Marine Weather Net

Apalachee Bay and Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast


REST OF TONIGHT

SW
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TUESDAY

W
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TUESDAY NIGHT

W
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

NW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ730 Forecast Issued: 736 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Rest Of Tonight...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop.
Tuesday...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop.
Tuesday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Gusts Up To 25 Knots In The Evening. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: West 3 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Wednesday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: West 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 7 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Northwest 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: West 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Thursday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 2 Feet In The Afternoon. Wave Detail: West 1 Foot At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 7 Seconds, Becoming Southwest 1 Foot At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 7 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Thursday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Friday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 2 Feet In The Afternoon. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Friday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop.
Saturday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop.
Saturday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
730pm EDT Monday Jun 22 2026

Issued at 723pm EDT Monday Jun 22 2026

The previous forecast appears to be on track. A few ongoing showers and storms this evening will gradually dissipate over the next several hours.

.SHORT TERM AND Long Term (This Evening through next Sunday) Issued at 210pm EDT Monday Jun 22 2026

Showers and storms this afternoon and evening will advance NE from the I-10 corridor. Any storms will be capable of producing gusty winds given high DCAPE. Will have to keep an eye on a complex of storms advancing SE toward the region late tonight, accounted for with higher Probability of Precipitation across the Northwest portions of our service area. These storms are expected to weaken as they approach, but would be capable of gusty winds if they're surface based when they reach our area late tonight/early Tuesday morning, given support from a shortwave and stronger winds aloft.

On Tuesday, additional shortwave energy in the Northwest flow aloft is expected to initiate additional showers and storms, especially during the afternoon and evening. We'll have to see how quickly the atmosphere recovers from the earlier convection, i.e., debris clouds. A fairly strong wind field aloft in an environment characterized by mid-level lapse rates around 7C/km, given sufficient instability, would be capable of storms with isolated damaging wind gusts and hail. Some of the CAMS point to the Eastern FL Panhandle and Big Bend having the potential for the strongest storms.

A weak frontal passage Tuesday night into Wednesday will lead to a slightly drier air mass before more seasonal shower and storm chances return Thursday and Friday. The subtropical ridge is modeled to build over the weekend, which may tend to dry us out. If daily shower/storm activity is suppressed, that would lead to building heat with the potential for heat-related issues, if turbulent daytime mixing does not lower dew points.

A High Risk of Rip Currents will continue into midweek. Follow the advice of beach safety officials and heed the beach flags. Swimming is highly discouraged under red flags and Double red flags mean the water is closed.

Marine
Issued at 210pm EDT Monday Jun 22 2026

Southwest winds will maximize within the seabreeze zone each afternoon and evening. The only exception will be slightly stronger Southwest winds on Tuesday, followed by Northwest winds on Tuesday night in association with a weak frontal passage, which will raise seas around 2-3 ft. Daily shower and thunderstorm chances, with any storms leading to briefly higher winds and seas.

Fire Weather
Issued at 210pm EDT Monday Jun 22 2026

A hot air mass will remain in place over the next several days albeit slightly drier on Wednesday behind a weak front. The sea breeze will tend to be pinned closer to the coast Tuesday and Wednesday before making more inland progress on Thursday. On Tuesday. Elevated Westerly transport winds on Tuesday will lead to pockets of high dispersion during the afternoon. Daily showers and thunderstorms, albeit lower coverage on Wednesday, will have the potential to create erratic and gusty winds.

Hydrology
Issued at 210pm EDT Monday Jun 22 2026

Rainfall over the next week is forecast to be slightly below average, given a potential break from daily showers and storms this weekend, with the highest amounts in the FL Counties.

Portions of the Ochlockonee and Alapaha, and the Apalachicola River at Blountstown, remain in action stage. A Flood Warning is in effect for the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) and the Shoal River near Mossy Head, with minor flooding at both. Will have to watch how these basins respond to additional rainfall over the next couple of days.

NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.