Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming West 10 To 15 Knots Late. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Thunderstorms With A Slight Chance Of Showers Late. |
| Tonight...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Northeast With Gusts Up To 20 Knots After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 3 Seconds And West 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 4 Feet At 4 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday Night...East Winds 20 To 25 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 5 Feet At 5 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 7 Seconds. Protected Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Thursday...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 5 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Thursday Night...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 4 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Friday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Friday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Saturday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Southeast 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Saturday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 122pm EDT Tuesday Jun 2 2026 Issued at 1034am EDT Tuesday Jun 2 2026 Current mesoanalysis indicates airmass across the forecast area is rather stable with dewpoints largely in the mid to upper 60s. Showers moving southeastward across central Alabama have begun to weaken over the past hour or so as they approach this more stable airmass and expect this trend to continue in the near term. Still some uncertainty through the remainder of the day as to the evolution of the boundary layer, with guidance differing on how quickly low-level moisture recovers. If low-level moisture recovers, instability will likely be more than enough to support scattered strong to severe storms by late afternoon given the increased deep layer shear from the approaching mid-level trough axis. However, is dewpoints don't recover into the lower to mid 70s, then convection will have difficulty initiating. Will be monitoring the moisture recovery closely over the next couple of hours. .SHORT TERM... (Today and Tonight) Issued at 242am EDT Tuesday Jun 2 2026 Reinforcing front pushing southward from the aide of a positively tilted upper trough digging along the Coastal Carolinas will provide an inland focus for showers and thunderstorms today- tonight. Convection is expected to initiate in two distinct areas - seabreeze zone to the south and along the aforementioned front to the north. Subsequent outflow boundary collisions should aid in additional cell development with much of the overall activity coming together late this afternoon or early evening roughly across the FL state line. Thunderstorms will pose a dual threat for isolated severe weather and heavy rain in the form of potentially strong-damaging gusts, small hail, and localized flooding. Frequent lightning is another concern. The axis of precipitation gradually shift south/southwestward tonight towards the coast, then primarily offshore tomorrow morning. High temperatures are forecast to range from the upper 80s to low 90s with max heat indices exceeding 90 degrees (isolated low 100s south of I-10). Low temperatures drop to the 60s thanks to lowering dew points in the front's wake. Long Term (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 242am EDT Tuesday Jun 2 2026 After an extended stretch of convectively active and hot/humid weather, a reprieve is on the way following the passage of an uncommon early June front. A notably drier and somewhat cooler airmass filtering in from the north/northeast will make Wednesday- Thursday feel pleasant. Highs on Wednesday range from the upper 70s to low 80s with lows in the upper 50s/low 60s by Thursday morning. Upper-level ridging and surface high pressure overhead should keep convection mostly suppressed the remainder of the forecast period while fostering a gradual warming trend. Temperatures respond by warming about a couple degrees each successive day. Low-end rain chances are in place for the FL Panhandle coast this weekend. Marine Issued at 242am EDT Tuesday Jun 2 2026 Gentle to moderate northwest breezes become backed to westerly this afternoon, then freshen out of the northeast tonight following frontal passage. Advisory level easterlies follow Wednesday and persist until late Thursday or early Friday. Preceding the front will be high chances for showers and thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow with lingering convection across the offshore waters Friday into Saturday. Fire Weather Issued at 242am EDT Tuesday Jun 2 2026 One more day of high convective coverage expected this afternoon and evening as a front drops south and interacts with the seabreeze and thunderstorm outflow boundaries. Pockets of wetting rains appear likely. Isolated strong to severe weather is possible. Thunderstorms will otherwise pose a frequent lightning and gusty/erratic wind threat. Dry weather is expected the remainder of the work week. Northwest winds turn northeasterly to easterly behind the front. Pockets of high afternoon dispersions are forecast Wednesday and Thursday. Hydrology Issued at 242am EDT Tuesday Jun 2 2026 Isolated instances of nuisance and/or flash flooding remain possible today from scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms forecast along a front moving in from the northeast and the seabreeze zone to the south. Widespread rain amounts are forecast to range from about 0.5 to 1.5 inches (isolated higher). Local CAMs show a mostly greater than 25% chance of 3 inches, especially in the Central FL Big Bend area. A reasonable worst case is 3-5+ inches, including the 0Z HREF. The latest Flash Flood Guidance shows that 2.5-3.5 inches or rain in 1 hr or 3-4 inches of rain in 3 hrs would be required to produce flash flooding. Recent rainfall has increased soil moisture, but long term drought conditions remain. As of May 28th however, the latest monitor shows improvement along/west of the Flint River basin where D2 severe drought is now in place from roughly from Albany, GA to just west of KECP in Bay County, FL. Extreme to exceptional drought remains in place to the east. Additional near-term improvement is likely if thunderstorm coverage meets expectations today. We then dry out the remainder of the work week. In terms of rivers, the Choctawhatchee Bruce is cresting in action stage and forecast to fall below action stage by Thursday. Yesterday's locally heavy rain prompted Bruce Creek near Red Bay to spike into action stage. Additional rises are possible in area rivers depending on how rainfall evolves today. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114. GA...None. AL...None. GM...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for GMZ735. |
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