Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots Late This Evening And Overnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 3 Feet At 7 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Early This Evening. |
| Monday...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 3 Feet At 6 Seconds. |
| Monday Night...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Tuesday...West Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 2 Feet At 5 Seconds And South 2 Feet At 8 Seconds. |
| Tuesday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: West 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 2 Feet At 8 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Wednesday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: West 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Wednesday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: West 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Thursday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: West 1 Foot At 3 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Thursday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 3 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 9 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Friday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 3 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 9 Seconds. |
| Friday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 3 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 9 Seconds. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 138am CDT Monday Jun 22 2026 Issued at 135am CDT Monday Jun 22 2026 A northwesterly upper-level flow pattern will be in place through at least Thursday as our local area remains sandwiched between an upper ridge over the Gulf and upper troughing over the Great Lakes. Guidance continues to suggest that several embedded shortwaves will move within this newly-established flow pattern. The first of these shortwaves looks to approach the area later this afternoon and into the evening hours. Currently, this shortwave is located over Oklahoma and is helping to spark a developing MCS. This MCS (Mesoscale Convective System, a complex of thunderstorms which becomes organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms) should continue southeastward throughout the day today, potentially approaching our northwestern counties by the late afternoon/early evening hours. As stated in previous discussions, guidance tends to struggle with these types of complexes (with regards to their strength and timing). That being said, the general consensus is that storms should be weakening upon arrival. Although the environment will be very unstable (CAPE values possibly exceeding 3000 J/kg in spots), shear values will likely remain around 20 knots or less, suggesting that the complex should be outflow-dominant by time it arrives. And with subsident effects from the nearby ridge along rising heights, am not anticipating much in the way of storm redevelopment/MCS maintenance. If however, the MCS is able to hold on long enough to enter the area, then I can't rule out gusty winds to around 40-60 mph over our northwestern counties, associated with any lingering storms, or even just the outflow itself. This strong wind threat quickly drops off the further southeast you go. Guidance suggests that the remnant outflow boundary from tonight's MCS may slow down and potentially stall over our area. As it does so, it may try to reorient itself from northwest to southeast across the area. If this occurs, this will help to do two things: 1) it would serve as a focus for additional storms to develop along through midweek, and 2) any additional MCSs or storm complexes may ride along this boundary and push into the area from the northwest. Due to this, scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected across the area Tuesday through Thursday. If storm complexes are able to maintain their strength, we could see at least some potential for severe weather (mainly a damaging wind threat). Localized flooding still cannot be ruled out due to the saturated antecedent conditions. By Friday, the ridge is expected to build northward into the area. This would help to lower rain chances for Friday and into the upcoming weekend. Highs through Thursday will top out in the upper 80s to low 90s, with low to mid 90s returning for Friday and the upcoming weekend. We should remain just below Heat Advisory criteria through the period, although most areas may see heat indices rise to around 100- 105. Lows will be in the 70s. A Moderate Risk of rip currents will continue through midweek, finally dropping to a Low Risk by late week. /96 Marine Issued at 119pm CDT Sunday Jun 21 2026 High pressure will extend from the southwest Atlantic into the central Gulf through the most of the week. A light to moderate southwest to westerly flow will prevail. Seas 2 to 3 feet through early this week will subside to 1 to 2 feet by the end of the week. 34/JFB NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...High Rip Current Risk until 4am CDT early this morning for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk until 4am CDT early this morning for FLZ202-204-206. MS...None. GM...None. |
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