Chesapeake Bay from New Point Comfort to Little Creek VA Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming N 10 To 15 Kt Late. Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. Showers Late This Morning And Early Afternoon, Then A Chance Of Showers Late. |
| Tonight...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Nw Late In The Evening, Then Increasing To 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt Late. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Fri...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming Se 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 2 To 3 Ft, Subsiding To 1 Foot In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Sat...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Sat Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Gusts Up To 15 Kt In The Evening. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening. |
| Sun...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Gusts Up To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot. A Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Sun Night...S Winds 10 Kt, Becoming Sw After Midnight. Gusts Up To 15 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Showers Likely After Midnight. |
| Mon...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Showers Likely. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 549am EDT Thu May 7 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... The forecast continues to trend drier for Saturday, with a better chance of rain Sunday night into Monday. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) A cold front brings beneficial rain and cooler temperatures to the region today. 2) Another cold front likely crosses the area later Sunday into Monday, bringing additional chances for rain. As of 230am EDT Thursday... KEY MESSAGE 1...A cold front brings beneficial rain and cooler temperatures to the region today. Early this morning, a cold front is now entering northern and western portions of the forecast area. The front will continue to drop south through the area this morning, settling south of the local area by this afternoon. Beneficial rain is expected over the area today, especially the southern half, where ~1.00" (potentially up to 2.00" in spots) is possible. Less rain is forecast across northern portions of the area where ~0.50" is expected. While some convective elements/a few rumbles of thunder are possible, the overall thunderstorm chances today are low due to the morning FROPA. The highest rain chances today will be during the morning hours, before Probability of Precipitation begin to diminish from NW to SE during the afternoon hours. Much cooler temperatures are expected today due to the rain/cloud cover, with highs struggling to get out of the upper 50s to lower 60s across a majority of the forecast area. Some late clearing/sunshine across NW portions of the area may bump up temperatures a few degrees before sunset. Temperatures remain slightly below average on Friday (upper 60s to lower 70s), but moderate to near average by Saturday (mid to upper 70s), and above average to close out the weekend on Sunday (80s). KEY MESSAGE 2...Another cold front likely crosses the area later Sunday into Monday, bringing additional chances for rain. While there is a chance for some additional light rain on Saturday as a quick moving system crosses the area, another stronger cold front is forecast to cross the area late Sunday night or Monday morning, bringing the potential for additional beneficial rainfall. Rain showers may begin as early as Sunday afternoon and continue through Monday afternoon. Both the 00z GEFS and EPS have decreased Quantitative Precipitation Forecast slightly with this system and average ~0.25" to 0.50" across the local area. High pressure and near normal temperatures will return for Tuesday, with temperatures moderating back into the upper 70s by mid-week. Another system may impact the area on Wednesday. Marine As of 230am EDT Thursday... Key Messages: -Small Craft Advisories in effect for the Ches Bay, Lower James River, southern nearshore coastal waters, and the Currituck Sound this morning into the afternoon. -Generally benign conditions Fri-Sunday with the exception of a brief NW surge early Fri. Latest obs show benign conditions, albeit a little breezy with WSW winds of 10 to 15 kt. Seas are around 3ft and waves are 1-2ft. A cold front is dropping into northern VA early this morning and will continue to press south and east through the early morning hours. Light to periodically moderate rainfall will accompany it and trail behind it. Winds become westerly, then N to NE behind the front later this morning. A brief surge of winds is expected as the winds turn to the north. Winds will increase to 15-20kt in the bay, lower James, southern coastal waters, and the Currituck Sound. Gusts to 25kt expected. Small Craft Advisories have been issued for these areas, staggering from N to S, starting with the upper/middle Ches Bay at 4am, then the lower bay and lower James at 7am. The coastal waters south of Cape Charles and the Currituck sound go into effect at 10. Seas will increase to 4-5ft in the southern waters and 3 to 4ft in the northern nearshore coastal waters. Waves in the bay and rivers will be 2-3ft. Winds quickly diminish this evening with direction becoming variable as high pressure quickly builds in behind. High pressure looks to be transient, quickly sliding offshore by Friday night. NW winds return late tonight into early Friday. Dry air advection will allow for a brief surge early Friday morning. This may require a brief SCA (Small Craft Advisory) for the bay, but it would be low- end/marginal. Sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions are then forecast to prevail through the weekend. Breezy, southerly flow returns on Saturday with gusts to 20kt. Much lighter (10kt or less) forecast for Sunday. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 1pm EDT this afternoon for ANZ630- 631. Small Craft Advisory until 4pm EDT this afternoon for ANZ632- 634-639. Small Craft Advisory from 10am this morning to 7pm EDT this evening for ANZ633-656-658. |
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