are forecast through the end of the week, mainly north of Cape Canaveral. Conditions then deteriorate this weekend. Issued at 233am EDT Thu Oct 8 2026 Today - Tonight Stratiform showers continue to traverse the area prior to sunrise, maintaining soggy conditions overnight. A quick break looks possible towards sunrise. However, expect another day of high coverage of showers with scattered embedded storms, with a stationary boundary draped across the county warning area. Rinse and repeat today, as deep moisture remains present over the Florida peninsula. Near record PWATs (Precipitable Waters) approaching 2.5" will continue to support Probability of Precipitation near 90% across the entire area. Multiple rounds of showers and storms are once again expected, with the front stalled near the Treasure Coast. Widespread, quick rainfall totals of 2-4" are forecast, especially in deeper convection. CAMs suggest the greatest chance for a few storms (and likely the highest totals) will be across southern portions of the area this afternoon and into this evening. This will, of course, exacerbate any ongoing flooding concerns from the recent rains. All of east central Florida is once again in a Marginal Risk (1/4) for excessive rainfall. Showers and storms look to move offshore in the evening hours, though scattered showers will remain possible north of I-4 overnight. Northeasterly winds are forecast today north of the stalled front. Winds generally remain under 10 mph or less through tonight, though will need to monitor for an increase in winds along the Volusia County coast later this afternoon and into tonight, as the front begins to lift northward. Onshore flow along the Volusia Coast is expected to produce a High Risk of rip currents and rough surf at those beaches today. Entering the water in this area is strongly discouraged. Dense cloud cover and high precipitation coverage once again keeps highs in the lower 80s north of Melbourne today. However, breaks in the clouds should allow for areas to the south to reach the mid to upper 80s. Muggy conditions will produce peak heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s along the Treasure Coast. Friday - Sunday Ridging over the western Atlantic prevents Hurricane Isaias from reaching the Florida peninsula, while an upper level trough lifts the storm into the northern Gulf Coast late Friday into early Saturday. As the hurricane lifts northward, it finally nudges our stationary front northward, though it remains over the Southeast US through the weekend. Locally, onshore flow on Friday veers southerly for the weekend and becomes breezy as the pressure gradient tightens. The breeziest conditions are forecast Saturday, with gusts 20-25 mph. PWATs (Precipitable Waters) diminish slightly (nearer to 2") on Friday as the front lifts northward, but increasingly southerly flow will once again advect deep tropical moisture into the area for the weekend. Thus, little change to the overall message of the forecast, with high Probability of Precipitation 60-80% continuing late week and through Sunday. However, will see increasing breaks in between showers and storms Friday, but especially on Sunday, as drier air begins to move into the area from the south later in the day. Rainfall totals Friday and Sunday are expected to be closer to 1-1.5" or less, though deeper convection Saturday once again leads to the possibility of widespread totals 1-3". Therefore, could see minor flooding concerns persist in areas that have received heavy rainfall over the last several days. The highest totals on Friday will likely be north of I-4, closer to the front as it lifts northward. That area remains in a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall to end the week. Increasing southerly flow advects warmer air into the forecast area, with high temperatures reaching the upper 80s to lower 90s by the weekend. More efficient daytime heating and additional breaks in the cloud cover will increase the chance for afternoon thunderstorms compared to the last several days. A few storms could be strong, producing wind gusts near 45 mph. Overnight lows look to remain in the mid to upper 70s. Monday - Thursday The trough containing the remnants of Isaias moves off of the Northeast US coast early next week. Meanwhile, high pressure strengthens and stacks vertically over the northern Gulf Coast, moving eastward through the period. Locally, the weak front associated with the trough will drag southward through the peninsula on Monday. PWATs (Precipitable Waters) near 2" will continue to support scattered showers and storms (PoPs 20-30%) along the boundary. However, northerly winds behind the front will advect much drier air into the local area. PWATs (Precipitable Waters) fall below 1.5" (below 1" Tuesday), reducing Probability of Precipitation to 20% or less Tuesday and Wednesday. Northerly flow prevails through mid- week, as the ridge moves eastward, veering onshore late in the period. High temperatures overall remain in the upper 80s to near 90. However, much less humid conditions Tuesday and Wednesday will limit heat indices to the lower to mid-90s. Overnight lows also dip into the 60s. Marine Issued at 233am EDT Thu Oct 8 2026 The stationary boundary remains stalled near the Treasure Coast today, before distant Hurricane Isaias over the Gulf drags it northward Friday and into the weekend. Periods of poor boating conditions, mainly north of the Cape, begin late today and into tonight. Northeasterly winds increase to 15-20 knots off of the Volusia County coast as the front lifts northward and may need Small Craft Advisories for Friday, if winds increase to 20-25 kts. Otherwise, boating conditions deteriorate this weekend, as the pressure gradient tightens. Southerly winds 15-25 kts are forecast across all of the local waters Saturday, before remaining around 15 kts Sunday. Seas generally 4-5 ft, though waves up to 6-7 ft will be possible north of the Cape, especially in the Gulf Stream Friday and Saturday. Regardless, high coverage of showers and storms will continue through the weekend. High pressure will improve boating conditions and lead to lower rain chances next week. NOAA Melbourne FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. AM...None. |
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