Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots Late. Seas 2 To 4 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms Early This Evening. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Saturday...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 4 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Saturday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Sunday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Southwest 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 4 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Sunday Night...Northwest Winds 25 To 30 Knots, Becoming North 20 To 25 Knots After Midnight. Seas 4 To 6 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Very Rough. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers, Mainly In The Evening. |
| Monday...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 7 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. |
| Monday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. |
| Tuesday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. |
| Tuesday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Increasing To 20 To 25 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Rough. |
| Wednesday Night...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet. Protected Waters Rough. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 356pm EST Fri Dec 8 2023 ...MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING THIS WEEKEND... .SHORT TERM... (Saturday Night through Sunday Night) Issued at 323pm EST Fri Dec 8 2023 In the mid-levels, a deepening longwave trough moves through on Sunday with two pieces of energy bifurcating across the region. An associated cold front is poised to sweep across the region late in the day. In advance, expect multiple lines/clusters of showers with embedded thunderstorms. The storm environment is characterized by High Shear Low Cape (HSLC). Storms could begin as early as late Saturday night in Southeast Alabama and the western FL Panhandle, but are more likely early Sunday morning, then moving eastward across Southwest Georgia and the FL Big Bend into the evening hours. Where storms can become surface based, the main threat would be isolated damaging winds, but any QLCS features could lead to a brief tornado. Storm Prediction Center has the entire tri-state region in a marginal risk for severe thunder- storms. There are hydro concerns as well, and that is further discussed in the Hydrology section at the end of this product. Long Term (Monday through Friday) Issued at 323pm EST Fri Dec 8 2023 Dry weather is expected through the period, with a low potential for a few showers to work into coastal areas late in the week as low pressure tries to develop in the gulf. Otherwise, strong high pressure should dominate with easterly flow. After chilly weather Monday and Tuesday, temperatures moderate closer to seasonal levels. Marine Issued at 323pm EST Fri Dec 8 2023 Southeasterly flow around high pressure over the southwest Atlantic will clock around to southerly ahead of a strong cold front, which will sweep across the waters on Sunday, with winds clocking around to the northwest in the wake of the cold front by Sunday night. Winds should remain in the 15 to 20 knot range through early Saturday night, but could briefly reach the advisory threshold for small craft tonight. A more solid period of small craft advisory conditions is expected to begin later Saturday Night and persist into Monday. In particular, a few hours of gale force gusts are possible with the passage of the cold front late Saturday into early Sunday, and gale headlines may be needed if confidence increases. A short reprieve with lighter winds on Monday as high pressure briefly traverses the waters. Winds clock around to the northeast by Tuesday, as high pressure settles over the mid- Atlantic, with speeds possibly increasing to around 20 knots through midweek. Fire Weather Issued at 323pm EST Fri Dec 8 2023 There are low fire weather concerns through this forecast period as a cold front will impact the area this weekend resulting in a wetting rain areawide. Beginning tomorrow, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected before a line of thunderstorms moves through the area on Sunday. A drier trend will begin on Monday with fair dispersions expected areawide. Hydrology Issued at 323pm EST Fri Dec 8 2023 With the Aucilla River falling below flood stage this morning, there are no longer any river flood warnings in effect. Our attention turns to another weekend storm with the potential for heavy rainfall on Saturday and Sunday. WPC has placed Southeast Alabama and the FL Panhandle in a Marginal Risk for excessive rain Saturday. The Marginal Risk shifts eastward on Sunday into the FL Big Bend and Southwest Georgia. There is uncertainty in where the higher rainfall axes will setup. The area of most concern is closer to the gulf coast over the FL counties, especially the panhandle, and possibly extending northward into Southeast Alabama - this is where bands with high rainfall rates have the potential to move inland and train over the same areas - some of the ensembles are showing the potential for localized amounts in excess of 5 to 6 inches. This could result in isolated flash flooding. Otherwise, widespread rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is expected across the tri-state region. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...High Rip Current Risk until 10pm EST /9pm CST/ this evening for FLZ112-115. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. |
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