Pamlico Sound Marine Forecast
| This Afternoon...Ne Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft. |
| Tonight...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Fri...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Fri Night...Ne Winds Around 15 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sat...Ne Winds Around 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Sat Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Evening, Then 1 Ft. |
| Sun...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft In The Afternoon. |
| Sun Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Mon...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...Se Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Evening, Then 1 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 233pm EDT Thu Oct 2 2025 Synopsis Imelda continues to move away from the Eastern Seaboard but will continue to bring coastal impacts to the area through Friday. High pressure will build in from the north through this weekend continuing to bring NE to E'rly flow to Eastern North Carolina with seasonable temperatures and generally dry conditions. Near Term - Through Tonight As of 230pm Thurs... Key Messages: - Gusty NE winds continue - Coastal impacts continue (see coastal flood section) Although Imelda continues to track northeastwards further out to sea and away from the Eastern Seaboard, this systems impact to ENC will continue to be felt through tonight. Breezy NE'rly winds will continue through tonight given the pressure gradient remains pinched between the departing Imelda and strong high pressure ridging building in from the north. In general have seen gusts up around 25-35 mph along the OBX and coast with gusts around 15-25 mph inland. Highs got into low to mid 70s across ENC today. As we get into tonight, upper and surface ridging continue to extend into ENC keeping things dry outside of a few weak coastal showers well offshore as a coastal trough begins to develop. Steady NE'rly winds at 5-10 mph inland with strong winds along the coast and OBX will keep us well mixed enough to preclude a fog threat. Temps tonight get into the mid to upper 50s inland and low to mid 60s along the coast and OBX. Short Term - Friday As of 230pm Thurs... Key Messages: - Coastal impacts quickly wind down (see coastal flood section for more info) and winds quickly ease today Strong surface high pressure continues to build in to the area but with Imelda now very far away form the Eastern Seaboard winds should relax quite a bit through the day today with NE'rly winds lowering down to 10-15 mph with gusts up around 20 mph primarily along the OBX. Otherwise expecting primarily dry weather across ENC with just an isolated chance at a shower or two along the immediate coast as a coastal trough sets up. Highs get into the 70s across ENC. Long Term - Friday Night Through Thursday As of 130am Thursday...Surface high pressure will be centered off the Mid-Atlantic coast while upper ridging builds across the Eastern CONUS into early next week. NE winds continue Friday night into Saturday, then veer to Ely as the surface high migrates off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Generally dry weather is expected for most area although a coastal trough offshore may produce a few showers across the coastal waters. Some guidance continues to show some of these showers working their way toward the coast. Temps will be a few degrees below normal through the week with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Temps warm to near normal over the weekend and early next week with highs around 80/lower 80s. By the middle of next week, the upper ridge breaks down as a strong northern stream trough digs into the Northern Plains and Midwest with surface high pressure migrating farther offshore and surface cold front approaching from the NW bringing increasing chances of showers across the region. Marine SHORT TERM /through Friday/... As of 230pm Thurs... Key Messages: - Hazardous marine conditions through the period Latest obs show widespread NE'rly winds at about 15-25 kts with gusts up around 25-30 kts and a few gusts up near 35 kts around the Gulf Stream this afternoon as a result of the strong pressure gradient between an incoming high pressure system and the departing post-tropical Imelda. In addition to this, seas across our coastal waters remain hazardous with 10-15 ft seas noted. Expect dangerous marine conditions to continue especially across our coastal waters even as conditions gradually ease through the remainder of the period. Winds are forecast to ease tonight into Fri morning down to 10 to 20 kts with gusts up to 15-25 kts with the strongest gusts likely along our coastal waters and near the Gulf Stream. Seas will also begin to gradually lower through the period falling to 6 to 10 ft tonight and then 5 to 9 ft on Friday. While this will likely spell an end to all inland small crafts by Fri morning, small crafts across all coastal waters will continue through the end of the period given the elevated wind and seas. LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/... As of 1am Thursday... Key Message - Gradually improving marine conditions through the long term but elevated seas will keep Small Craft Advisories across the coastal waters into early next week. High pressure building in from the north will bring NE winds around 10-20 kt on Friday. The high migrates offshore over the weekend with winds becoming easterly around 15 kt or less. Seas around 6-12 ft on Friday will slowly subside through the long term, however seas as high as 6-7 ft expected to keep SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions across the coastal waters through Monday. Tides / Coastal Flooding As of 130am Thursday...Long period swell and strong NE winds are causing minor to moderate coastal flooding along the OBX and this will continue through Friday. Strong NE winds will lead to minor coastal flooding for soundside areas adj to the southern Pamlico Sound, Neuse/Bay/Pamlico Rivers through tonight. CF Warnings and Advisories remain in effect as water levels will remain elevated. Oceanside...The forecast remains on track as long period swell from Humberto and Imelda continuing to impact the beaches late this week bringing dangerous rip currents, large breaking waves, ocean overwash, coastal flooding, and wave runup impacts. Most significant impacts continue to be across portions of the OBX near Hatteras Island and Ocracoke where 2 to 3 ft AGL of inundation is possible through Friday given weakened dune structures across the area. 1 to 2 ft of inundation is possible across oceanside Crystal Coast and NOBX. The strong NEerly winds due to the strong high pressure may exacerbate the issues brought on from the strong swell. High Surf Advisories remain north of Cape Lookout for rough surf and beach erosion. Soundside...Prolonged period of strong NE winds will lead to water level rises through tonight. 1-2 ft of inundation is expected along the southern Pamlico Sound, Neuse/Bay and Pamlico/Pungo rivers. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8pm EDT Friday for NCZ080-094- 194-196-204. Beach Hazards Statement until 8pm EDT this evening for NCZ196- 203>205. High Surf Advisory until 8am EDT Saturday for NCZ196-203>205. Coastal Flood Warning until 8pm EDT Friday for NCZ205. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 5pm EDT this afternoon for AMZ131- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 8am EDT Friday for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound). Small Craft Advisory until 8pm EDT this evening for AMZ137. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT Saturday night for AMZ150. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT Monday night for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154-156-158. |
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