Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 NM Marine Forecast
|Today...Se Wind 5 To 10 Kt...Veering To W Late Afternoon. Cape Arago Southward, Se Wind 5 Kt...Veering To S Early In The Morning, Then...Becoming Variable Less Than 5 Kt In The Morning... Becoming Nw 5 Kt In The Afternoon. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. W Swell 4 To 5 Ft At 12 Seconds. Swell Less Than 2 Ft...Becoming And W 2 Ft In The Afternoon. Patchy Fog Before Sunrise.|
|Tonight...N Wind 5 Kt...Veering To E Early In The Morning. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Swell W 3 To 4 Ft At 12 Seconds.|
|Sat...Sw Wind 5 Kt. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Swell W 4 To 5 Ft At 13 Seconds.|
|Sat Night...E Wind 5 Kt...Veering To Se After Midnight. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Swell W 4 To 5 Ft.|
|Sun...S Wind 5 To 10 Kt...Veering To Sw In The Afternoon. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Swell W 4 To 5 Ft. Chance Of Rain.|
|Sun Night...W Wind 5 To 10 Kt...Veering To N After Midnight. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Swell W 4 To 5 Ft. Chance Of Showers.|
|Mon...N Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less... Becoming 3 Ft. W Swell 4 To 5 Ft. Less Than 2 Ft.|
|Tue...N Wind 15 To 20 Kt. Wind Waves 3 To 4 Ft. Nw Swell 5 Ft... Subsiding To 3 Ft.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Medford OR
300am PST Fri Jan 28 2022
28/00Z NAM/GFS/EC in.
Mostly clear skies prevail across most of the land portion of the Medford forecast area. The exception is low clouds and fog/freezing fog mostly in the Umpqua and Coquille basins. There is also some stratus on the eastern border of Lake county. There is a large area of marine stratus over the coastal waters, mostly beyond 10 nm of the coast.
A strong upper level ridge is in place over the western US. This ridge will weaken and move east, and a weak trough will move onshore Sunday. Until then, the stagnant pattern will persist over the area with mostly clear skies and night into morning low clouds and fog/freezing fog, mostly over the Umpqua and Coquille basins.
The front associated with this trough will bring the only chance of precipitation over the area for the coming week. A chance of light precipitation will develop Sunday morning, peak Sunday night, and diminish Monday. The last of the showers will end Monday afternoon.
Precipitation will be light and limited to the Cascades west and Siskiyous north, except possibly around Chemult and in the Happy Camp area. Storm totals will be light, up to around 0.25 inches over the higher terrain of the Coast Range and Cascades. The coast will generally see 0.15 inches or less, and the inland west side valleys will get less than 0.10 inches. The Cascades will see 1 to 3 inches of snow.
Once that trough moves out to the east Monday, the offshore ridge will redevelop and northwest flow will set up over the area. A stagnant dry pattern will set up again with mostly clear skies and night into morning low clouds and fog/freezing fog in the west side valleys.
This will continue until the ridge axis finally moves onshore next Friday. It will be dry until at least Friday, and even then any precipitation that does develop will be light and limited to the north coast and extreme lower Umpqua Basin.
The 8 to 14 day outlook, valid from February 4-10, calls for greater chances of above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.
Updated 200am PST Friday, 28 January 2022... Relatively calm conditions are expected through Sunday morning. A cold front will approach the waters Sunday afternoon and south winds will increase, but they are expected to remain below small craft. The cold front will move through the waters late Sunday night. A thermal trough is then likely to develop next Monday and last for most of next week, with steeper seas and moderate to strong northerly winds. Winds will be strongest south of Cape Blanco. -Petrucelli
NOAA Medford OR Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
OR...Air Stagnation Advisory until 10am PST Sunday for ORZ023>026-029>031.
CA...Air Stagnation Advisory until 10am PST Sunday for CAZ080>082-084-085.
Pacific Coastal Waters... None.