Cape Lookout to Surf City, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| This Afternoon...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Except 2 To 4 Ft Near Shore. Wave Detail: E 6 Ft At 12 Seconds And E 5 Ft At 7 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Choppy. A Chance Of Showers Early, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers Late. |
| Tonight...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Except 2 To 4 Ft Near Shore. Wave Detail: E 6 Ft At 12 Seconds And E 5 Ft At 7 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers Choppy, Diminishing To A Moderate Chop After Midnight. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Sat...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Except 2 To 4 Ft Near Shore. Wave Detail: E 5 Ft At 12 Seconds And Se 3 Ft At 7 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Sat Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Except 2 To 4 Ft Near Shore. Wave Detail: E 5 Ft At 12 Seconds And Se 4 Ft At 7 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. |
| Sun...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Except 2 To 4 Ft Near Shore. Wave Detail: Se 5 Ft At 7 Seconds And E 5 Ft At 12 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. |
| Sun Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Except 3 To 4 Ft Near Shore. Wave Detail: Se 5 Ft At 7 Seconds And E 5 Ft At 13 Seconds. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. |
| Mon...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. |
| Mon Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. |
| Tue...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. |
| Tue Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Adjacent Sounds And Rivers A Moderate Chop. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 721am EDT Fri Oct 3 2025 Synopsis Minor to moderate coastal impacts continue for portions of eastern North Carolina through today. High pressure will continue building in from the north through this weekend bringing NE to E'rly flow to Eastern North Carolina with seasonable temperatures and generally dry conditions. Cold front approaches for the middle of next week. Near Term - Until 6pm This Evening As of 215am Friday... Key Messages: - Gusty NE winds gradually lessen - Coastal impacts continue through today (see coastal flood section) NE'rly winds will continue through tonight given the pressure gradient remains pinched between the departing Imelda and strong high pressure ridging building in from the north. High is keeping things dry outside of a few weak coastal showers offshore as a coastal trough has developed. Steady NE'rly winds at 5-10 mph inland with strong winds along the coast and OBX will keep us well mixed enough to preclude a fog threat. Temps tonight get into the low to mid 50s inland and low 60s along the coast and OBX. Strong surface high pressure continues to build in to the area today but with the remnants of Imelda now very far away form the Eastern Seaboard winds should relax quite a bit through the day today with NE'rly winds lowering down to 10-15 mph with gusts up around 20-25 mph along the OBX. Otherwise expecting primarily dry weather across ENC with slight chances of rain along the coast as the coastal trough gets closer. Highs get into the 70s across ENC, maybe even reaching 80 in Duplin and Onslow counties. Short Term - 6pm This Evening Through 6am Saturday As of 230am Friday... Key Messages: - Coastal impacts wind down (See Coastal Flood section) High dominates and pressure gradient lessens, allowing winds to become light to calm inland tonight. This brings a low end threat for patchy fog tonight. Elected to keep fog out of the forecast for now given lower confidence, it could end up as low stratus as well. Where winds become calm and skies remain clear, we could radiationally cool efficiently, and used NBM10 temps for the forecast away from the coast to reflect this. Rain chances along the coast decrease as coastal trough shifts south with high building in from the north. Long Term - Saturday Through Thursday As of 2am Friday...Surface high pressure will be centered off the Mid-Atlantic coast while upper ridging builds across the Eastern CONUS into early next week. NE winds continue into Saturday, then veer to Ely as the surface high migrates off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Generally dry weather is expected for most area although a coastal trough offshore may produce a few showers across the coastal waters. Some guidance continues to show some of these showers working their way toward the coast. Temps warm to near normal over the weekend and early next week with highs around 80/lower 80s. By the middle of next week, the upper ridge breaks down as a strong northern stream trough digs into the Northern Plains and Midwest with surface high pressure migrating farther offshore and a surface cold front approaching from the NW bringing increasing chances of showers across the region. Marine SHORT TERM Through Tonight As of 250am Friday... Key Messages: - Winds continue decreasing but elevated seas continue through the period - Coastal trough brings chance of showers today Latest obs show widespread NE'rly winds at about 15-25 kts with gusts up around 25-30 kts early this morning as a result of the strong pressure gradient between an incoming high pressure system and the departing remnants of Imelda. In addition to this, seas across our coastal waters remain hazardous with 7-11 ft seas noted. Expect elevated marine conditions to continue especially across our coastal waters even as conditions gradually ease through the remainder of the period. Winds are forecast to ease today to 15-20kts gusting up to 25 kts with the strongest gusts likely along our coastal waters and near the Gulf Stream. Seas will also begin to gradually lower through the period falling to 5 to 9 ft through today. and 4 to 8 feet tonight. While remaining inland small craft advisories will fall off this morning, small crafts across all coastal waters will continue through the end of the period given the elevated wind and seas. Long Term - Saturday Through Tuesday As of 1am Thursday...High pressure migrates offshore over the weekend with easterly winds around 15 kt or less through Monday, then veers to SE on Tuesday. Seas around 4-8 ft on Saturday will slowly subside through the long term. Seas expected to drop below 6 ft by Saturday north of Oregon Inlet, however 4-7 ft seas expected to continue across the waters south of Oregon Inlet through Monday, finally dropping below 6 ft on Tuesday. Tides / Coastal Flooding As of 2am Friday...Long period swell and NE winds are causing minor to moderate coastal flooding along the OBX and this will continue through this evening. Persistent NE winds will lead to minor coastal flooding for soundside areas adj to the southern Pamlico Sound, Neuse/Bay/Pamlico Rivers through this evening. Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories remain in effect. Oceanside...Lingering powerful long period swell from the combination of ex-hurricanes Humberto and Imelda will persist across ENC beaches through this afternoon, bringing dangerous rip currents, large breaking waves, ocean overwash, coastal flooding, and wave runup impacts. Most significant impacts continue to be across Hatteras Island where 2 to 3 ft AGL of inundation is possible through Friday evening around times of high tide given weakened dune structures across the area. 1 to 2 ft of inundation is possible across Ocracoke where the swell direction and offshore winds will keep impacts more minor. Soundside...NE winds will continue to subside today but elevated water levels expected to continue into this evening with 1-2 ft of inundation possible along the southern Pamlico Sound, Neuse/Bay and Pamlico/Pungo rivers. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8pm EDT this evening for NCZ080- 094-194-196-204. Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ196- 203>205. High Surf Advisory until 8am EDT Saturday for NCZ203-205. Coastal Flood Warning until 8pm EDT this evening for NCZ205. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 8am EDT this morning for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound). Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT Saturday night for AMZ150. Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Tuesday for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154-156- 158. |
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