Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras, NC out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Overnight...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 5 Seconds And E 3 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Sun...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 6 Seconds And E 2 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Sun Night...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 6 Seconds And E 2 Ft At 9 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Mon...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Ne 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 6 Seconds And E 3 Ft At 8 Seconds. |
| Mon Night...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Ne 5 Ft At 7 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 5 Seconds. |
| Tue...Ne Winds Around 10 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 5 Ft At 6 Seconds. |
| Tue Night...E Winds Around 10 Kt, Becoming Se After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. |
| Wed...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. |
| Wed Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Thu...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas Around 3 Ft. |
| Thu Night...Sw Winds Around 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms After Midnight. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 749pm EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Aviation disco updated. Previous Disco...Winds were increased across the waters through Sunday, which prompted the issuance of Small Craft Advisories starting this evening for all zones except the Alligator River Temperatures were decreased on Monday and Tuesday A Climate section was added for potentially record breaking temperatures tomorrow .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Hot and dry conditions expected through the weekend. 2) Increased Fire Danger risk across the area this weekend. 3) Low-end thunderstorm risk Sunday evening into Monday afternoon KEY MESSAGE 1...A downsloping low-level flow beneath ridging aloft will combine with notably warm low-level thicknesses to support hot, above normal temperatures areawide through the weekend. Despite periods of high clouds overspreading the area today, highs should manage to reach the mid-90s inland, with 80s along the coast. Tomorrow will be slightly warmer (mid to upper 90s inland, low to mid 80s beaches) with inland temperatures flirting with records. See the Climate section for more information. While it will be hot, mixing of a dry airmass will keep dewpoints and humidity levels down, making it more of a "dryish" heat. KEY MESSAGE 2...The combination of hot temperatures, seasonally low relative humidities, and ongoing drought conditions is expected to support an increased fire danger across all of ENC through the weekend. Of note, rainfall is running about 10-25 percent of normal over the past week across much of ENC. This, combined with the hot and dry conditions, is leading to dry fine fuels and less impact from live fuels. These conditions are noteworthy for this time of year, and is the reason for elevated fire concerns. In collaboration with the NCFS, an Increased Fire Danger Statement is in effect for today, with a continuation into Sunday. KEY MESSAGE 3...An upper level shortwave will traverse the Great Lakes and New England over the next 48 hours. This will push a cold front south through the Mid-Atlantic on Sunday, reaching northeast NC by Sunday night/early Monday. The front is then forecast to cross ENC during the day Monday. On Sunday, the greatest chance of thunderstorms is expected to reside to our north where forcing along the front will coincide with reduced inhibition and moderate instability. Sunday is expected to remain dry until the evening when chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase to 15-30% across northern zones. It's expected that any convection to the north in Virginia will be moving southeast into a stabilizing airmass across NE NC. Despite increasing inhibition, some elevated/weak thunderstorms may survive into the Albemarle Sound vicinity after sunset. On Monday, the front is expected to be through most of ENC by the time peak heating rolls around, and this is expected to keep the convective risk more muted. If the front were to slow down at all, then the chance of thunderstorms would likely increase. However, for now the most likely scenario is that scattered, weak thunderstorms will develop across the far southwestern counties of ENC, with dry conditions elsewhere. Weak shear and modest instability should keep the risk of severe thunderstorms low on Monday. Marine This weekend will feature a very typical summertime pattern with elevated winds and seas during the peak thermal gradient each afternoon and evening. Given that winds trended up today, SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) were issued for all zones except the Alligator River. This evening, SW winds are expected to increase to 15-20 kt with gusts to 25-30 kt. There will be a slight reprieve in the morning before the thermal gradient increases gusts back up to 25-30 kt tomorrow afternoon. These conditions are expected to last into early Monday morning with seas building to 3-5 ft in response. Outlook: A cold front will move through area waters on Monday with a northeasterly wind shift. While a thunderstorm risk may accompany this front, the risk looks low, and mainly confined to the coastal and offshore waters south of Cape Lookout, as well as inland waterways around the Crystal Coast (New River, Bogue Sound, White Oak River, etc.). A typical summertime pattern returns by the middle of next week. Climate Record High temps for 06/07 (Sunday) LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 98/2008 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 90/1988 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 100/2008 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 94/2008 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 99/1914, 2008 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 99/2001 (NCA ASOS) NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8pm EDT this evening for NCZ196- 204-205. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 6am EDT Monday for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound). Small Craft Advisory until 8am EDT Sunday for AMZ136-137. Small Craft Advisory until 11pm EDT Sunday for AMZ150. Small Craft Advisory until 8am EDT Monday for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154-156. Small Craft Advisory until 8am EDT Monday for AMZ158. Small Craft Advisory until 9am EDT Sunday for AMZ230-231. |
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