Santa Cruz Island to San Clemente Island to 60 NM offshore including San Nicolas and Santa Barbara Islands Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Nw Wind 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 6 Ft At 7 Seconds, Nw 3 Ft At 15 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 17 Seconds. |
| Wed...N Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 5 Ft At 7 Seconds, Nw 3 Ft At 14 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Wed Night...Nw Wind 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 6 Ft At 7 Seconds, Nw 3 Ft At 14 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Thu...N Wind 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 5 Ft At 7 Seconds, Nw 2 Ft At 13 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Thu Night...Nw Wind 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming N 10 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 4 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 3 Ft At 13 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Fri...N Wind 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: N 4 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 3 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Fri Night...N Wind 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: N 3 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 2 Ft At 11 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Sat...N Wind 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Ne 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: N 3 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 2 Ft At 11 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 16 Seconds. |
| Sat Night...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 5 Seconds, Nw 3 Ft At 11 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 17 Seconds. |
| Sun...Nw Wind 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 3 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 4 Ft At 13 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 17 Seconds. |
| Sun Night...Nw Wind 10 To 20 Kt, Becoming 15 To 25 Kt After Midnight. Seas 6 To 8 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 3 Ft At 6 Seconds, Nw 6 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 3 Ft At 15 Seconds. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 207pm PDT Tuesday Oct 13 2026 Synopsis 13/206 PM. A Santa Ana wind pattern will create much warmer temperatures this week as well as gusty northeast winds at times, strongest Thursday and Friday. Another significant cool down is likely into next week. Short Term - Today through Friday 13/206 PM. HIGH CONFIDENCE in a MODERATE TO STRONG SANTA ANA event peaking this Thursday and Friday with damaging wind, power outages and large fast moving fires possible in the region. HIGH WIND WATCHES, Wind Advisories and Red Flag Warnings cover the typical Santa Ana Wind Corridor in Los Angeles to Ventura County for Thursday and Friday. A Fire Weather Watch is also in effect Friday for the Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo interior mountains. A Heat Advisory is also in effect Thursday through Saturday for Coastal areas with highs up to 95 degrees. See weather.gov/lox to view individual product details. Some actions to consider with the upcoming wind/heat/fire weather hazards: Have a plan in place in the case of a power outage, especially if a wind or fire weather product is in effect in your area. Secure loose outdoor items and be prepare for dangerous cross winds when driving, especially on elevated roadways. In the event of a nearby wildfire, smoke may increase heat and physical stress. If smoke impacts your area; 1) Have a cooling plan in place as smoke could limit your ability to cool your home through open windows and 2) If you have air conditioning, set on air recirculation within the home to avoid smoke exposure. Local officials may have additional guidance. Forecast details: The forecast through this weekend remains largely unchanged. A low pressure system is moving slowly through the Great Basin through Wednesday. That will set the stage for a developing Santa Ana wind event across portions of southern California this week as high pressure over the Great Basin forces winds up and over the mountains and down into the valleys and coastal areas. The rapid acceleration of the air into increasingly higher pressure at lower elevations will force the air to heat up significantly (per the gas law). Will start to see this process as early as today as the upper low advances to the southeast, allowing the transport of air from the north to begin. Latest models show just a very light north-northeast wind developing over the mountains today and tonight, then increasing in speeds each day through Friday, by which time winds aloft will be around 40-50 mph. In response, temperatures across the coast and valleys will warm by roughly 10 degrees each day, peaking Friday with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s in most areas. Mountains and deserts will warm as well but by much lower amounts. The Santa Ana winds will be strongest for most areas Friday but Thursday likely a close second within the Santa Wind Corridor of Los Angeles to Ventura Counties. We could see wind gusts into the 60s and 70s in the most favored exposed areas of the San Gabriel Mountains. Widespread peak gusts of 35-55 mph are expected within the Wind Advisory. Gusty east winds of 30-40 mph may expand into interior Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo mountains into Friday and is covered by the Fire Weather