Pigeon Point to Point Pinos CA out 10 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...N Wind Around 5 Kt, Backing To W This Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: N 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, Nw 3 Ft At 9 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 17 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Tonight...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds And W 5 Ft At 9 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Sun...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 3 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 6 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 14 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Sun Night...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 3 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 6 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 16 Seconds. |
| Mon...N Wind 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Nw 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, Nw 5 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 16 Seconds. |
| Mon Night...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt, Easing To 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 5 Ft At 9 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Tue...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, Nw 6 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 17 Seconds. |
| Tue Night...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, Nw 5 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 14 Seconds. |
| Wed...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, W 6 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 4 Ft At 16 Seconds. |
| Wed Night...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, W 6 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 4 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 431am PDT Sat April 26 2025 .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 1240am PDT Sat April 26 2025 An upper level low off the coast is moving toward Point Conception early this morning. This cold-core low is dropping the 500 mb temperature as low as -27C, which is in the bottom 5% for this time of year. With cold air aloft, the atmosphere will be unstable (relatively warm air near the surface will be buoyant and accelerate upward). This effect is most pronounced when the maximum surface heating in the afternoon lines up with the coldest air aloft. In this case, the timing doesn't line up. The coldest air is moving in early this morning, well before the maximum surface heating this afternoon. Nonetheless we are still expecting isolated showers to continue through the day, and there is still a slight chance for thunderstorms, mainly over the Central Coast. There are 2 windows that are more favorable for stronger convection. The first is in the pre-dawn hours this morning over the coastal waters (which are 5-7 degrees F warmer than the land at the moment). The second is over southern Monterey County this afternoon between 11am and 3pm due to enhanced surface heating. For what it's worth, the higher resolution models are more aggressive than the global models (HRRR (High-Resolution Rapid Refresh) brings the surface CAPE above 200 J/kg to areas south of San Jose). The latest satellite imagery suggest overcast skies are moving in across the interior Central Coast and will likely stick around for most of the day. This will reduce the surface temperature, limit the instability and decrease thunderstorm chances. Long Term (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 1240am PDT Sat April 26 2025 As the bowling ball of cold air aloft moves further inland, it will eventually be picked up by a positively tilted trough early in the work week. This will cause a pretty stark change in the weather pattern as moist, cool onshore flow this weekend flips to warm, dry, offshore wind by Monday. Sunday will serve as a transition day with light showers lingering in the morning and skies clearing through the afternoon. Fortunately the offshore winds look pretty weak and diurnal wind shift will still dominate along the coast. The SFO- WMC gradient is only expected to drop somewhere between neutral and -6 mb. This is the type of pattern that brings fantastic weather to the Bay Area this time of year. Inland highs will be in the mid 70s with coastal areas reaching the mid 60s. The weather will remain pretty consistent through the week as the positively tilted trough fades into a pure ridge by Thursday. Ensemble clusters suggest this ridge will break down next weekend, although the exact pattern is still uncertain. Some solutions bring another cut-off low through, while other have more straight-forward troughing. Either way, this looks like our next chance for rain. Both GEFS and ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) ensemble means show a modest amount around 1/10-1/4", but there are a few outliers among the members of both ensembles that suggest up to 1" is a possible scenario. Marine (Today through Thursday) Issued at 421am PDT Sat April 26 2025 Showers will continue today due to a low pressure system moving southeastward over the coastal waters. Tonight and Sunday the low will move eastward with a few lingering showers possible over the coastal waters and bays. Breezy northwest winds will develop across the northern outer waters from later today to Sunday. High pressure will bring dry weather next week. NOAA San Francisco Bay Area Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 9pm this evening to 9am PDT Sunday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory from 3pm this afternoon to 9pm PDT Sunday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM. Small Craft Advisory from 9pm this evening to 9pm PDT Sunday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM. x.com/nwsbayarea |
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