Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Tonight...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: North 3 Feet At 5 Seconds And Northeast 1 Foot At 11 Seconds. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Friday...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 3 Feet At 7 Seconds And Northeast 1 Foot At 11 Seconds. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Friday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 3 Feet At 10 Seconds And East 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Saturday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: East 2 Feet At 5 Seconds And Northeast 2 Feet At 8 Seconds. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 3 Feet At 5 Seconds And Northeast 2 Feet At 8 Seconds. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Sunday...South Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 5 Feet At 7 Seconds. Choppy On The Intracoastal Waters. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers Likely In The Afternoon. |
| Sunday Night...South Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Choppy On The Intracoastal Waters. Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Monday...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Northwest In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. A Moderate Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers Likely In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Monday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening. |
| Tuesday...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Tuesday Night...North Winds Around 5 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 723pm EST Thu Feb 12 2026 Issued at 345pm EST Thu Feb 12 2026 Thru tonight...A weak frontal boundary has settled across the FL peninsula, likely oriented NW-SE. Isolated showers will continue to develop near this boundary and move toward the SE. A brief downpour will occur in some lucky spots but most areas will not see measurable rain. Fri-Sat...The front becomes diffuse and dissipates by Sat. Moisture (PWATs (Precipitable Waters) 0.90-1.10") continues to be meager at best. Models have cut back on mentionable precipitation potential (~10%) for Fri, though cannot rule out an isolated sprinkle/brief shower along the Treasure Coast. A slim light precipitation threat continues on Sat (aftn) along the Space/Treasure coasts with a small onshore-moving potential. Light morning northerly winds on Fri gradually transitioning onshore (NE) 7-12 mph into the afternoon. A more direct onshore (E/SE) wind component Sat as high pressure pushes east and offshore the Carolina coast. Temperatures remaining near to slightly above normal. Sun-Wednesday (modified)...In the mid-levels, a vigorous trough east of the Ark/La/Tex region early in the period will continue to track eastward thru early Monday morning. The ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) has this trough along the southeast U.S. coast by 12Z Mon; whereas the GFS (Global Forecast System) has it across the FL Panhandle/north FL - lagging behind. This is still creating issues with timing of the next surface cold front into/through ECFL. The ECMWF brings the front thru ECFL late Sunday overnight into early Monday morning and the GFS still during the day on Mon. WPC appears to be favoring the quicker ECMWF solution. We continue with rain chances Sunday of 30-50% but this may be a little high. Rain chances peak Sunday night at 70-90% and linger early Monday (40-50%). Have maintained a 20-30% chance for lightning Sunday night-Mon. Despite increased clouds/precipitation on Sunday ahead of the next approaching cold front, max temperatures are forecast to reach the low 80s, except upper 70s along the coast. Highs generally in the 70s areawide on Mon/Tue; perhaps some 80 degree readings towards Lake Okee. A quick return to U70s along the coast and L80s interior by Wed. Lows in the U50s to L60s Monday morning, and 50s for Tue/Wed/Thu mornings. The bottom line is there is no significant cold air in our forecast. South winds increase Sunday 15-20 mph with gusts near 30 mph as pressure gradient tightens around surface low tracking east across the deep South. Winds decrease and turn northwest/north behind the front on Mon/Tuesday and possibly light onshore again by Wed. Marine Issued at 345pm EST Thu Feb 12 2026 A weak frontal boundary will remain draped across the local waters tonight/Fri and then dissipate. High pressure will push offshore the SE U.S. coast Sat and produce a more direct onshore flow. Low pressure will track east across the deep South on Sunday and increase the southerly flow. A cold front will sweep across the local waters Sunday night/early Monday and bring high rain chances with embedded storms. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed Sun as the southerly pressure gradient supports 20 knots nearshore and 25 knots well offshore with occasional gusts to Gale force. Seas 2-3 nearshore and up to 4 ft offshore through Sat, then build 5-6 ft (perhaps 7 ft well offshore) in response to the increasing winds on Sunday into Sunday night. Seas will slowly subside in response to the decreasing winds behind the front on Mon. Fire Weather Issued at 344pm EST Thu Feb 12 2026 A frontal boundary will remain stationary across central Florida through Friday then dissipate. High pressure will push offshore the SE U.S. coast Sat which will produce an onshore (E/SE) flow. Low pressure will track east across the deep South Sunday and this will increase our southerly flow, becoming breezy/gusty Sunday afternoon with gusts near 30 mph. This will produce very sensitive fire weather conditions even though RH values are forecast to remain above the critical 35 percent threshold. Smoke dispersion will be Generally Good Friday, and Very Good to Excellent on Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances will increase late Sunday through Sunday night (60-90%) as a cold front approaches then pushes south of the area early Monday. There is a 20-30% chance for lightning storms. NOAA Melbourne FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. AM...None. |
Melbourne Radar
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