Marine Weather Net

Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast


TODAY

N
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TONIGHT

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ755 Forecast Issued: 210 AM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025

Today...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 3 Feet At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers Early This Morning.
Tonight...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Wednesday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers, Mainly In The Morning.
Wednesday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming East 15 To 20 Knots After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: East 3 Feet At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight.
Thursday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 4 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Thursday Night...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Wave Detail: East 6 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Friday...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Protected Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Friday Night...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Protected Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Saturday...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots, Becoming East 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Protected Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Saturday Night...East Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Protected Waters Rough. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
212am EDT Tuesday September 30 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM,

Marine
IRE WEATHER,Hydrology
Near Term
(Today and tonight) Issued at 210am EDT Tuesday September 30 2025

Today will be similar to yesterday as we will continue the northeast flow, coming off from the north side of Tropical Storm Imelda. A deck of low stratus clouds will be moving in to the region from the northeast, and will likely linger into the early afternoon hours. Due to this, I have reduced the afternoon max temperatures a couple of degrees below NBM guidance. As a result, afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 80s, with overnight temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. Although there is less moisture in the air, there remains a slight chance for isolated showers during the day. The best chance will be along the I-75 corridor into the Suwannee Valley and the AL wiregrass region into west-central Georgia.

.SHORT TERM AND Long Term (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 210am EDT Tuesday September 30 2025

A backdoor cold front will sink in from the northeast, bringing in somewhat cooler air to the region. The front is expected to move into our marine zones and stall there for several days. Following the frontal passage over land, high pressure will build to our north and east, creating a tightening pressure gradient. This will increase our winds where we could see wind gusts of 20-30 mph by Thursday through the weekend.

Temperatures for this term look to be a little cooler as we can potentially expect more cloud cover later in the week towards the weekend. This is due to the cool northeasterly flow at the surface with warm southwesterly flow aloft. Straight NBM guidance doesn't typically catch these nuances very well; so as a precaution, have decided to lower temperatures for the extended by blending in NBM25 keeping temperatures in the low to mid 80s for areas north of I-10.

A small shortwave trough of low pressure looks to develop along the stalled front over our marine zones near the weekend, which would bring moisture back into the region, increasing our chances for showers and thunderstorms along the coast. This will bring PoPs ranging from 30-40 percent for mainly Southern Georgia, Florida Panhandle, and the Big Bend.

Marine
Issued at 210am EDT Tuesday September 30 2025

Favorable boating conditions will continue for the daytime hours through Wednesday with north/northeast winds around 10-15 kts and seas ranging from 1-3 feet. Cautionary conditions are possible during the overnight hours due to the nocturnal surges.

A cold front is expected to pass through and stall over the marine waters during the day Wednesday, creating a tight pressure gradient increasing the winds and seas. Advisory level winds will likely begin Thursday and continue through the weekend with winds around 20-25 kts and gusts around 30kts. There is about a 10-20% chance that wind gusts may exceed gale-force criteria (34 kts) during this time period. Seas are expected to increase and range from 5-9 ft Thursday through the weekend.

Along with the increase of wind and seas, there is a decent chance for showers and thunderstorms over the waters along the stalled front. Probability of Precipitation range from 30% over the nearshore waters to nearly 80% for our far offshore waters.

Fire Weather
Issued at 210am EDT Tuesday September 30 2025

Northeasterly transport winds will continue through the forecast period with gust values peaking around 15-20 mph during the afternoons. Rain chances will be minimal over the next several days, but an isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible this afternoon near the I-75 corridor. Dispersions for the regions will be moderate with perhaps a few pockets of high dispersions in the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend during the afternoons to go along with the elevated transport winds. This may increase fire weather concerns late in the week into the weekend.

Hydrology
Issued at 210am EDT Tuesday September 30 2025

Isolated to scattered showers will be possible over the region through this evening, but significant rainfall is not expected. Currently, the drought conditions and low flow on area rivers will prevail. By Thursday, a backdoor cold front is expected to stall over the marine zones. If the front stalls further north along the coast, then there will be potential for heavy rainfall late this weekend along the coast. Continue to follow the forecast as updates are made.

NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.