Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach, FL out 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast
Tonight...E Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft, Occasionally To 13 Ft. Wave Detail: E 9 Ft At 7 Seconds And Nw 1 Foot At 7 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Very Rough In Exposed Areas. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Tstms. |
Wed...Se Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Increasing To 25 To 30 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 7 To 9 Ft, Occasionally To 11 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 8 Ft At 7 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 7 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Very Rough In Exposed Areas. A Chance Of Showers. |
Wed Night...Se Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 6 To 9 Ft, Occasionally To 11 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 8 Ft At 7 Seconds And W 2 Ft At 7 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Very Rough In Exposed Areas. A Chance Of Showers. |
Thu...Se Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 5 To 8 Ft, Occasionally To 10 Ft, Subsiding To 5 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft In The Afternoon. Wave Detail: Se 7 Ft At 7 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 7 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Rough In Exposed Areas. |
Thu Night...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft. Wave Detail: E 5 Ft At 6 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 7 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas. |
Fri...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: E 4 Ft At 7 Seconds And Sw 1 Foot At 6 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas. |
Fri Night...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas. |
Sat...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas. |
Sat Night...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas. |
Sun...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas. |
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 244pm EST Tuesday Nov 5 2024 ...New Long Term .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Wednesday) Issued at 1234pm EST Tuesday Nov 5 2024 Upper level ridging remains prominent over the western Atlantic waters, as southern Florida remains within the southwest quadrant of this feature. Simultaneously, Tropical Storm Rafael continues to trek towards the north-northwest across the northwest Carribean waters with time. This strengthening system paired with expansive western Atlantic ridging will result in a tightened pressure gradient, allowing for breezy conditions along the east coast. As a result, a Wind Advisory is in effect for the immediate east coast through this evening; frequent wind gusts around 30-35 mph will likely impacts these coastal locations. The presence of shallow moisture still lingers within the boundary layer, which suggests that on and off showers will continue through the remainder of the day. Expect meager rainfall accumulations and generally short-lived activity. High temperatures today will generally top out in the lower 80s along the east coast to the mid to upper 80s across the interior as well as Southwest Florida. Wednesday will feature the continued north-northwest movement of Tropical Storm Rafael, which may be a Hurricane as it approaches the straits of Florida. At this time, the National Hurricane Center has this system remaining well removed from South Florida land zones, though this storm may result in dangerous marine conditions across the Gulf waters. The current forecast track and consensus model guidance suggests that the system will steer further west and possibly into the central Gulf of Mexico. While there is uncertainty regarding the exact track of the system, marine hazards for the Gulf waters remain the primary threat regardless of the exact eventual track. Regarding winds, the latest wind speed probabilities are roughly 20-30% chance of tropical storm force winds along Coastal Collier, with lower values around 10-20% for interior and eastern locations. Regardless, breezy E/SE winds will result in gusts along the coast of 30-40 mph, with 20-30 mph gusts inland on Wednesday. There is also a marginal risk for excessive rainfall on Wednesday, as a swath of higher precipitable water values overspreads portions of South Florida. The forcing for ascent and window for maximal rainfall will be limited, but cannot rule up to around 2-3 inches as a reasonable worst case scenario, mainly for southwest Florida. Finally, there is a limited tornado threat, with the primary area of concern being over interior and southwest portions of the region. The presence of enhanced storm relative helicity coupled with moderate instability may allow for a few tornadoes to spawn. Long Term (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 241pm EST Tuesday Nov 5 2024 Tropical Storm Rafael will continue to move in a northwestward direction across the Gulf of Mexico during the first half of the extended period (Thursday-Saturday). Although this system is not expected to directly impact South Florida, enough moisture will be present in its outermost bands and eastern periphery to potentially support isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across our area on Thursday. Drier air will begin to filter in over the area on Friday as Rafael moves further westward, and conditions will rapidly improve. This will generally quell rainfall chances through the weekend, although a quick passing shower or two cannot be ruled out, most notably Sunday-Monday as low level moisture advects back across the region with an approaching surface level low. Temperatures during the long term will be around to slightly above normal, with highs generally in the mid 80s across South Florida each day. Overnight lows will range from the low 70s near the Lake to the mid-upper 70s along the coasts. Marine Issued at 1234pm EST Tuesday Nov 5 2024 Winds will remain elevated across the local waters during the early to middle portion of the week, resulting in hazardous marine conditions during this time frame. A Gale Warning is presently in effect through early morning Wednesday for the Atlantic waters, as frequent gusts in excess of 34 kt are likely across the entire Atlantic waters. Strong easterly winds will also allow seas to build up to around 7-10 feet. Across the Gulf waters, moderate to fresh easterly flow will prevail today, with seas ranging between 2 to 3 feet. As Tropical Storm Rafael moves through the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, winds and seas across the Gulf waters will rapidly increase towards the middle of the week. Beaches Issued at 1234pm EST Tuesday Nov 5 2024 Strong and gusty onshore winds will keep a high risk of rip currents in place across the Atlantic Coast beaches throughout most of the week. In addition, large breaking waves of 6 to 8 feet in the surf zone will be possible across the Palm Beach and Broward County beaches during the early to middle portion of the week creating dangerous swimming and surfing conditions. Beaches Issued at 1234pm EST Tuesday Nov 5 2024 Strong and gusty onshore winds will keep a high risk of rip currents in place across the Atlantic Coast beaches throughout most of the week. In addition, large breaking waves of 6 to 8 feet in the surf zone will be possible across the Palm Beach and Broward County beaches during the early to middle portion of the week creating NOAA Miami FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ168-172- 173. High Surf Advisory until 7pm EST Thursday for FLZ168-172. Wind Advisory until 1am EST Wednesday for FLZ168-172-173. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7am EST Thursday for AMZ610. Small Craft Advisory until 7pm EST Thursday for AMZ630. Gale Warning until 1am EST Wednesday for AMZ650-651-670-671. Small Craft Advisory from 1am Wednesday to 7pm EST Thursday for AMZ650-651-670-671. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7pm EST Thursday for GMZ656-657. Tropical Storm Watch for GMZ676. |