Marine Weather Net

Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM Marine Forecast


REST OF TONIGHT

N
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

FRIDAY

NE
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

FRIDAY NIGHT

NW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SATURDAY

E
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ765 Forecast Issued: 746 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
Rest Of Tonight...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Becoming Northeast 20 To 25 Knots Late This Evening And Early Morning, Then Diminishing To 15 To 20 Knots Late. Seas Around 3 Feet. Wave Detail: North 3 Feet At 3 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Rough.
Friday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Becoming North 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas Around 3 Feet In The Morning, Then 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 3 Seconds And West 1 Foot At 6 Seconds, Becoming East 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy.
Friday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Northeast After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 2 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop.
Saturday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Northeast 1 Foot At 2 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers.
Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 2 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Sunday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Sunday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 3 Feet After Midnight. Protected Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Monday...Southwest Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Protected Waters Choppy. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Monday Night...Northwest Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Protected Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Tuesday...North Winds 20 To 25 Knots, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Protected Waters Rough.
Tuesday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet In The Evening, Then 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
800pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...New

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 752pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

- Small Craft Advisories are in effect for all open Gulf waters. Winds and seas will be hazardous to those operating smaller vessels.

- Chances of a late season frost/freeze are low to medium for Monday and Tuesday nights. This will be particularly impactful for agricultural interests who have planted early.

Issued at 752pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

No major changes with this update. Winds are gradually subsiding.

.SHORT AND Long Term (This Evening through next Wednesday) Issued at 240pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Cold front will continue its trek southeastward, clearing our southeast Big Bend counties this afternoon on its way to southern Florida by Friday. Winds behind the front shift northwesterly with gusts of 25-35 mph through the afternoon hours then decreasing around sunset or shortly thereafter. Surface high pressure stretches across the southeast US Friday before heading off the eastern seaboard Saturday. Dry conditions are in the offering Friday and for most of us Saturday; the lone exception may be an isolated shower or two late Saturday afternoon in the southeast Big Bend. Highs Friday remain on the cooler side with readings mainly in the 70s with easterly winds. Moderating temperatures are expected Saturday as winds become southeasterly pushing highs close or just over 80 degrees.

Frontal boundary over south Florida will lift north this weekend, along with the southeast to southerly flow, will advect moisture back into the area. By Sunday, rain chances increase for to around 40-60% with the higher end along I75 and the southeast Big Bend. In the meantime, a cold front will progress through the central Plains as the supporting shortwave trough moves northeast towards the Great Lakes. The frontal boundary will sweep through our area late Sunday night and Monday with a focused line of showers and storms. Before the front, highs Sunday will be a continuation of the low 80s from Saturday. As clouds and rain chances increase into Monday, this will hold high temperatures in the 70s with the exception of our western zones which may not get out of the 60s, especially if the front arrives early in the day.

A much colder airmass arrives behind the front early next week. NBM has trended cooler on today's model run between Monday night into Tuesday night with both the LREF and NBM depicting a 30-50% of a light freeze Monday night across southeast Alabama and portions of southwest Georgia and 20-40% Tuesday night. Areas away from the coast to along I10 is 30% or less. Probabilities of temperatures 36F or lower for frost are medium to high (50-80%) Monday night north of I10 and 40-70% Tuesday night as well. The probs decrease south of I10 for frost but could increase if the forecast trends cooler in the days ahead. The limiting factors for frost, however, may be elevated overnight winds Monday night and generally lower than optimum humidity values each night.

Marine
Issued at 240pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Small craft advisories are in effect for St Andrews Bay through this evening and the northeast Gulf waters into Friday morning. Cold front will continue progressing southeastward and clearing our waters in the entirety by this evening. Strong northerly breezes will continue into Friday morning then decrease while switching to easterly as high pressure builds in to the north. By the weekend and as high pressure moves off the east coast, winds become southeasterly ahead of the next cold front Sunday night into Monday. Small craft advisory conditions are possible Monday behind the frontal passage.

Fire Weather
Issued at 240pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Gusty winds will decrease this evening as well as the high dispersions. So much so that low dispersions are expected area wide Friday as light transport winds veer from the north to the southeast. High pressure builds in for Friday before moving eastward Saturday which will keep the region dry into later this weekend. Rain chances return Sunday and Monday with the next cold frontal passage. Min RH values will remain above critical thresholds through the weekend but may approach critical levels behind the frontal passage.

Hydrology
Issued at 240pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

A period of dry conditions are expected into the first half of the weekend. Rain chances increase Sunday into Monday as a cold front approaches the region. Rainfall amounts with this system generally range from 0.5-0.75 inches. Thus, no flood concerns are expected. The only hydrologic concern remains the severe to extreme drought ongoing across the area.

For more information on local drought impacts, visit www.weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement.

NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 2am EDT /1am CDT/ Friday for FLZ108-112-114-115.

GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 11am EDT /10am CDT/ Friday for GMZ730-751-752-755-765-770-772-775.

Small Craft Advisory until 7pm CDT this evening for GMZ735.