Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Lookout, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
|Today...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Dominant Period 6 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop.|
|Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Dominant Period 5 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop.|
|Mon...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Dominant Period 5 Seconds, Increasing To 12 Seconds In The Afternoon. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop.|
|Mon Night...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming E After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Dominant Period 11 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop.|
|Tue...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming S In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop.|
|Tue Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop.|
|Wed...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop, Increasing To Choppy.|
|Thu...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Choppy.|
|Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
114am EDT Sunday May 26 2019
Synopsis: High pressure will continue to build off the East Coast tonight, and settle off the Southeast coast tomorrow. Another backdoor front will move into the region Monday, but then will quickly retreat north Tuesday, with very hot temperatures expected across the region through at least the middle of next week. A cold front is expected to move into the area Friday.
Near Term - Until 6am This Morning
As of 110am Sunday...A few tstms have developed along the leading edge of some mid-level shortwave energy crossing central NC this evening. A couple of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings have been issued by the RAH office. Latest batch of the high- resolution models including the HRRR and 3km NAM show this activity moving into our western zones over the next few hours and will continue previous forecast for low Probability of Precipitation for scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms. Any precipitation should exit the area before daybreak. In addition to the threat of showers and storms, some lower stratus indicated by satellite and surface observations over the far south/southwest CWA as well. No change to forecast temperatures, mainly in the upper 60s to lower 70s area-wide
Short Term - 6pm This Morning Through 6am Monday
As of 210pm Sat...High pressure offshore will drift south of NC tomorrow, leading to a return of SW flow. Low level thicknesses will increase again, and blazing hot conditions are expected away from the immediate coast. Expect close to record high temps, with highs in the upper 90s inland, low to mid 90s east of US 17, and mid to upper 80s along the coast. It will be mostly dry except for a few seabreeze showers/thunderstorms that may develop across to the west of the Pamlico Sound in the afternoon hours
Long Term - Monday Through Sunday
As of 230pm Saturday...A subtropical surface ridge coupled with an abnormally strong late spring upper level ridge will continue to produce hot and mostly dry weather for much of the next week. Well above normal temperatures well into the 90s inland are expected Monday through at least Thursday. The axis of heat peaks mid week where several inland locations could reach 100 degrees or a little higher. Beaches will cont to be a bit cooler with winds off ocean and sounds but should be well into the 80s with some spots reaching at or above 90. Overnight lows will likewise be quite warm...mostly in 70s. As the upper ridge breaks down and a cold front approaches late week temps will cool a bit but still likely reach lower 90s inland.
Mdls show series of weak impulses and convective complexes passing mainly N of region thru mid week. Some of these may clip northern tier at times but overall confidence is low so will cont with dry forecast. As upper ridge weakens and front approaches late week will have a little better chance of shra/tsra Fri into Sat with 20/30 pops.
Short Term /Through Tomorrow/... As of 110am Saturday...Winds are a bit gustier than depicted by the models and will go with a solid 15 knot southerly wind across the board overnight. Seas will continue at 3-5 feet over northern sections and 2-4 feet south. For Sunday, seas will be 3-4 ft with some 5 footers possible over the outer central waters.
Long Term /Sunday night through Thu/... As of 230pm Saturday...SW winds of 10 to 20 knots expected Sunday night as a weak front approaches from the northwest. This front will get far enough south to produce a wind shift to NE/E Monday over the central and northern tier. The front will lift back N on Tuesday with winds becoming SSW 10 to 20 kts that will cont thru Wed. As another front begins to approach Thu SW winds will increase to 15 to 25 kts.
Seas will be mainly 2 to 4 feet thru the period, some 5 foot seas possible outer waters Sunday night and early Mon. Better chance of 5 foot seas Thu as winds approach Small Craft Advisory lvls
Record or near record warmth is expected for much of next week
Record High temps for 5/26 (Sunday)
LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 100/1953 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 88/1962 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 99/1927 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 96/1953 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 96/2011 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 94/2004 (KNCA ASOS)
Record High temps for 5/27 (Monday)
LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 96/1989 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 86/2004 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 96/1962 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 88/2006 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 96/2011 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 97/1989 (KNCA ASOS)
Record High temps for 5/28 (Tuesday)
LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 93/2014 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 87/1991 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 97/1916 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 88/2006 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 93/2004 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 95/1967 (KNCA ASOS)
Record High temps for 5/29 (Wednesday)
LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 95/1982 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 91/1991 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 95/1918 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 92/1991 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 93/1991 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 94/1967 (KNCA ASOS)
NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories