Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD Marine Forecast
| This Afternoon...E Winds 5 Kt. Waves Less Than 1 Ft. |
| Tonight...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Fri...S Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Sat...Sw Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Sat Night...Sw Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Sun...S Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Mon...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 213pm EDT Thu Oct 2 2025 Synopsis High pressure over the northeast CONUS will push offshore Friday into the weekend and remain there early next week. This will result in a gradual warming trend over the coming days. A potent cold front may push through around mid-week, bringing rain chances and noticeably cooler temperatures. Near Term - Through Tonight Strong high pressure is currently centered over New England and extends down the spine of the Appalachains through the Carolinas and into Georgia. This is leading to near to slightly below normal temperatures this afternoon locally. A decent cumulus field has developed, especially east of the Blue Ridge, in response to onshore southeasterly flow. This will remain present until sunset, when clouds should quickly dissipate. Mainly clear skies tonight as high pressure dominates the weather pattern. Temperatures will likely be a bit warmer than last night, so no frost concerns at this time. Short Term - Friday Through Saturday Night The aforementioned area of high pressure will push offshore tomorrow and Saturday, which will result in increased temperatures as winds turn out of the south. No precipitation is expected during this time, and highs will rise to the middle to upper 70s. Additionally, overnight lows will be a touch warmer each night areawide. Long Term - Sunday Through Wednesday High pressure over the region this weekend slides offshore at the start of next week. Dry and warm conditions are expected to persist Sunday into Monday as highs reach the upper 70s to low 80s each day. Overnight temps become increasingly mild, especially Monday night and Tuesday night with lows in the upper 50s to 60s. As the surface high moves further offshore through mid week, southerly return flow brings increasing moisture into the area. This starts out as scattered showers west of the Blue Ridge on Tuesday, then becoming areawide on Wednesday. A strong cold front is likely to move through the region sometime during the middle of next week, though models differ on timing from Wednesday afternoon to Thursday morning. Regardless, this could be the first true fall front that brings widespread lows in the 30s to 40s across the region on Thursday night. Depending on where the high is positioned Thursday night, frost and freeze conditions are possible for some areas west of the Blue Ridge. Also, this might be the best chance in quite a while for beneficial, widespread rainfall. Ensemble guidance has 0.50-0.75" of rain, with higher end solutions around 1.00-1.25". Marine As high pressure remains over the northeast CONUS through tonight, winds remain light out of the SE, so no marine hazards are expected at this time. Winds will turn more southerly on Friday into Saturday, but should still likely remain below SCA criteria. Favorable marine conditions continue through early next week as high pressure over the region moves offshore. South to southeast winds during the day become light southwest at night. Tides / Coastal Flooding No changes to Coastal Flood headlines with the afternoon update compared to this morning. There is a bit of a dip in the anomalies this afternoon, so forecast may be running a bit high at this time. However, could jump back up again this evening before likely dropping into Friday. Coastal Flood Warnings remain in effect for Annapolis and Straits Point through tonight's high tide cycle. Elsewhere, widespread minor coastal flooding will continue into Friday morning before water levels begin to drop Friday. However, the more sensitive sites, especially Annapolis, could continue in minor flood stage through the Saturday high tide cycles. If this downward trend continues, some changes may be necessary in future forecast cycles. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7am EDT Friday for DCZ001. MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7am EDT Friday for MDZ011. Coastal Flood Warning until 7am EDT Friday for MDZ014. Coastal Flood Advisory until 4am EDT Friday for MDZ016-018. Coastal Flood Warning until 4am EDT Friday for MDZ017. Coastal Flood Advisory until 10am EDT Friday for MDZ508. VA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7am EDT Friday for VAZ054. Coastal Flood Advisory until 4am EDT Friday for VAZ057. WV...None. Marine None. |
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