Apalachee Bay and Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Patchy Dense Fog Early This Morning. Patchy Fog Late This Morning. |
| Tonight...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Northeast After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. |
| Monday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 2 Seconds And West 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. |
| Monday Night...East Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Southeast After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. |
| Tuesday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. |
| Tuesday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. |
| Wednesday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming North 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening. |
| Thursday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. |
| Thursday Night...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Protected Waters Choppy. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 649am EST Sunday Nov 23 2025 .SHORT TERM AND Long Term (Today through Saturday) Issued at 400am EST Sunday Nov 23 2025 As a frontal system clears the area today we'll see surface high pressure building over the region behind it. Lower dew points advect southward and northerly flow prevails leading to pleasant weather. Winds clock around to being southerly again late Monday into Tuesday ahead of our next frontal system. Dew points surge back into the mid 60s to low 70s within the warm sector. Unfortunately, as mentioned in prior forecasts, forcing for ascent looks to remain well to our north. However, we'll be in the proximity of the right entrance region of the upper-level jet streak. When coupled with a low level wind field around 20-30 kts, we might be able to squeeze out a couple storms, but overall conditions appear unfavorable at the synoptic scale. Mesoscale diurnal instability maybe be able to overcome some of these limiting factors, if we see mostly clear skies on Wednesday. However, if we're under extensive cloud cover, or dense fog that lasts well into the late morning hours, then our chances of seeing storms would be very low. Overall, precipitation chances look better outside our area to the northwest with a line of showers possibly approaching the region throughout Wednesday. Diurnal forcing could allow this line to advance through the region, or we could see the line begin to fall apart once it starts crossing our SE Alabama and SW Georgia counties. Behind the cold front we'll see some cold temperatures to end the week. Expect daytime highs in the first half of the week to generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s. Post-frontal they'll slide down into the 60s. Overnight lows follow a similar trend, initially in the 50s to low 60s, they take a dive by the end of the week, dropping into the 30s. Marine Issued at 400am EST Sunday Nov 23 2025 Marine fog is expected to develop mainly east of Apalachicola to the Suwanee River over the next couple hours and may be dense, with another round possible tonight into Monday morning. Otherwise, surface high pressure scooting across the Southeast will clock winds from northwesterly today to more easterly on Monday. Gentle to moderate southerly winds develop Tuesday ahead of an incoming cold front that will bring a few showers and storms to the northeastern Gulf on Wednesday. Northerly winds near Advisory level develop following the front Wednesday night into Thanksgiving. Fire Weather Issued at 400am EST Sunday Nov 23 2025 A cold front clears the region this morning, turning surface and transport winds out of the north. High pressure moving across the southeast turns transport winds more easterly Monday and southerly Tuesday ahead of another cold front. This cold front will bring our best opportunity for a wetting rain in a while on Wednesday. Even then, it's not the greatest of chances with a 30-40% chance of a wetting rain along and west of a line extending from near Panama City, FL to Albany, GA and a 10-30% chance elsewhere. MinRH of 35-45 percent are forecast across much of the area away from the coast Monday and 50-60 percent Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of the front. MinRH then plummets to between 20-30 percent on Thanksgiving behind the cold front and could lead to elevated Fire Weather Concerns as winds are forecast to be somewhat elevated. Hydrology Issued at 400am EST Sunday Nov 23 2025 Rainfall amounts across the region will generally be around half an inch or less over the next week. This mostly applies to our northwest areas in SE Alabama and SW Georgia. Rain amounts quickly drop to around 0.05 inches as you head south and east from there. As of Thursday, November 19, 2025, the US Drought Monitor now has the area around the Florida-Georgia state line outlined in Exceptional Drought (D4), which is the highest category on the drought monitor. This is the first time since the 2011-2012 winter that any part of our area of responsibility has been outlined in Exceptional Drought. For more information on local impacts from drought, please visit www.weather.gov/LocalDrought. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7am EST /6am CST/ this morning for FLZ108-112-114. Dense Fog Advisory until 10am EST this morning for FLZ115-118- 127-128. GA...Dense Fog Advisory until 9am EST this morning for GAZ120>126. AL...None. GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 10am EST this morning for GMZ730-755. |
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