Marine Weather Net

East Santa Barbara Channel from Pt. Conception to Pt. Mugu CA including Santa Cruz Island Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

ESE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

FRI

E
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

FRI NIGHT

E
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

SAT

E
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
PZZ650 Forecast Issued: 138 PM PST Thu Dec 01 2022

Tonight...E To Se Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. W Swell 2 To 3 Ft At 13 Seconds. S Swell 2 Ft After Midnight. Rain.
Fri...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. W Swell 3 To 5 Ft At 14 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers.
Fri Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 1 To 3 Ft. W Swell 3 To 5 Ft At 13 Seconds. A Chance Of Rain.
Sat...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Se 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. W Swell 2 To 3 Ft At 12 Seconds. Showers Likely In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers.
Sat Night...Se Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Wind Waves 2 To 3 Ft. W Swell 2 To 3 Ft At 12 Seconds. S Swell 2 Ft After Midnight. Showers.
Sun...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming W 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. W Swell 2 To 3 Ft At 13 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers.
Sun Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. W Swell 2 To 3 Ft At 14 Seconds, Building To 3 To 5 Ft At 14 Seconds After Midnight.
Mon...Nw Winds 10 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Combined Seas 3 To 5 Ft.
Tue...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. W Swell 2 To 4 Ft.
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Area Forecast Discussion
...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
400pm PST Thu Dec 1 2022

Synopsis
01/205 PM.

A storm system will move through the region into Friday with moderate to locally heavy rain at times. Another storm system will bring light to moderate rain back to the area Saturday into Sunday. Dry weather is expected next week but with cooler than normal temperatures.

Short Term - Today through Sunday
01/207 PM.

The first wave of a two prongged system system is hitting SLO County this afternoon and is tapping into some warmer subtropical air generating light to moderate rain. This will slide down the coast overnight and bring rain to most areas by Friday morning. However, instead of just continuing it's trek to the south and east, models now are showing it stalling north of LA County Friday then shifting back north into SLO County Friday night into Saturday. Then as the second system comes in Saturday night the cold front will push through the CWA (County Warning Area) a second time bringing addtional rain to most areas. LA County will be on the southern fringes of both of these fronts so rain amounts there will be lightest, likely under an inch, and some areas well under an inch. On the flip side of that, the coastal mountains of SLO County have a chance of exceeding 6" for the event through Sunday night. Another change with this event is that snow levels now are expected to be well above 7000' for most of the event, limiting snow to just the highest peaks.

Long Term - Monday through Thursday
01/203 PM.

While the deterministic solutions show troughing continuing through next week with at least some chances for rain, EPS solutions suggest the chances for rain are quite low, especially south of Pt Conception. Temperatures are going to remain below normal through the period. Overall a fairly quiet period with light winds.

Marine
01/1202 PM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate confidence in current forecast. Through tonight, there is a 60-80% chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level southerly winds shifting to northwest across PZZ670/673 while winds/seas are expected to remain below SCA levels across PZZ676. On Friday, winds and seas should remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels across all the Outer Waters. On Saturday and Saturday night, there is a 40-60% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels southerly winds. For Monday and Tuesday, there is a 50-70% chance of SCA level northwesterly winds.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate confidence in current forecast. There is a 60-80% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level southerly winds this evening with winds/seas likely to remain below SCA levels on Friday. For Saturday and Saturday night, there is a 40-60% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level southerly winds. For Sunday through Tuesday, winds and seas are likely to remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. There is a 20-30% chance of SCA level southeast winds tonight. For Friday through Sunday, high confidence in winds/seas remaining below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels. On Monday, there is a 40-60% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level westerly winds. For Tuesday, winds/seas are likely to remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels.

NOAA Los Angeles/Oxnard CA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9pm PST this evening for zone 645.
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3am PST Friday for zones 670-673.