Marine Weather Net

Cape Lookout to Surf City, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast


OVERNIGHT

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

FRI

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

FRI NIGHT

SE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

SAT

SW
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
AMZ158 Forecast Issued: 1003 PM EST Thu Dec 01 2022

Overnight...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Dominant Period 5 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop.
Fri...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Dominant Period 5 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop.
Fri Night...Se Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming S After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Dominant Period 5 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop.
Sat...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon.
Sat Night...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming N 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Except 2 To 3 Ft Near Shore. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop, Increasing To Choppy After Midnight. A Chance Of Showers, Mainly In The Evening.
Sun...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Except 2 To 3 Ft Near Shore. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Choppy, Diminishing To A Moderate Chop In The Afternoon.
Sun Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Except 2 To 3 Ft Near Shore. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop.
Mon...Ne Winds Around 10 Kt, Becoming Se After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers.
Tue...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1023pm EST Thu Dec 1 2022

Synopsis
Strong and very dry high pressure dominates the weather over the Carolinas through tomorrow. The next cold front will cross the area Saturday, followed by high pressure returning Sunday into early next week.

Near Term - Until 6am Friday Morning
As of 1015pm Thu...Temps continue to drop faster than guidance and have adjusted temps down several degrees. Temps late this evening are in the upper 20s to mid 30s across most inland locations with upper 30s to mid 40s along the coast.

Previous discussion...High pressure will continue to build over NC through Fri with cool and very dry air. Other than some patchy Cirrus, skies will be clear tonight with diminishing winds. This will result in excellent radiational cooling and plummeting temps tonight. Given the dryness of the airmass, feel that MOS temps are too warm thus forecast lows will be a couple degrees below in most locations with cold lows in the mid to upper 20s inland. There is not enough low level moisture for significant fog.

Short Term - 6am Friday Morning Through 6pm Friday
As of 200pm Thu...High pressure will continue to influence the weather Fri as the center drifts off the east coast. Skies start off sunny with some patchy clouds developing in the afternoon, especially west of Highway 17. High temps will be at normal values which is around 60 degrees.

Long Term - Friday Night Through Thursday
As of 230am Thu...Cold frontal passage later Sat is trending a bit wetter, with scattered showers now expected. Settled conditions otherwise persist until later Monday, when shower chances return to the forecast with several weak features in the area.

The Weekend...A weak H5 shortwave will pass north of the area this weekend, bringing a cold front through ENC later Saturday. The trend over the past 24 hrs has been for less mid level dry air with this system, with POPs gradually trending upward and scattered showers now expected, especially north of Hwy 70, during the day Saturday. Saturday looks to be the warmest day of the week, with highs around 70 for most locations. The front will push further south and offshore Sunday, with strong Cold Air Advection ensuing as high building in from the west, bringing temps back well below normal and dry conditions.

Early to mid next week...Stalled front sets up across the Southeast early next week. Current expectation is for the front to mainly remain well south of the area as high pressure continues to build in from the north and west, bringing dry and mild conditions on Monday.

Modest height falls aloft begin Tuesday, with modest moisture advection ensuing as low pressure develops west of the Appalachians. Subtle features will determine the timing of any precipitation through the middle of next week, but given the expected moisture that will be in place with no major features/forcing, generally maintaining low end chance POPs and temps a few degrees above normal seems the most appropriate forecast Tuesday through the end of the forecast period.

Marine
SHORT TERM Through Tonight
As of 1015 PM...Seas have dropped below 6 ft across the northern waters and have allowed the SCA (Small Craft Advisory) to expire. Will continue the SCA for the central waters with buoys east of Hatteras Island reporting 6 ft seas. N winds 10-20 kt this evening will become NE overnight and diminish to 5-15 kt. On Fri NE winds will be come E and diminish to 5-10 kt in the afternoon. 4-6 ft seas this evening subside to 2-4 ft late tonight and 2-3 ft on Fri.

LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/... As of 250am Thu...Breezy S wind develop Saturday ahead of a cold front that will cross the waters late Saturday, with breezy N wind developing behind it for Sunday. SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) may be needed for some marine areas for pre-or-post-frontal winds this weekend. Mainly light to moderate winds return early next week as high pressure builds in from the west.

3-5 ft seas generally prevail Saturday in mainly local southerly windswell. Seas could reach 6 ft Sunday into Monday with the return of breezy N winds.

NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories
NC...None.

Marine
Small Craft Advisory until 1am EST Friday for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154.