Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...North Winds 20 To 25 Knots With Gusts Up To 35 Knots, Becoming Northwest 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots This Afternoon. Seas 5 To 7 Feet, Occasionally To 9 Feet. Wave Detail: North 7 Feet At 6 Seconds And East 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Rain Likely Early This Morning. |
| Tonight...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 3 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Monday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: North 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. |
| Monday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: North 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. |
| Tuesday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 3 Feet At 4 Seconds. |
| Tuesday Night...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. |
| Wednesday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: East 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Wednesday Night...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: East 3 Feet At 6 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Thursday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: East 3 Feet At 5 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers, Mainly In The Morning. |
| Thursday Night...Northeast Winds Around 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 3 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 647am CST Sunday Jan 18 2026 Issued at 1000pm CST Sat Jan 17 2026 Well here we are again not even one year later talking about the snow miser paying us a visit. Unfortunately for those hoping for Deja Vu, this will not be a repeat of last year. This will likely be quite the opposite actually as if you are very lucky you might see some very light snow as this system is departing. Rain has already begun across the area as ongoing isentropic upglide will slowly intensify the remainder of the night as a deep upper trough moves through the Great Lakes region. The big question of the night is weather the cold air will actually arrive in time for some snow to occur around 5 to 7 am. As of right now everything remains on track with previous forecasts and per the standard operating procedures of the handy dandy forecasting snow in the south playbook, forecast guidance continues to followed the usual cadence we see with overrunning systems. After dropping the idea of snow the past couple of days, models are slightly more enthusiastic on the potential for light snow but if we continue to follow the playbook the main axis might shift a little more. But what does that mean for the snow potential? Well, with warmer and moister air being pushed in earlier and further inland that makes it more difficult for the cool, dry air to work its way into the area. This is particularly the case given we won't have the cold, dry thermal profiles through the entire atmospheric column in place to support wintry precipitation for a large chunk of the event. Instead what we end up with is a cold rain to start (We are currently here), with our only hope of any meaningful wintry precipitation coming from either 1) The arctic cold front moving in quicker, but cutting into total liquid equivalent amounts as dry air eats away at our moisture or 2) dynamic cooling processes from heavier rain/snow rates that barely get our thermal profile to support a changeover to a mix of wet snow and rain. If option 1 happens, we may change over to snow/rain mix or all snow quicker and further northwest, but the dry air would be quicker to eat away at available moisture and limit any accumulations to a dusting on elevated surfaces. If option 2 happens, we eventually transition over to a rain/snow mix for a few hours, perhaps even all snow near the very end of the precipitation for an hour or two, but it ends up being this wet mess with very low snow to liquid ratios. This would likely limit any meaningful accumulations of less than a half inch to only elevated surfaces, and even that may be generous considering most the area stays above freezing the entire event and most surfaces will be pretty wet prior to the changeover, similarly cutting into any snowfall accumulation. As of right now option 2 appears to be the most probable to happen, with any accumulation chances of less than a half inch on elevated surfaces focused east of the I-65 corridor in our south- central Alabama counties. Regardless, this is anticipated to be a non- impactful event for the area at this time. Even if a band of heavier snow manages to occur, any snow that survives would likely quickly melt as temperatures quickly warm up into the mid to upper 30s shortly after sunrise. Given the likely low impact of any snow and likely highly localized nature, we have decided to not issue any winter weather products. IF some minor impacts do begin to occur during the early morning hours then we advise that you take it slow or give it an hour or so and everything should clear up. Behind the fun of tonight things get bitter cold once again as cold air will blitz into the area behind the large upper trough. This colder pattern will likely persist through most of the week as broad northwesterly to westerly flow continues. The main talk will be temperatures and wind chills through most of the week. Highs will mainly range in the upper 40s to low 50s for through Thursday with lows in the 20s to eventually 30s. Wind chills Monday night could dip down into the teens inland and low 20s closer to the coast as the arctic air arrives. We may need cold weather advisories for wind chills Monday night. Our next brief warm up comes by next weekend as our next system quickly moves through allowing for some return flow to develop and temps to climb back into the low 60s for highs and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. BB-8 Marine Issued at 1000pm CST Sat Jan 17 2026 Strong offshore flow will continue tonight late with occasional gusts to near gale force possible well offshore. Offshore flow gradually diminishes Sunday into Sunday night. A light offshore flow prevails for Monday then strengthens Monday night before diminishing on Tuesday. Light to occasionally moderate easterly to southeasterly flow prevails Wednesday into Thursday. BB-8 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9am CST this morning for GMZ650-655. Small Craft Advisory until 3pm CST this afternoon for GMZ670- 675. |
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