Apalachee Bay and Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...West Winds 15 To 20 Knots Through Early Evening, Then Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots Around Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 4 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Tuesday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Morning. |
| Tuesday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Wednesday...Southwest Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Wednesday Night...South Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Smooth. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Thursday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Thursday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Friday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Morning. |
| Friday Night...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Saturday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Southeast 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 253pm EDT Monday August 3 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, Marine IRE WEATHER,Hydrology .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 252pm EDT Monday August 3 2026 - The recent anomalously wet pattern is winding down, and the threat of excessive rainfall is ending. Starting Wednesday, we will fully return to a typical coverage and rhythm of summertime thunderstorms, featuring mainly afternoon and early evening storms, plus morning storms over the Gulf and immediate coast. .SHORT TERM... (This Evening through Tuesday) Issued at 252pm EDT Monday August 3 2026 The recent anomalously wet pattern is winding down, and the threat of excessive rainfall is ending. Satellite imagery has nicely shown drier mid- level air, which was over Alabama early this morning, spreading southeast across the rest of the region this afternoon. Where the drier air has arrived, convective coverage has been sharply curtailed today. The drier air will spread across the rest of the service area late this afternoon. We have therefore cancelled the Flood Watch for the last few counties where it was in effect. The upper trough over the Southeast U.S., which brought the unsettled fast westerly flow along the NE Gulf Coast, is cutting off into a vertically stacked closed low over Georgia. It will start to fill on Tuesday. Over the next 24 hours, this will weaken our westerly low-mid level flow and lessen the potential for focusing thunderstorms into slow-moving lines or clusters like the ones that have brought excessive rainfall recently. Plus, the air mass will simply not be as moist. However, we will still be under a cyclonic flow pattern. Plus, destabilizing cold air aloft will be present near the center of the vertically stacked low over Georgia. So there will still be plenty of showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday, especially during peak daytime heating on Tuesday. Convection will be more spotty, and individual cells will be smaller and shorter-lived. Long Term (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 252pm EDT Monday August 3 2026 The vertically stacked low over Georgia will continue to weaken on Tuesday night and nearly dissipate on Wednesday. On Thursday and Friday, a strong subtropical high out near Bermuda will extend a ridge westward across Georgia and into Alabama, putting the region in low-mid level east-southeast flow from from late Thursday through the weekend. This will put us back into one of our most quintessential summer patterns. Seasonable temperatures (highs in the low-mid 90s), seasonable dewpoints (mid 70s), seasonable Precipitable Water values in the 1.7 to 2.1 inch range, and a seasonable daily rhythm of scattered seabreeze-focused convection will prevail. Marine Issued at 252pm EDT Monday August 3 2026 Low pressure over Georgia and Alabama will weaken through Tuesday night and then dissipate on Wednesday, causing southwest breezes to gradually decrease. The subtropical Atlantic ridge axis will then build westward across Georgia and into Alabama from Thursday through Saturday, bringing a turn to gentle and moderate east and southeast breezes across the waters. Fire Weather Issued at 252pm EDT Monday August 3 2026 The region has started a transition away from the recent wet pattern featuring heavy rain at any time of the day or night. Instead by Wednesday, we will have fully returned to a more typical coverage and afternoon rhythm of summertime thunderstorms. Westerly flow across the region will weaken on Tuesday, go light on Wednesday, then turn easterly from Thursday through the weekend. Otherwise, a seasonably hot and unstable air mass will prevail. Hydrology Issued at 252pm EDT Monday August 3 2026 The threat of excessive rainfall is ending, and the Flood Watch has been cancelled early. No river flooding is expected. We now transition back into a more typical summertime hydro regime, in which any concerns are of the short-lived nuisance variety, stemming from brief torrential rainfall rates beneath the core of heavier storms. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114- 115. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. |
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