Apalachee Bay and Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Today...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. Chance Of Rain Late In The Morning, Then Rain Likely In The Afternoon.|
|Tonight...North Winds 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. Rain.|
|Friday...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. Chance Of Rain In The Morning, Then Slight Chance Of Rain In The Afternoon.|
|Friday Night...North Winds 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With Occasional Seas Up To 6 Feet. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. Slight Chance Of Rain.|
|Saturday...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With Occasional Seas Up To 6 Feet. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy.|
|Saturday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Protected Waters Choppy.|
|Sunday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. Slight Chance Of Rain.|
|Monday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. Slight Chance Of Rain.|
Synopsis for the Suwannee River to Okaloosa-Walton County Line out to 60 nm - GMZ700|
1031 AM EST Thu Nov 14 2019
Active weather through the next few days will prevail with widespread rain showers building in later this afternoon into the overnight period. Northerly winds will pick up over area waters this afternoon, especially offshore where a small craft advisory is in effect. Northerly winds will prevail through the next few days with winds generally around 15 to 25 knots, with the higher values being located in offshore waters. Seas will run high as well with values generally around 3 to 5 feet in nearshore waters increasing to 4 to 7 in offshore waters. Winds don't look to lessen significantly until the early part of next week. No rain is expected after Friday.
Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1047am EST Thu Nov 14 2019
Near Term - Through Today
Chilly morning across the area, as cool low-level northeasterly flow is topped by moist southwesterly flow, keeping a multilayered cloud deck in place and limiting temperature rises this morning. Isentropic lift is forecast to increase throughout the day. Initially, any precipitation will fall through a substantial mid-level dry layer, evaporating, and helping to keep the atmosphere cool. By mid to late afternoon, expect to see more precipitation reaching the ground. Have updated the temperatures this morning to lower afternoon highs by a few degrees, given the current conditions.
Short Term - Tonight Through Saturday
A rainy night is in store for the region as an upper level low moving eastwards out of Texas interacts with another upper level disturbance quickly moving southeast from the central plains. These features will interact with increasing moisture content moving in from the Gulf of Mexico to produce widespread rain showers through the overnight hours and into early parts of Friday. Rainfall amounts will generally be around half an inch to 2 or 3 inches, with the higher end of these amounts likely to be near our Big Bend coastal zones and inland locations approaching the I-75 corridor. The surface low for this feature will remain offshore and southeast of the forecast area with our locales primarily on the cool side of this feature. That being said, severe weather is not expected.
The upper level low continues to amplify/deepen as it slowly translates east on Friday into Saturday. Mid-level dry air will begin to wrap around the southern periphery of this feature on Friday, reducing the chance for widespread rain showers, but wrap around moisture under the disturbance will likely lead to cloudy conditions on Friday, especially in our Georgia and Alabama counties where there is the possibility for scattered rain showers to persist through the day.
Conditions become dry on Saturday and a little bit warmer as clouds give way to partly cloudy skies. High temperatures should make it into the 60s across SE Alabama and the Western FL Panhandle while cooler conditions stick around in our east where clouds will be slow to clear.
Long Term - Saturday Night Through Thursday
The progressive weather pattern we've found ourselves in over the last week looks likely to continue into next week. Shortwave ridge moves in by the end of the weekend with warmer temperatures expected Sunday. Looking ahead to next week another upper level disturbance passes through Monday night into Tuesday, bringing with it a brief chance for rain before drier conditions return towards the middle of next week.
NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6am CST Friday for Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.