Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD Marine Forecast
| Rest Of The Overnight...S Winds 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
| Today...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. Showers. |
| Tonight...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt...Becoming N After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Thu...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Thu Night...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Fri...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Gusts Up To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Fri Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Sat...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Showers Likely Through The Day. |
| Sun...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Showers Likely Through The Night. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 347am EDT Wednesday May 6 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No major changes were made to the forecast overnight as we continue to monitor the strong to severe thunderstorm risk for this afternoon. .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) A passing cold front brings beneficial rainfall this morning, followed by shower and thunderstorm chances this afternoon. - 2) Daily chances of showers & thunderstorms this weekend. KEY MESSAGE 1...A passing cold front brings beneficial rainfall this morning, followed by shower and thunderstorm chances this afternoon. A cold front is expected to slowly track from northwest to southeast across the forecast area throughout today. Light stratiform rain overspreads the area this morning before exiting to the southeast early this afternoon. Later this afternoon and into the evening, thunderstorms are expected to develop along the frontal boundary as it tracks across the area. Storm Prediction Center has the entire area, with the exception of Garrett county, in a general thunderstorm outlook with any chances of severe weather remaining uncertain. The biggest hindrance in severe development will be CAPE and how much destabilization occurs in the wake of morning stratiform rainfall. However, there will be plenty of shear as an upper level jet pivots overhead. The best conditions for thunderstorm development are east of the Blue Ridge as the front tracks across the metros. KEY MESSAGE 2...Daily chances of showers & thunderstorms this weekend. An upper level atmospheric perturbation results in a shortwave trough moving through the area on Saturday, where a few showers and thunderstorms are possible in the afternoon & evening. Temperatures start to creep back up into the 70s and low 80s this weekend, before another cold front moves in from the Great Lakes, bringing additional rain and thunderstorms starting Sunday afternoon and into Monday. NCAR's AI Medium-Range convective hazards forecast currently has the region included in its 5%-15% probability for severe weather during this event, but will have to see how far north or south the low is tracking by then. High pressure moves into the region on Tuesday, bringing drier air and clearing skies early next week. Marine A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect 6PM this evening as south winds gust up to 25 knots. A cold front moves across the waters late this afternoon and into the evening. Thunderstorms are possible as the front passes through which may lead to SMWs needing to be issued. In the wake of the front, winds shift to north/northwesterly and are expected to remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) criteria through Friday. Southerly winds gust near SCA (Small Craft Advisory) criteria on Saturday before diminishing in the evening. Winds stay below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) criteria for most of the day Sunday, but increase to potential SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds later that evening. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EDT this evening for MDZ008. VA...None. WV...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EDT this evening for ANZ530>543. |
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