Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach, FL out 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Tonight...E Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To Around 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Period 6 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop.|
|Tue...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Period 6 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas.|
|Tue Night...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Period 6 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas.|
|Wed...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Period 5 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas.|
|Wed Night...Winds E Se Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft. Ne Swell 4 Ft. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas.|
|Thu And Thu Night...Se Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft. Ne Swell 5 Ft. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop.|
|Fri...S Se Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To Around 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Ne Swell 3 Ft. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon.|
|Fri Night...S Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt Becoming W Sw In The Morning. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers Through The Night. A Slight Chance Of Tstms After Midnight.|
|Sat...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft Along The Coast And 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft In The Gulf Stream. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers.|
|Sat Night...N Nw Winds Around 15 Kt With Gusts To Around 25 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft Along The Coast And 5 To 7 Ft, Occasionally To 9 Ft In The Gulf Stream. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Miami FL
641pm EST Monday Feb 6 2023
.SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Tuesday) Issued at 234pm EST Monday Feb 6 2023
High pressure is building over the region today after a somewhat active weather-pattern this past weekend. As a result, drier air has begun to overspread the region leading to mostly sunny and benign conditions this afternoon. High pressure is expected to persist through the short term period, leaving any chances of a stray shower or two to the local waters.
High temperatures today have reached the upper 70s across the area and lows tonight are expected to drop into the upper 50s/low 60s. Tomorrow, afternoon highs will be in the upper 70s, with low 80s possible across Southwest Florida.
(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 234pm EST Monday Feb 6 2023
The long term period will start out benign as high pressure remains positioned over the Western Atlantic on Wednesday supporting continued dry easterly flow over the area. The high will be displaced eastward on Thursday as an area of low pressure moves into the eastern US, resulting in some modest veering of the flow to E-SE and some positive low-level Theta-E advection. With the front initially stalling well to our north the return flow will not be very significant and thus expect most of the dry will remain dry although some isolated showers can't be ruled out. High temperatures will warm a few degrees from Wednesday to Thu, with upper 70s/lower 80s on Wednesday warming to the lower 80s to mid 80s by Thursday (with the warmest temps in the western Interior per usual in these regimes).
A surface trough and cold front will approach the area Friday as the Atlantic high continues to lose its influence. At this time the frontal passage looks to hold off until Friday night or even Saturday morning, so a warm and mostly dry day is expected on Friday. Temperatures should max out in the mid 80s in the prefrontal regime, and can't even rule out some upper 80s given the tendency of temperatures to over-perform relative to guidance in S-SW regimes. The front should cross the area in the Friday night to Saturday morning timeframe making both the Saturday morning lows and Saturday daytime highs fairly uncertain. In terms of rainfall chances, there are some modest mid-level height falls ahead of the front and the jet axis looks to make it to the Fl Peninsula so certainly can't rule out some rainfall, particularly over northern portions of the area. However, at this time, the probable nocturnal frontal passage timing and meager prefrontal instability should preclude any organized severe threat.
Behind the front we will get a brief shot of cool-cold air Saturday night into Sunday morning with overnight lows likely dipping into the 40s over much of the area (possibly lower 50s over the immediate east coast). Northerly winds look to stay elevated on Saturday night, so minimum wind chills may approach advisory criteria near the Lake but confidence at this timeframe is limited. The cool snap will be brief as the flow quickly veers back northeasterly on Sunday (as the postfrontal high to our north shifts east) which should warm temps back towards climo by the beginning of next week.
Issued at 234pm EST Monday Feb 6 2023
N-NE winds will be in the 15-20 knot range today, then NE-E Tuesday, with seas as high as 6 feet in the Gulf Stream and 3-4 feet in the Gulf of Mexico waters. Seas are expected to increase Wednesday and Thursday, occasionally reaching as much as 8 feet in the Gulf Stream due to a building NE swell entering the local waters. Wind and seas should begin to decrease late on Thursday and continue on Friday as winds shift to SE, then S-SW. Mainly dry conditions are expected through Thursday outside of a few Atlantic showers today.
Issued at 234pm EST Monday Feb 6 2023
A high risk of rip currents will continue at the Atlantic beaches at least through mid-week, and probably for most of the week as onshore winds remain on the breezy side and seas/surf remain elevated.
NOAA Miami FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.