Point Piedras Blancas to Point Sal out 10 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt This Evening, Becoming Light. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 3 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 2 Ft At 13 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Fri...Ne Wind 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt, Becoming Nw In The Afternoon. Local Gusts To 25 Kt In The Morning. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 2 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Fri Night...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming E After Midnight. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 3 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Sat...Ne Wind 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Nw 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 3 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 16 Seconds. |
| Sat Night...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt In The Evening, Becoming Light. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 3 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 4 Ft At 10 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 16 Seconds. |
| Sun...Light Winds, Becoming Nw 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: N 2 Ft At 7 Seconds, Nw 5 Ft At 13 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 16 Seconds. |
| Sun Night...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt, Becoming 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Seas 6 To 8 Ft. Wave Detail: N 2 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 6 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Mon...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: N 3 Ft At 7 Seconds, Nw 6 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Mon Night...Nw Wind 15 To 25 Kt With Gusts To 30 Kt, Becoming 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 5 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 5 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 16 Seconds. |
| Tue...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft, Building To 6 To 8 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 6 Ft At 15 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Tue Night...Nw Wind 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt, Becoming 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Seas 7 To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: N 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, Nw 8 Ft At 14 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 231pm PDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Synopsis 15/1247 PM. A moderate to strong Santa Ana Wind will bring widespread strong winds and critical fire weather conditions to much of Southwest California through Saturday. Additionally, very warm temperatures bring a high risk of heat illness to all coastal areas. A significant cool down is expected Sunday with a chance of widespread rain by Tuesday or Wednesday. Short Term - Today through Sunday 15/154 PM. Santa Ana winds arrived on schedule and with more aggressive speeds than expected. Some areas in the San Gabriel Mountains have already reported 70+ mph wind gusts today and models are still indicating additional upper level support Friday morning as well as offshore gradients from the east peaking between 8 and 9mb. So just making some minor tweaks for Friday based on today's conditions. Temperatures have been warmed a few degrees, especially at the coast where temps will be the warmest, even more so than the valleys. And based on today's wind speeds there's at least a 30-40% chance of wind gusts in the LA County mountains reaching 90mph and similar chances for valleys and Ventura county coastal areas to see wind gusts as high as 60 mph. Since even 1mb of offset in the gradients can result in 5 or more degrees offset in the temperatures, confidence in the exact highs is on the lower side but should be in the ball park. Also, overnight lows will, in general, be quite warm tonight across the coast and valleys. Some areas that stay windy all night may not drop below 75 and wouldn't be surprised if some areas stay above 80 all night. On Saturday, upper level support and surface gradients weaken but still expecting a windy day, albeit probably 15-30 mph weaker than Friday. And with the offshore flow and cold advection weakening as well temperatures at the coast should cool at least a few degrees while valleys and other interior areas either remain the same or warm slightly. For Sunday, all areas except the mountains and deserts will cool at least 3-6 degrees. Interior areas will warm as cold advection continues to weaken. Long Term - Monday through Thursday 15/230 PM. More cooling is in store on Monday as an upper low moves down the coast. Hgts will fall from 580 dam Sunday afternoon to 576 dam Monday afternoon. Actual onshore flow will develop and will increase through the day. Some morning marine layer clouds may even develop over the Central Coast. Max temps will fall 4 to 8 degrees. This will bring max temps down to near normals. There is increasing confidence in rain chances next week, though timing is still quite uncertain as are the amounts. Virtually all the solutions from the ENS and GEFS ensembles indicate at least some light rain, most likely starting Wednesday, but could start as early as Tuesday afternoon or as late as Wednesday evening. Rain amounts are even more scattered but mostly around a half inch area-wide. It's a tricky pattern with the upper low dropping south along the California coast and a lot of uncertainnesshow far offshore and where it will turn inland. Might take another few days to have more confidence in amounts and timing. There are more than a few solutions that bring an inch or more so this needs to be followed closely, especially with the possibility of brush fires during the current strong Santa Ana winds. Marine 15/1215 PM. For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Today through Sunday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels across PZZ670/673. For PZZ676, there is a 60-80% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds late tonight and Friday. On Monday and Tuesday, there is a 50-60% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds across all of the Outer Waters with seas hovering around SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels. For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through tonight, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels. On Friday, there is a 50% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level northeast winds. For Saturday and Sunday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. On Monday and Tuesday, there is a 50% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours with seas hovering near SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels. For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through tonight, high confidence in SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level northeast winds from Ventura south to Santa Monica with winds/seas remaining below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels elsewhere. On Friday, there is a 60-70% chance of GALE force winds from Ventura to Santa Monica with a 40-60% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds elsewhere (especially across the San Pedro Channel). For Friday night and Saturday, there is a 50% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level northeast winds from Point Mugu to Santa Monica with high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels elsewhere. For Sunday through Tuesday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels for most areas except for the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel where there is a 50-60% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds. Fire Weather 15/1224 PM. Moderate to strong offshore flow will peak around Friday, then slowly weaken through the weekend. During the peak, northeast winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 50 to 70 mph will be common over the wind prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, with localized gusts of 70 to 90 mph in the mountains. On Friday, winds will be unusually widespread affecting most of our area including areas that typically do not see Santa Ana winds. This includes much of Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties, especially the interior mountains where winds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected. Meanwhile, the air will rapidly warm and dry. High temperatures between 90 and 100 will be common by Friday, warmest near the coast where the risk for heat illness is high. Minimum humidities will generally lower into the 8 to 20 percent range, with poor overnight recoveries. All of this will add up to a high risk for large fires and rapid fire growth over most of the area, especially over Los Angeles and Ventura Counties as well as the mountains and foothills of San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties where Red Flag Warnings are in place. While some areas received rain earlier this week, the dry day today will largely remove any benefiting effects on the fuels. Residents in high fire risk areas should be prepared in case a fire starts. Review your evacuation plans...what would you bring, where would you go. Stay extra aware of your surroundings. Make sure your vehicle is fueled up. For everyone, avoid using anything that could spark a fire. Be prepared for power outages that are likely over a good portion of our areas. NOAA Los Angeles/Oxnard CA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CA...Wind Advisory in effect until 8pm PDT Friday for zones 88-354-355-358-362-370>374-376-377. Heat Advisory in effect until 8pm PDT Saturday for zones 340-341-346-347-349-350-354-355-362-366>368. High Wind Warning in effect until 8pm PDT Friday for zones 369-375-378>380. Red Flag Warning in effect until 8pm PDT Saturday for zones 288-354>358-362-369>382-548. (See LAXRFWLOX). Red Flag Warning in effect from 3am to 6pm PDT Friday for zones 342-345-353. (See LAXRFWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3am PDT Friday for zones 650-655. Gale Warning in effect from 3am to 5pm PDT Friday for zones 650-655. Small Craft Advisory in effect from 2am to 5pm PDT Friday for zone 676. https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox |
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