Admiralty Inlet Marine Forecast
| Today...Se Wind 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers Until Late Afternoon. |
| Tonight...E Wind Around 5 Kt, Backing To N After Midnight. Waves Around 2 Ft Or Less. |
| Mon...N Wind Around 5 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft Or Less. A Chance Of Rain In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...Se Wind Around 5 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft Or Less. A Chance Of Rain. |
| Tue...Se Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft Or Less. A Chance Of Rain In The Morning, Then Rain Likely In The Afternoon. |
| Tue Night...Se Wind 15 To 20 Kt. Gusts Up To 35 Kt After Midnight. Waves Around 2 Ft Or Less. Rain. |
| Wed...Se Wind 20 To 25 Kt. Waves Around 3 Ft. Rain. |
| Wed Night...S Wind 20 To 25 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft Or Less, Then Around 3 Ft After Midnight. Rain. |
| Thu...Se Wind 20 To 25 Kt. Waves Around 3 Ft. Rain. |
| Thu Night...S Wind 20 To 25 Kt, Easing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Waves Around 2 Ft Or Less, Then Around 3 Ft After Midnight. Rain. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 921am PST Sunday Nov 2 2025 Synopsis Showers drying up today as a weak upper level ridge builds over the area tonight. Next system moving inland mainly to the south Monday. The system will try and lift north into Western Washington Monday night into Tuesday. Organized front arriving Tuesday night into Wednesday but with the jet aimed into Northern California/Southern Oregon this system will be weakening as it moves into the state. A more consolidated system moving into the area late in the week. Short Term - Today through Tuesday No planned updates this morning and the current forecast remains on track. 33 Previous discussion...Welcome to the big dark. Satellite imagery shows mostly cloudy skies over Western Washington early this morning. Doppler radar has some showers west of Puget Sound as well as around Stevens Pass in a dying convergence zone. Temperatures at 3 am/11z mostly in the 40s with some upper 30s in locations where the skies have mostly cleared out. A little break in the action today for the most part. Showers this morning will dissipate this afternoon as a weak upper level ridge builds into the area ahead of the next system. Plenty of low level moisture around keeping skies mostly cloudy a good part of the day. Highs around normal, in the mid 50s. Break continuing tonight with the weak upper level ridge moving through and the next system still offshore. Clearing will allow the colder locations to drop into the mid to upper 30s with the remainder of the area in the lower to mid 40s. Next system, still west of 140W this morning, will move into Oregon Monday with the northern portion of the system over Southwest Washington and the Puget Sound area in the afternoon. Chance of rain from about Everett south in the afternoon. Cloudy skies over the rest of Western Washington. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. System trying to lift north into Western Washington Monday night. Next system moving quickly across the Eastern Pacific will throw up a temporary upper level ridge ahead of it making it hard of the system to get into the area. Best chance for rain from Tacoma south. The northeasterly movement of the system will spread chance probability of precipitation in the north all the way to the Canadian border. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. System kicking out to the east Tuesday morning as the temporary upper level ridge ahead of the next front builds over the area. Warm front approaching from the southwest late in the day but still over Oregon by late afternoon. Chance probability of precipitation in the morning for the system moving out and chance probability of precipitation in the afternoon for the approaching warm front. Warm front pushing a little bit warmer air over the area but with plenty of cloud cover highs will stay in the 50s and lower 60s. Long Term - Tuesday Night Through Saturday Warm front lifting into the area from the southwest Tuesday night with rain spreading over the entire area. Snow levels rising to the 6000 to 7500 foot range. Southerly flow aloft not a great precipitation producer in the Cascades except on the volcanoes. Lows Tuesday night in the mid 40s to lower 50s. With the jet aimed into Northern California/Southern Oregon the trailing cold front will stall over Western Washington Wednesday making for a wet day. Winds increasing along the coast and over the Northwest Interior with wind advisory speeds possible. Highs in the upper 50s. Cold front slowly moving east Wednesday night. Model solutions begin to show some inconsistencies Thursday into Friday with the timing of the arrival of the rain out ahead of the next system. The ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) is faster ( Thursday arrival ) versus the GFS (Global Forecast System) ( Thursday night arrival ). This system looks to be another...you guessed it...atmospheric river. Ensembles favor the faster timing so forecast wording rain at times Thursday and Friday. Hydrology wise the system looks progressive at this point which could limit the flooding concerns to the flood prone Skokomish. Front moving through Friday. Operational runs starting to build an upper level ridge for Friday night into Saturday. Ensemble solutions still have a few wet solutions so will go with just Marine Surface ridging over the coastal waters will shift inland tonight with the flow turning offshore. A weak surface trough moving northeastward off the Oregon coast will dissipate as it moves onshore over Western Washington Monday night. A broad and deep area of low pressure will move into the offshore waters Tuesday night. A vigorous frontal system associated with a sub 980 millibar surface low lifting northward toward Haida Gwaii is expected to produce headlines for all waters Tuesday night through Wednesday night. Gales are likely for the coastal waters as well as the Strait of Juan de Fuca and adjacent waters during this period. A series of additional fronts will follow into the end of the week maintaining very active conditions. Hazardous seas will be the predominant condition over the coastal waters throughout the week ahead. Seas of 12 to 15 feet this morning will gradually subside below 10 feet briefly Monday night or early Tuesday before building back to 15 to 20 feet Wednesday through the end of week. 27 Hydrology Break in the hydrologically significant precipitation the next couple of days. Rivers rising again with the system Tuesday night into Wednesday but at this time the rainfall does not look like it will be enough to cause any flooding problems. A wetter system later in the week could cause the Skokomish River to flood again and push some of the rivers NOAA Seattle WA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 10pm PST this evening for Grays Harbor Bar Small Craft Advisory until 4pm PST this afternoon for West Entrance USA Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. Small Craft Advisory until 4am PST Monday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm- Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm. |
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