Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD Marine Forecast
| Rest Of The Overnight...Nw Winds 25 Kt With Gusts To 35 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. A Chance Of Flurries. |
| Today...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts To 50 Kt. Waves 4 Ft. |
| Tonight...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Gusts Up To 45 Kt... Diminishing To 35 Kt After Midnight. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sun...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 30 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
| Sun Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Mon...Nw Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Mon Night...Nw Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves Flat. |
| Tue...Sw Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. A Chance Of Rain In The Afternoon. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 126am EST Sat Feb 7 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Added isolated to scattered snow showers along and west of the I-81 corridor as snow streamers associated with the arctic front track eastward through this morning. Further east, added in snow flurries through this morning. .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Dangerous, life-threatening cold conditions and damaging winds today. - 2) Near-Blizzard conditions expected in the Alleghenies through this morning. - 3) A warming trend is expected by early next week, with a chance for mixed wintry precipitation on Wednesday, and again late in the week. KEY MESSAGE 1...Dangerous, life-threatening cold conditions and damaging winds today. Confidence remains high for dangerous and life-threatening wind gusts and wind chills beginning early this morning and persisting through Sunday morning across the entire forecast area. Extreme Cold Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories are in place across the entire forecast area from tonight through Sunday morning. A strong low pressure system located offshore paired with arctic high pressure moving in from Canada will yield a tight pressure gradient over the forecast area today into Sunday morning. Additionally, a low level jet intensifying over the forecast area Saturday morning allows stronger winds aloft to mix to the surface. As of 1AM, the arctic front is pushing across the forecast area just west of the I-81 corridor. As the front tracks further southeast across the forecast area through daybreak today, winds are going to rapidly increase from 5-10 mph to gusting 30-40 mph in tens of minutes, with gusts of 50-60 mph mixed in there. Wind gusts then remain steady at 45-55 mph through this evening, with embedded gusts of 60-70 mph at times (higher gusts possible in the mountains). The High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories remain in effect through this evening for the entire area. Wind chills are forecast to crash below zero as the arctic front passes through this morning, and remain below zero through at least late Sunday morning. For the Alleghenies and Blue Ridge wind chills bottom out between -20F to -30F, and possibly as cold as -40F at Spruce Knob. Elsewhere, wind chills as low as -10F to -20F are expected. This is only the second Extreme Cold Warning (along with its predecessor - Wind Chill Warning) issued for the immediate DC and Baltimore metro areas (as far back as WWA records go). The current forecast has between 24-30 hours of wind chills below zero over most of the area from early this morning to Sunday late morning. It has been over 30 years since this area has observed this long a period of sub-zero wind chills, last occurring on January 15-16, 1994 (when wind chills below zero lasted upwards of 30-36 hours). Cannot stress enough the impact these wind chills and strong to damaging winds will have. Tree and powerlines damage is possible. Any power outages might last several days as crews will not be able to repair infrastructure until winds and wind chills decrease on Sunday. Anyone without proper clothing will be at risk of frostbite in as little as 30 minutes, with less time in the mountains where lower wind chills are expected. KEY MESSAGE 2...Near-Blizzard conditions expected in the Alleghenies late this morning through Saturday morning Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect for the Allegheny Front. Snow squalls are possible with the front overnight further east along the arctic front. As of 1AM, the arctic front is tracking west of the I-81 corridor with gusty winds and snow showers along it. We are continuing to monitor the threat for snow squalls along the front as it pushes across the forecast area. Recently, reduced visibilities and convective snow showers have been observed further north along I-70. In addition to accumulating snowfall, gusty northwest winds as high as 50 to 60 mph will result in blowing and drifting snow. This will yield reduced visibilities as low as 1/4 mile across roadways. The snow squally threat remains along and west of the Blue Ridge although cannot rule out snow streamers further east. Have included flurries to accommodate this threat. When/where the snow and wind overlap there will be near- blizzard conditions, and after the snow falls blowing snow remains a big issue heading into Saturday. Travel disruptions are likely along I-68/US-40 west of Frostburg, MD, US-219 from the PA/MD line south to the WV line, US-48 west of Moorefield, WV, US-33/WV-28 west of Franklin, WV, and US-250 west of Monterey, VA. KEY MESSAGE 3...A warming trend is expected by early next week, with a chance for mixed wintry precipitation on Wednesday, and again late in the week. In the wake of another Arctic outbreak, much milder weather returns to the area on Tuesday and Wednesday. As a longwave trough exits into the Atlantic Ocean, heigheights begin to build along the Eastern Seaboard. Westerly warm advection within the 850-700 mb layer will actually carry 850-mb temperatures above freezing for the first time in quite a while. Although forecast soundings do not show a fully mixed atmosphere down to the surface, this will at least contribute to a period of milder conditions. For both Tuesday and Wednesday, the warmest spots are forecast to be across the Shenandoah Valley westward to the Allegheny Mountain valleys, as well as across central Virginia. Expect highs in the low/mid 50s which should contribute to some snow/ice pack melt. For locations north of I- 66/U.S. 50, widespread 40s are more likely. Beyond mid-week, temperatures do drop off some ahead of a weather maker looming later next week. As a frontal system tracks toward the area mid-week, some of this could begin as a wintry mix late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. With residual low-level cold air in place and that mentioned warmer aloft in the 850-700 mb layer, this would likely feature some freezing rain and/or sleet component. However, as mentioned, this will depend on whether surface temperatures can stay below freezing or not. Eventually temperatures gradually warm through the morning which would shift precipitation over to an all-rain event. Looking further ahead, a strong system looks to impact the region by late next week. Uncertainty in track, forecast temperatures, and precipitation amounts all are noted. Thus, confidence is low this far out in time. Marine A strong arctic front is pushing across the forecast area as of 1AM this morning, bringing very gusty northwest winds. Winds are expected to abrupartly shift to northwest while increasing rapidly. A Gale Warning is in effect until 6am when a Storm Warning goes into effect across the waters. The Storm Warning remains in effect until 6pm with additional Gale Warnings likely needed this evening and into the overnight. Winds diminish to Small Craft Advisory criteria on Sunday. On Monday, winds diminish further and remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria throughout the day. Overall wind fields should stay below advisory levels for both Tuesday and Wednesday. Southerly winds will gust to around 5 to 10 knots before a frontal system shifts winds over to northwesterly by Wednesday. The mild air on top of the cold/icy waters will keep sharp temperature inversions in place which would limit overall mixing potential. Along and behind this cold front, gusts up to 15 knots or so are possible. Tides / Coastal Flooding Blowout tides are expected this weekend as strong northwest winds push water down the bay. Low Water Advisories have been issued from Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. Water levels are forecast to drop to -2FT MLLW north of the Bay Bridge and in the upper tidal Potomac River, with -1 FT MLLW elsewhere. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...Extreme Cold Warning from 4am early this morning to 10am EST Sunday for DCZ001. High Wind Warning from 4am early this morning to 7pm EST this evening for DCZ001. MD...Gale Warning until 6am EST early this morning for MDZ008. Extreme Cold Warning from 4am early this morning to 10am EST Sunday for MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-018-501>510. High Wind Warning from 4am early this morning to 7pm EST this evening for MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018- 502>508. Storm Warning from 6am this morning to 6pm EST this evening for MDZ008. Low Water Advisory from 1pm this afternoon to 11am EST Sunday for MDZ008. Cold Weather Advisory from 4am early this morning to 10am EST Sunday for MDZ016-017. Winter Weather Advisory until 7am EST this morning for MDZ501. High Wind Warning until 10pm EST this evening for MDZ501-510. Winter Storm Warning until 7am EST this morning for MDZ509- 510. Wind Advisory until 7pm EST this evening for MDZ509. VA...Extreme Cold Warning from 4am early this morning to 10am EST Sunday for VAZ025>031-053-054-501-503>508-526-527. High Wind Warning from 4am early this morning to 7pm EST this evening for VAZ025>031-053-054-501-504>506-526-527. Cold Weather Advisory from 4am early this morning to 10am EST Sunday for VAZ036>040-050-051-055>057-502. Winter Weather Advisory until 7am EST this morning for VAZ503. High Wind Warning until 10pm EST this evening for VAZ503-507- 508. Wind Advisory from 4am early this morning to 7pm EST this evening for VAZ036>040-050-051-055>057-502. WV...Extreme Cold Warning from 4am early this morning to 10am EST Sunday for WVZ050>053-055-501>506. High Wind Warning from 4am early this morning to 7pm EST this evening for WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506. Winter Weather Advisory until 7am EST this morning for WVZ503. High Wind Warning until 10pm EST this evening for WVZ501-503- 505. Winter Storm Warning until 7am EST this morning for WVZ501- 505. Marine Gale Warning until 6am EST early this morning for ANZ530>543. Extreme Cold Warning from 4am early this morning to 10am EST Sunday for ANZ530. High Wind Warning from 4am early this morning to 7pm EST this evening for ANZ530. Storm Warning from 6am this morning to 6pm EST this evening for ANZ530>543. Low Water Advisory from 1pm this afternoon to 11am EST Sunday for ANZ530-531-535-536-538-539. Freezing Spray Advisory from 6am this morning to 6am EST Sunday for ANZ532-533-542. Low Water Advisory from 7pm this evening to 7am EST Sunday for ANZ532>534-537-540>543. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning from 6am this morning to 6am EST Sunday for ANZ534-537-543. |
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