Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 4 Feet At 5 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms This Evening. A Chance Of Showers. A Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 4 Feet At 7 Seconds. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers. |
| Friday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 4 Feet At 7 Seconds. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Saturday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 5 Feet At 7 Seconds. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers. |
| Saturday Night...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 5 Feet At 7 Seconds. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Sunday...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: South 4 Feet At 7 Seconds. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Sunday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 3 Feet At 7 Seconds. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Monday...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 3 Feet At 6 Seconds. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Monday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 3 Seconds And South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Showers. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Tuesday...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 5 Feet At 5 Seconds. Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Tuesday Night...East Winds 25 To 30 Knots. Seas 5 To 7 Feet, Occasionally To 9 Feet, Subsiding To 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet After Midnight. Wave Detail: East 7 Feet At 6 Seconds, Becoming East 5 Feet At 7 Seconds. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 223pm CDT Thu Oct 1 2026 ...N Marine .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 223pm CDT Thu Oct 1 2026 - Numerous to widespread showers and storms are expected Friday through the weekend. Storms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall, which may lead to localized flash flooding. - A High risk of life-threatening rip currents exists at all area beaches through the weekend. Issued at 1112am CDT Thu Oct 1 2026 A rather wet period is in store for the area this weekend. A stubborn upper ridge over the southeastern states which extends along the northern Gulf coast causes a positively tilted upper trough over the southern/central Plains into northern Mexico to mostly shear out through Friday. This leaves a modest upper low near the New Mexico/Mexico border with a weak upper trough extending to near the mid Mississippi River valley. An upper trough amplifies over much of the eastern CONUS this weekend and absorbs the remnant weak upper trough, leading to the upper ridge breaking down and retreating into the central Gulf. This pattern will slowly bring a frontal boundary from the Plains/interior eastern states to extend from coastal Texas into northern Alabama by Friday afternoon. Interestingly, a system over the southwestern Gulf meanwhile becomes better developed Friday into Friday night and develops an inverted surface trough up along the Texas coast, intersecting with the frontal boundary. This combined surface trough.frontal boundary gradually shifts to become oriented from the northwestern Gulf to across the forecast area this weekend. Deep layer moisture steadily increases over the forecast area through Saturday, with precipitable water values climbing to around 2.5 inches which persist into Sunday. As noted by the previous shift, these values are way above seasonal normals for this time of year. This pattern indicates a trend towards very high rain chances for the area, along with the potential for flooding concerns, possibly as early as Friday but especially this weekend as a frontal boundary becomes positioned over the area along with copious deep layer moisture. WPC has a marginal risk of flooding for nearly the entire area on Friday, then a slight risk of flooding is in place for essentially the western half of the area on Saturday, with a marginal risk elsewhere. A slight risk of flooding continues for the entire area for Sunday. Rainfall totals through Sunday look to range from 2-3 inches inland to 4-5 inches mainly across extreme southeast Mississippi, extreme southwest Alabama, and a portion of the western Florida panhandle. These rainfall amounts will see adjustments in the coming forecast updates, and localized amounts of 6-9 inches cannot be ruled out near the coast depending on how the convection sets up. For Monday into Thursday, the eastern states upper trough moves off into the western Atlantic then another upper trough moves into the eastern states on Thursday. A frontal boundary will be oriented over the southern portion of the area Monday morning then slowly moves into the northern Gulf on Tuesday, and slowly continues further into the Gulf through Thursday. For Monday, have gone with likely probability of precipitation along/east of I-65 with chance probability of precipitation elsewhere, then rain chances slowly decrease through Thursday to chance probability of precipitation east of I-65 with mostly slight chance probability of precipitation elsewhere. A High Risk of rip currents is expected through Sunday, then a moderate risk follows for Monday. Will need to monitor for the potential for minor coastal flooding mainly over northern Mobile Bay during high tide late tonight and late Friday night when tidal heigheights of 1.5-1.6 feet are indicated, just shy of 1.7 feet when coastal flooding begins. /29 Marine Issued at 223pm CDT Thu Oct 1 2026 A moderate to occasionally strong southeasterly flow continues into Sunday. Winds relax by Monday morning and turn northerly to northeasterly behind a cold front. Advisory level conditions are possible Tuesday through Thursday as we get strong easterly winds. Seas increase to 3-5 feet late week into early this weekend with another bump to 4-7 feet possible in the middle of next week with the increasing winds. SS/97 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ202-204-206. MS...None. GM...None. |
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