Marine Weather Net

Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 NM Marine Forecast


REST OF TODAY

S
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TONIGHT

SW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

TUE

NW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

TUE NIGHT

SW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
PZZ370 Forecast Issued: 848 AM PDT Mon Oct 14 2024

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
Rest Of Today...S Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 9 To 12 Ft. Wave Detail: S 2 Ft At 6 Seconds, W 11 Ft At 17 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 17 Seconds. A Chance Of Rain Early This Morning, Then Rain Likely This Afternoon.
Tonight...Sw Wind 5 To 10 Kt, Veering To Nw After Midnight. Seas 10 To 12 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 2 Ft At 6 Seconds, W 11 Ft At 15 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 17 Seconds. Rain Likely.
Tue...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 9 To 10 Ft. Wave Detail: W 9 Ft At 14 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 15 Seconds. Rain Likely.
Tue Night...Sw Wind 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming S 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Seas 8 To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, W 8 Ft At 14 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. Rain.
Wed...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 8 To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, W 8 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 14 Seconds. Rain.
Wed Night...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming W 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Seas 7 To 8 Ft. Wave Detail: W 7 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 14 Seconds. Rain.
Thu...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 9 Ft At 11 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 14 Seconds. Rain.
Thu Night...N Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 9 To 11 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 10 Ft At 11 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 14 Seconds. A Chance Of Rain In The Evening.
Fri...N Wind 5 To 10 Kt, Veering To E In The Afternoon. Seas 7 To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 9 Ft At 10 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 13 Seconds.
Fri Night...N Wind Around 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: W 3 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 6 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 13 Seconds. A Chance Of Rain.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
1101am PDT Monday Oct 14 2024

Marine
Updated 200am PDT Monday, October 14, 2024...A heavier westerly swell will move into the waters this morning, with seas peaking out between 11 and 13 feet Monday afternoon. Steep seas are expected in all waters Monday afternoon and continue through at least Tuesday afternoon. Also sneaker waves may be possible along the beaches. Please see the beach hazards discussion below for details.

Seas are forecast to gradually decrease Tuesday afternoon and evening. An active weather pattern is becoming more likely with the weak front Tuesday morning followed by a couple more stronger fronts Wednesday morning, and Thursday afternoon. -Petrucelli

.BEACH HAZARDS...Updated 200am PDT Sunday, October 13, 2024...On Monday, incoming long period westerly swell and an existing long period southerly swell will combine to bring a moderate risk of sneaker waves to area waters. Additionally, this will come during the time of high tide. Current guidance suggests that the highest risk will be Monday afternoon which is a holiday, and a beach hazards statement remains in effect for this sneaker wave risk.

Sneaker waves are an unpredictable wave that can surge farther onto the beach than expected. These waves can roll logs and carry large debris as they move up the beach. The wave itself or the objects caught in it can knock beachgoers off their feet and sweep them out into the cold open water. Cold water immersion can be dangerous, even deadly. -Schaaf/Petrucelli

/Issued 449am PDT Monday Oct 14 2024/

The weather at the coast has already turned seasonable with cool temperatures and widespread stratus. Meantime, conditions inland will remain around a dozen degrees above normal today and several degrees above normal Tuesday.

This is ahead of a shift to an active, wet, noticeably colder pattern early Tuesday evening into early Friday morning (with only a brief break between systems later Wednesday night). A dry break with a modest warming trend sending temperatures back to around normal is expected for Friday and Saturday. Beyond Saturday, model differences are significant regarding the timing of the return to an active pattern early next week.

First, a weak and weakening front will pass through the area tonight into Tuesday, bringing some light precipitation to the coast and Douglas County. This will also bring breezy winds east of the Cascades on Tuesday.

There is high confidence with excellent model agreement on an upper level trough swinging through the Pacific Northwest Tuesday night through Wednesday. While this will bring widespread chances of wetting rains, there remains uncertainty regarding just how much rain will accumulate. As is typical, chances are highest along and west of the Cascades and north of the OR/CA border for the greatest amount of precipitation. For a 24 hour period ending 00z Thursday (5pm Wednesday), current guidance indicates a 50-80% chance of 0.25" for areas along and west of the Cascades, decreasing to 25-40% for areas east of the Cascades and south of the OR/CA border. In addition, temperatures will feel rather cool compared to recent weeks. High temperatures on Wednesday will peak at around 5 to 15 degrees below normal (mid 60s (upper 50s) for West (East) Side Valleys).

There should be a brief break in the weather late Wednesday into early Thursday morning before a secondary trough sags southward over the area. This will bring an even cooler air mass into the region and snow levels will lower to around 5000 ft by Thursday morning, then hover around 5500 ft during the day Thursday. If the current trajectory of precipitation stays on track, there could be a few inches of snow accumulation in the high Cascades on Thursday. Current guidance indicates about a 30-40% chance of 2-4 inches in the Cascades (north of Lake of the s) with a 50-70% chance of at least 1 inch of snow ending at 12z (5am) Friday morning. Given this is the first snow of the season, be aware and prepared for some wintry travel/conditions on Thursday. For the remainder of the area, this secondary trough will likely deliver another shot of beneficial precipitation to the region, especially west of the Cascades.

For those with agricultural concerns, temperatures could get quite chilly west of the Cascades Thursday night into Friday morning and we could be looking at some frost and freeze concerns for the Rogue, Illinois and Shasta Valleys. There's about a 40% chance of temperatures reaching frost thresholds in the Rogue/Illinois Valleys on Friday morning, with around a 80% chance of freezing temperatures for Montague/Shasta Valley. The amount of clearing on the back side of the trough will influence how cold it will get, but those who have agricultural interests should stay tuned for updates. -DW/BR-y

NOAA Medford OR Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
OR...Beach Hazards Statement until 8pm PDT this evening for ORZ021- 022.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 5pm PDT Tuesday for PZZ350-356-370-376.