Apalachee Bay and Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Tonight...Northeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming East, Then Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots Late. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. |
| Thursday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas Around 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. |
| Thursday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 3 Feet After Midnight. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet In The Morning, Then 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southeast 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Friday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 3 Feet At 7 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening. |
| Saturday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 3 Feet At 7 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. |
| Saturday Night...West Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Seas Around 3 Feet. Protected Waters Smooth. |
| Sunday...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas Around 3 Feet In The Morning, Then 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Sunday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming North 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Monday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Monday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Northeast 15 To 20 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 3 Feet After Midnight. Protected Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1014pm EDT Wednesday April 1 2026 ...New .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1010pm EDT Wednesday April 1 2026 - Patchy to areas of fog, some of which may be locally dense, is forecast to focus along/west of the Apalachicola-Flint River basin tomorrow morning. Exercise caution if commuting. - Daily isolated to scattered afternoon showers with isolated thunderstorms are forecast Friday through Sunday. Thunderstorms will be capable of strong-gusty winds and perhaps small hail. - A prolonged period of high rip current risk is expected to continue at all local beaches. Please heed the beach flags if visiting. Issued at 1010pm EDT Wednesday April 1 2026 The only change of note was updating Probability of Precipitation over the next few hrs to account for a stubborn batch of convection extending from the Wiregrass to west of the I-75 corridor. Slow-moving thunderstorm clusters have produced locally heavy rain at Albany where the ABY airport has picked up over 1.5 inches since 827PM EDT. That amount is 40+ percent of the normal April monthly total, and it's happening on the first day, no joke! .SHORT TERM AND Long Term (This Evening through next Tuesday) Issued at 255pm EDT Wednesday April 1 2026 Unseasonably warm temperatures and moisture advection from the Gulf support another round of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. These pulse-like thunderstorms may produce occasional strong wind gusts and should follow a similar evolution to yesterday's convection; storms Probability of Precipitation up along the sea breeze front and gradually drift northward into our AL and GA counties. Expect additional storm initiation along the outflow boundaries of some cells. Overall, rain totals Will be around 0.5 inches with isolated spots receiving up to 1 inch. Although this rain is much needed, drought conditions are not expected to improve. Convective activity should dissipate by this evening. Another round of patchy fog is expected to set up early Thursday morning in the FL Panhandle and SE AL. This pattern of early morning patchy fog is expected to continue through Friday. High temperatures are forecasted in the mid 80s and low temperatures in the low 60s across the CWA. These unseasonably warm temperatures persist thanks to upper level ridging and drier conditions in place Thursday. Winds are generally out of the SE, except for the seabreeze along the FL Big Bend and Panhandle. On Friday, a broad upper-level troughing pattern pushes a weak cold front eastward through the CWA. Upper level vorticity seems to support development of thunderstorms ahead of the front, although it may fizzle out as it moves eastward. Again, these thunderstorms are not expected to improve drought conditions. And speaking of drought, this weak cold front ushers in temporarily drier weather by Saturday and RH deceases across the region. A strong upper-level trough makes its way across the CONUS this weekend, and an associated cold front arrives to our CWA (County Warning Area) by Sunday. This front will be stronger and more impactful than the previously mentioned front from Friday. Thunderstorms accompany this frontal passage, though severe potential seems limited due to a lack of upper-level support. Can't rule out some strong gusty winds and a few isolated cells with heavy rain. Temperatures decrease, with highs in the 70s early next week. Early next week, there are some indications of lingering vorticity in the upper levels which allow rain chances linger through next Tuesday. Long Term Marine Issued at 255pm EDT Wednesday April 1 2026 The surface high in the western Atlantic maintains gentle to moderate easterly to southeasterly breezes through this weekend with daily afternoon seabreezes and nightly landbreeze surges. This flow regime causes elevated wave heights, with occasional 3-4 ft wave heights. A passing front some time Sunday afternoon or evening causes winds to veer southerly and southwesterly. Winds then quickly turn northerly following frontal passage and increase to advisory levels west of Apalachicola by Monday morning. Fire Weather Issued at 255pm EDT Wednesday April 1 2026 On Thursday, high dispersions are forecast across much of the CWA as a slightly drier air mass allows min RH to drop to about 35% - 40%. Fire weather concerns are minimal Friday thanks to southeast flow, afternoon seabreezes, and daily afternoon thunderstorms. On Saturday, a drier air mass is ushered in by a weak cold front, however, RH remains above critical thresholds. On Sunday, a stronger cold front supports higher Probability of Precipitation and the potential for a wetting rain for parts of the CWA. Some shortwave troughing early next week supports continued chances for showers and thunderstorms, keeping fire weather concerns low throughout the forecast period. Hydrology Issued at 255pm EDT Wednesday April 1 2026 Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms are forecast into next week. Highest chances for a wetting rain is on Sunday, with the passage of a cold front. Rainfall is expected at about a third of an inch to an inch. There are no flooding concerns associated with this frontal system. Although this rain is much needed, drought conditions are not expected to improve. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. |