Watch. Long Term - Saturday through Tuesday 13/206 PM. One more day of gusty Santa Ana winds are possible (30-40 percent chance of reaching advisory levels) into Saturday, taking on a more easterly orientation. Temperatures are expected to remain well above normal through Sunday, but rapidly cool into early next week. And looking out a little further there is fairly high agreement in the models that another cold upper low will move into the area the middle of next week, for another big swing into temperatures and weather conditions. It looks like mainly a dry system at this point, but there is a 30-40 percent chance that it tracks just enough offshore to support some shower activity. The much cooler weather will arrive on gusty northwest to west winds focused in the Tuesday/Wednesday window. Marine 13/107 PM. For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. For the afternoon and evening periods through Wednesday, there is a 40-60% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds around Point Conception. For Thursday through Saturday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels for most of the waters. The only exception is there is a 20-30% chance of E-NE SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level wind gusts across the outer waters south of the Channel Islands and west to northwest of San Nicholas Island due to Santa Ana winds during the late night through morning hours Thursday through Saturday. The highest chances are on Friday. For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through Wednesday, there is a 30% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds in the afternoon and evening hours. Otherwise expect conds to remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels. For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate confidence in current forecast. Through Wednesday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels for most area, but the only exception is the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel where there is a 50% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds this afternoon and evening. Thursday through Saturday, there is a 40-60% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level northeast winds from Ventura south to Santa Monica and out past Anacapa Island and possibly from the Orange County Coast out to Catalina Island, strongest during the late night into early afternoon hours. Long period swells from the west and the south are affecting the coastal waters, and can create a confused sea state. This can make boating more challenging and dangerous, especially for small vessels. Beaches 13/105 PM. While the peak timing for the most impactful coastal flooding has passed, there is still a threat of minor coastal flooding, mainly minor tidal overflow, into Thursday afternoon due to continued high tides and elevated surf. The highest tides will occur during the mornings and range from 6.5 to 7.0 feet, with secondary high tides during the evening (around 5 feet). As for elevated surf, a long period southerly swell and long period westerly swell will impact the coastal waters the next several days. A Beach Hazards Statement is in effect into Thursday afternoon for the LA/Ventura County Beaches. Please continue to monitor the forecast and refer to the Coastal Hazard Product (CFWLOX) for more information. Fire Weather 13/1019 AM. Offshore flow will steadily increase each day through Thursday or Friday, then weaken over the weekend. During the Thursday and Friday peak, northeast winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 40 to 60 mph will be common over the wind prone areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, with localized gusts of 60 to 70 mph in the mountains. Interior Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties will also see east winds which peak on Friday of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 40 mph. Meanwhile, the air will rapidly warm and dry. Minimum humidities will generally lower into the 5 to 15 percent range by Friday, with poor overnight recoveries starting Thursday. This will greatly dry out any affects of the recent rains. All of this will add up to a high risk for large fires and rapid fire growth, with Red Flag conditions likely for most of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties Thursday through Friday. There is also a moderate risk for Red Flag conditions over interior Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties on Friday. Cooler and improved conditions likely next week. NOAA Los Angeles/Oxnard CA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CA...Wind Advisory in effect from 6am Thursday to 8pm PDT Friday for zones 88-354-355-358-362-370>374-376-377. Heat Advisory in effect from 10am Thursday to 8pm PDT Saturday for zones 340-341-346-347-349-350-354-355-362-366>368. Beach Hazards Statement in effect through Thursday afternoon for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). High Wind Watch in effect from Thursday morning through Friday evening for zones 369-375-378>380. Red Flag Warning in effect from 6am Thursday to 10pm PDT Friday for zones 288-354-355-358-362-369>380-548. (See LAXRFWLOX). Fire Weather Watch in effect from Friday morning through Friday afternoon for zones 345-353. (See LAXRFWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9pm PDT this evening for zone 650. Small Craft Advisory in effect until midnight PDT tonight for zone 673. Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox |
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