Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line Marine Forecast
| Today...North Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Southeast Late. Seas 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 5 Seconds And East 2 Feet At 8 Seconds. Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Tonight...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southwest After Midnight. Seas 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 2 Feet At 3 Seconds And East 2 Feet At 8 Seconds. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Sunday...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: West 2 Feet At 3 Seconds And East 2 Feet At 8 Seconds. A Moderate Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Sunday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: West 3 Feet At 3 Seconds And East 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Monday...Northwest Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming North In The Afternoon. Seas 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And East 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Monday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 Feet. Wave Detail: North 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And East 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Tuesday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 Feet. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Tuesday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 Feet. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East In The Afternoon. Seas 2 Feet. A Light Chop On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Wednesday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 Feet. Mostly Smooth On The Intracoastal Waters. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1234am EST Sat Nov 15 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES,ARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1234am EST Sat Nov 15 2025 - A seasonably warm and dry weekend is forecast across east central Florida. Patchy morning fog is possible, mainly over rural locations. - There is a Moderate Risk of life-threatening rip currents at Atlantic beaches this weekend. - Little to no rain is anticipated over the next week. Issued at 1234am EST Sat Nov 15 2025 -----------Synoptic Overview----------- Broad northwesterly flow persists aloft over Florida this morning, courtesy of a deep trough centered over the Canadian Maritimes. Upstream, a ridge of upper high pressure is placed over the Southern Plains. The overall upper-air pattern is expected to be relatively stable through the weekend due to a powerful blocking high over Greenland. The Southern Plains ridge is likely to be forced eastward by the middle of next week, extending from the Gulf northward to the Great Lakes, in response to multiple disturbances crashing onto the California coast. Surface high pressure remains in control, its center only displaced from North Florida today to South Florida on Sunday. An energetic shortwave diving into the Northeast U.S. will push a moisture-starved front toward the state late on Sunday and into Monday before undergoing frontolysis somewhere over the peninsula. After that time, reinforcing high pressure builds over the Carolinas and then drifts into the W Atlantic by the middle of next week. Only around 20% of the 14/12Z ensemble suite has a front approaching Florida around next Saturday. With the upper ridge axis anchored close to Florida by late next week, it looks rather difficult for any strong cold fronts to make their way down here. Total moisture values remain near to below normal for much of the next week. H85 T's hold just a bit below normal through the weekend before jumping above normal by the middle of next week (and likely well beyond that time as well). -------Sensible Weather & Impacts------- Weekend... Pleasant autumn weather continues with seasonable afternoon temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s and lows in the 50s to low 60s. Plenty of sunshine is forecast after any patchy morning fog burns off. By Sunday afternoon, west-southwesterly winds increase just a bit (10-15 mph with a few gusts to 20 mph) ahead of our next front. Next Week... On Monday, the front approaching Florida will quickly be losing steam as it outruns its upper support. There is a brief ribbon of slightly higher moisture, perhaps enough for some added cloud cover or even some showers offshore early in the week. With the polar jet remaining well north, no significant cool air intrusion is anticipated. In fact, as ridging builds overhead from the middle of the week and beyond, expect temperatures to turn above normal (80s). While a couple showers or sprinkles may skirt the coast around Tuesday or Wednesday, we still have no mention of measurable rain over land for the next week. Beyond The 7-Day... As we look toward the week of Thanksgiving, ensemble guidance places the active storm track closer to the Mississippi Valley as ridging tries to hold sway near Florida. CPC favors above-normal temperatures and near-normal rainfall over Florida between November 22nd - 28th. Marine Issued at 1234am EST Sat Nov 15 2025 An axis of high pressure remains over the waters today and tonight, yielding light winds and favorable seas. By Sunday, an approaching cold front will freshen offshore breezes, particularly over the Volusia County Gulf Stream waters. This front is expected to dissipate over the local Atlantic late Monday into Tuesday with high pressure building in its wake by the middle of next week. Near the coast, winds turn onshore this afternoon, E up to 10 KT. The sea breeze is unlikely to develop on Sunday, leaving WSW winds 5-10 KT near the coast, up to 15-20 KT well offshore and north of Cape Canaveral. Winds turn NNE on Monday, then quickly E on Tuesday, up to 10 KT both days. Seas 1-2 FT nearshore through the weekend and early next week, and up to 3-4 FT in the Gulf Stream. NOAA Melbourne FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. AM...None. |
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