Point Piedras Blancas to Point Sal from 10 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
|Tonight...N Winds 15 To 25 Kt In The Evening, Becoming 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Strongest Western Portion. Combined Seas 9 To 11 Ft Dominant Period 12 Seconds, Subsiding To 8 To 9 Ft Dominant Period 12 Seconds After Midnight.|
|Tue...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Wind Waves 2 To 3 Ft. Nw Swell 6 To 7 Ft At 11 Seconds.|
|Tue Night...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt In The Evening, Becoming N 10 To 20 Kt. Gusts To 25 Kt. Strongest Western Portion. Wind Waves 2 To 4 Ft. Nw Swell 6 To 7 Ft At 12 Seconds, Building To 7 To 9 Ft At 14 Seconds After Midnight.|
|Wed...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Strongest Western Portion. Wind Waves 2 To 4 Ft. Nw Swell 7 To 9 Ft At 14 Seconds.|
|Wed Night...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Wind Waves 2 To 4 Ft. Nw Swell 8 To 10 Ft At 13 Seconds, Subsiding To 7 To 8 Ft At 13 Seconds After Midnight.|
|Thu...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Nw Swell 6 To 7 Ft At 14 Seconds.|
|Thu Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 1 To 3 Ft. Nw Swell 5 To 6 Ft At 14 Seconds.|
|Fri...Nw Winds 10 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Wind Waves 2 To 4 Ft. Nw Swell 8 To 11 Ft.|
|Sat...Nw Winds 15 To 25 Kt With Gusts To 35 Kt. Combined Seas 11 To 14 Ft. A Slight Chance Of Rain.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
456pm PST Monday Feb 6 2023
Increasing Santa Ana winds are expected tonight into Tuesday morning across portions of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Breezy conditions are expected through Thursday with warming temperatures and clear skies. Much cooler temperatures are expected for the weekend with a chance of showers.
Short Term - Today through Thursday
Northerly winds this morning are transitioning to northeast as high pressure builds over Nevada and a low grade Santa Ana event begins. Breezy offshore winds will be here through Thursday, though it now looks like Tuesday will be the peak and a wind advisory has been issued for the usual Santa Ana wind favored portions of LA/Ventura Counties through 1pm. Winds expected to decrease thereafter but remain breezy through Thursday.
Building high pressure this week in tandem with the offshore flow will push daytime temps to around 10 degrees above normal by Thursday with highs in the mid to upper 70s and even a sprinkling of low 80s possible across the coastal valleys.
Long Term - Friday through Monday
A rapid cooling trend will begin Friday as models are showing a cold upper low moving into California over the weekend. Still a lot of uncertainty in terms of precipitation chances and timing but cluster analysis correlates well with the 12z ensemble means which show heigheights falling into the mid 540s by Saturday. PW means are only around 0.4" which is very low so precip, if any, would be light and scattered in this scenario. The main determining factor for rain locally will be the track of the low which likely will remain highly uncertain until much closer to the weekend. All models are pushing the low out of the area by next Monday morning so the work week should begin dry but still on the cool side.
Gale Warning level winds have subsided across the southern outer waters. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) has been issued in the wake of the Gale conditions across the southern outer waters. The SCA for the outer waters continues though the evening hours. Lingering 10+ foot seas will likely support SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions continuing through this evening or tonight for the outer waters and possibly (50-60 percent chance) the inner waters north of Point Sal.
A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for the nearshore portions of the inner waters out to the islands in the southern California bight to account for increasing northeast winds late tonight through Tuesday morning. There is a 50-70 percent chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) offshore winds Tuesday for the inner waters along and south of Ventura to Santa Monica.
Some guidance indicates a chance for gusty northeast winds and wind waves reaching the front side of east facing harbors on Catalina Island like Avalon Harbor and Two Harbors as well as the Smugglers Cove area on Santa Cruz Island. There is a 50-60 percent chance of northeast winds of 15 to 25 knots and wind waves of 3 to 5 feet later tonight into Tuesday morning.
Another round of widespread gusty northwest to north winds and steep seas is possible with a moisture starved winter storm this weekend.
The combination of a 10-13 foot northwesterly swell and steep short-period wind waves will bring surf issues to area beaches through tonight.
HIGH SURF ADVISORIES are in effect for the Central Coast as well as the Ventura county coast through tonight. Surf heigheights of 7-10 feet are expected across the Central Coast and 4-7 feet surf is expected along the Ventura county coast.
For the coastal areas of Los Angeles county and southern Santa Barbara counties, surf heigheights will range between 3 and 6 feet. So, BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENTS are in effect through tonight.
There is an increased risk for ocean drowning. Rip currents can pull swimmers and surfers out to sea. Large breaking waves can cause injury, wash people off beaches and rocks, and capsize small boats near shore.
See LAXCFWLOX for the latest details.
NOAA Los Angeles/Oxnard CA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
CA...Wind Advisory in effect from 10pm this evening to 1pm PST Tuesday for zones 54-88-358-359-362-363-547.
Beach Hazards Statement in effect until 4am PST Tuesday for zones 87-349-350-362-364. (See LAXCFWLOX). High Surf Advisory in effect until 4am PST Tuesday for zones 340-346-354. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9pm PST this evening for zones 645-670-673-676.
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 10pm this evening to 9 am PST Tuesday for zones 650-655.