Cape Lookout to Surf City, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Sw 5 To 10 Kt Late. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 5 Ft At 6 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 9 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Light Chop Late. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms Early This Afternoon. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming W After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 6 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 9 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. |
| Tue...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Se In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 6 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 9 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Morning. |
| Tue Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Increasing To 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 6 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 17 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop, Increasing To A Moderate Chop After Midnight. A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 5 Ft At 7 Seconds And Ne 1 Ft At 16 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Morning. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Wed Night...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 5 Ft At 7 Seconds And E 1 Ft At 16 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Choppy. |
| Thu...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Choppy. |
| Thu Night...Sw Winds 20 To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Rough. |
| Fri...Sw Winds 20 To 25 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Rough. A Chance Of Showers. A Chance Of Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Becoming W 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Rough, Diminishing To Choppy After Midnight. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 636am EDT Monday Jun 15 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Winds and temperatures have increased slightly for Thursday and Friday ahead of the next strong cold front. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Lower risk of showers and thunderstorms expected across eastern NC with next higher-end threat Thurs and Fri ahead of strong front. 2) Dangerous heat likely to return late week. KEY MESSAGE 1...Overall pattern over the next few days will be slightly less conducive for shower and thunderstorm development with high pressure expected to build in behind a passing front today and remaining in control. There is a small threat window around midday into this afternoon, mainly focused south and east of Highway 70 as a cold front crosses the region and interacts with sufficient instability of 1000-2000 J/kg. Some precipitation loading and stronger winds are possible in more organized storms, but otherwise a severe threat is not anticipated. There is also a slight chance on Tuesday as a weak wave of low pressure migrates along the stalled frontal boundary, although guidance has trended slightly drier with this feature. The next best chance for stronger storms remains Thursday into Friday ahead of a stronger front where deeper shear will likely be present along with strong instability as temperatures soar back into the 90s to near 100 and humidity remains oppressive. Like yesterday, better kinematics and thus higher risk of organized convection will likely be to our north in the mid- Atlantic, but medium-range AI NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) guidance still highligheights much of the Carolinas in an elevated severe risk especially on Thursday, and potentially lingering into the day on Friday. The primary threat risk is damaging winds, but other hazards remain on the table. KEY MESSAGE 2...Behind today's cold front, relatively cooler temperatures will prevail with highs dipping into the upper 80s to low 90s. As alluded earlier, increasing southwesterly flow ahead of the late-week front will boost low-level thicknesses and kick temperatures into the mid to upper 90s by Thursday. Paired with Tds in the low to mid 70s, widespread heat indices of 105-110 are likely. The passing front may cool things down briefly, but long range guidance suggests excessive heat will remain a concern into next week. Marine Regional observations show ongoing SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions across area waters this morning ahead of an approaching front with southwest winds of 15-20 kt and gusts up to 30 kt at times, focused primarily over the Pamlico Sound and offshore waters, where seas have jumped up to 6-7 feet. Forecast calls for improvement in conditions through the day as front passes over area waters with a shift of winds to the northwest but at a weaker 10-15 kt. Soundside SCA (Small Craft Advisory) will likely come to an end shortly after sunrise, while offshore conditions should fully improve by sunset. Passing front today will likely initiate a few showers and thunderstorms, focused across the southern Pamlico Sound and the offshore waters along and south of Ocracoke Inlet. Outlook (Monday night through Sat): Periodic nocturnal and early morning risk of showers and thunderstorms is possible each weeknight, although most likely odds will be Thursday night into Friday ahead of stronger front approaching area waters. This front will also be the next focus of widespread SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions with a low risk but increasing risk of Gales across the outer waters. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 11am EDT this morning for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)- 154-156-158. |
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