Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South 10 To 15 Knots This Afternoon. Seas 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 2 Feet This Afternoon. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 3 Seconds, Becoming South 2 Feet At 3 Seconds. |
| Tonight...South Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Monday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers Likely, Mainly In The Morning. |
| Monday Night...Southwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Northwest After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 6 Seconds. |
| Tuesday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 5 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 6 Seconds. |
| Tuesday Night...West Winds Around 5 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. |
| Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Northeast 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 2 Feet After Midnight. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 6 Seconds, Becoming Northeast 2 Feet At 5 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. |
| Thursday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. |
| Thursday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: East 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 256pm CDT Sunday Mar 23 2025 ...New Discussio Marine Issued at 254pm CDT Sunday Mar 23 2025 Tonight through Monday Night... Clouds thicken from west to east tonight as a cold front approaches the forecast area from the northwest. Ahead of this cold front, a line of showers with embedded thunderstorms will move into northwestern portions of our area after midnight (most likely around the 2-3am timeframe) and reach as far southeast as the I-65 corridor (or just a bit further south and east) by daybreak Monday. The line of showers and storms will move into an increasingly less favorable environment as it moves toward our area, with predominate showers but there will be some embedded thunderstorms as well. Strongest upper dynamics will have lifted north of our area by late tonight into early Monday, and this combined with the forecast soundings continuing to suggest very poor lapse rates from the surface up to nearly 3km, suggests some weakening of the line as it moves into our area and the storms will not likely be surface based. However, mid level lapse rates do improve above, giving way to some weak, elevated instability. Some small hail (and maybe some gusty winds) cannot be ruled out with some of the more robust storms as they enter and move southeast across our area late tonight into early Monday. The weak front looks to slow or stall just north of the coast on Monday. Scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms will likely still be ongoing along the front, or along any remnant outflows from the overnight activity, during the morning hours (especially over interior southwest and south-central AL and into the western FL panhandle). There is still some uncertainty as to how late into the day on Monday the showers and storms will continue over our southern-southeastern zones, but most guidance suggests that the majority of the activity will be ending across our area by mid to late morning. There is a Marginal Risk out for the southern half of our forecast area on Monday, and if the storms do linger long enough into the morning as daytime instability increases, a few storms could still be capable of producing gusty winds or small hail. The overall severe threat though is very minimal, however. Monday night, the upper level trough axis moves east of the area and deep layer drier air overspreads the area in its wake, bringing an end to precipitation. As far as temperatures go, tonigheights lows in the mid 50's eastern interior zones while in the upper 50s to lower 60s for the remainder of the area. Highs on Monday will mostly be in the mid 70s area-wide Monday (maybe lower 70s along the immediate coast). On Monday night, lows over most of the interior will range from the upper 40s to the lower 50s, but mid and even a few upper 50s closer to and along the coast. DS/12 Tuesday through Sunday... Dry forecast through the end of the work week with rain chances entering the forecast again by next weekend. Northwesterly flow aloft prevails through at least Thursday on the periphery of the trough aloft. Weak ridging aloft briefly builds into the region on Thursday before a series of subtle shortwaves drift across the Deep South and Southeast on Friday and Saturday. While there are still significant differences in model guidance (with regard to the shortwaves) as we roll into the weekend, the overall pattern supports scattered showers and maybe a few storms on Saturday. Meanwhile, a more potent shortwave swings across the the Plains Sunday into Monday, which could lead to another round of showers and storms late in the weekend through early next week. Beach and Coastal Forecast - The risk for rip currents remains LOW through Thursday. Rip current MOS probabilities quickly jump to 85- 91% (correlating with either a high-end MODERATE Risk or a HIGH Risk) through the morning hours on Friday at all local beaches. We will continue to monitor these trends, but expect an uptick in the rip current risk as we approach next weekend. 07/mb Marine Issued at 254pm CDT Sunday Mar 23 2025 A weak cold front approaching the marine area from the northwest on Monday is expected to settle near the coast by Monday evening. Ahead of the front, chances of showers increase late tonight into the day Monday, with a few thunderstorms mixed in. Wind will vary in direction through much of the upcoming week and be mostly light, but become more predominate onshore by Friday and begin to increase slightly along with slightly building seas. Only potential hazards to small craft early this week will be possibility of some gusty winds near any storms that may be over the marine area on Monday and then conditions may approach SCEC (15 to 20 knots and/or seas 6 offshore) criteria by Friday, which could also pose a hazard to small craft. DS/12 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. |
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