Cape Lookout to Surf City, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 8 Seconds And S 1 Ft At 3 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. Patchy Dense Fog Early This Morning. A Slight Chance Of Showers This Morning. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm Early This Morning. |
| Tonight...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 1 Ft At 4 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Fri...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 4 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Nw After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 11 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 5 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. Showers With A Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Sat...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 11 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 5 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Light Chop In The Afternoon. |
| Sat Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 4 Ft At 10 Seconds And Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. |
| Sun...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. |
| Sun Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. |
| Mon...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Light Chop. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 612am EST Thu Nov 5 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Added patchy, dense fog to the forecast for this morning west of HWY 17. Widely scattered showers along and just inland from the coast overnight due to coastal trough. Maintained highest thunder chances for coastal plain counties Friday with potential severe. Raised max temps on the OBX through Friday. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Warm with increasing moisture and isolated showers through Thursday. 2) Widespread showers and a few severe thunderstorms possible ahead of a cold front on Friday. 3) Cooler, drier, and more seasonable behind the frontal passage this weekend. Aviation: LIFR conditions possible through early Thursday morning. KEY MESSAGE 1...Little change to the forecast reasoning and synoptic setup through today. An amplified upper trough will be shifting east out of the Central U.S. A progressive and open wave will sweep through the Eastern U.S at the end of the week. Before that happens, low level flow is currently veering southeast to south as weak coastal trough lifts through, which is producing some widely scattered showers from southern coastal areas northeast through the western Pamlico Sound vicinity. West of the showers, another round of low stratus and patchy, dense fog will impact the HWY 17 corridor through about 9am this morning. With no forcing in place will maintain Probability of Precipitation generally less than 20% this afternoon. Warm today with highs in the lower 80s interior to 70s beaches. Overnight lows remain above climatology, with readings in the 60s the next few nights. KEY MESSAGE 2...Friday - Still looks like widespread showers and a few thunderstorms breaking out during the afternoon into evening as a cold front moves through Eastern NC. Anomalous moisture and higher-than-normal instability for early November is expected, as indicated by EFI highlighting CAPE vals nearing the 80th percentile. Have maintained thunder threat for inland areas where the EFI is highlighting the higher CAPE/Shear indices inland, and where highest instability and shear will reside. If best forcing lines up with peak heating, a strong to severe thunderstorm threat would materialize for areas especially west of HWY 17 Friday afternoon. Main threat would be damaging wind gusts. The front sweeps offshore late Friday with any remaining showers exiting the OBX before daybreak Sat. KEY MESSAGE 3...Good agreement amongst models with frontal passage late Friday, allowing a more seasonably dry airmass to usher in for the weekend. Return to mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Sat, then cooler yet for Sunday with 60-65. Lows will be in the 40s, with some 30s for some of the normally colder spots. Marine Light to moderate southeasterly winds will continue through the period (strongest across the outer southern and central waters). Seas 3-5 ft will gradually build through tonight with developing SE winds and increasing swell from low pressure well offshore. Seas will build to 3-5 ft nearshore and 4-6 ft offshore through Friday. Scattered light showers will be possible through Thursday. Outlook (Friday through Monday): Southerly winds will cont in the 5-15 kt range, though a better chance for some advected 6+ ft seas as weak low pressure develops well offshore Friday into the weekend. Cold front passes through late Friday, with winds turning northwesterly behind the frontal passage but should cont remaining below 25 knots, though elevated seas around 6 ft or greater may cont. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...None. Marine None. |
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